Vishal Mega Mart Limited (VMM) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹534B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹37.39 to ₹30.46 (−18.5%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −7.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 71% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹38.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (20 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
20‑month range ₹99.44 – ₹153.18 · fair‑value band ₹22.84 – ₹38.07 · the ₹105.20 price screens above the ₹30.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Vishal Mega Mart Limited (VMM) currently trades at ₹105.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹30.46, implying the stock looks roughly 71.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Vishal Mega Mart Limited generated revenue of ₹129B at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue grew 22.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.2%. Net debt stands at ₹14.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹22.84 (bear case) to ₹38.07 (bull case); at ₹105.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -71%, VMM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹65.47) versus Asset-Based (₹10.60). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Vishal Mega Mart Limited engages in the wholesale, trading, and retail of apparel, fast moving consumer goods, and general merchandise in India.
Full company description
Vishal Mega Mart Limited engages in the wholesale, trading, and retail of apparel, fast moving consumer goods, and general merchandise in India. Its apparel product portfolio includes a range of t-shirts, shirts, denims, athletic and leisure wear, night wear, innerwear, western wear, formal wear, and ethnic wear for men, women, children, and infants; and general merchandize products comprises home appliances, crockeries and utensils, home products and furnishings, toys, stationery products, travel products and footwear, and other products. The company's fast-moving consumer goods include food products, such as biscuits, savoury snacks, noodles, and tea and coffee products; staples, such as mustard oil, soya oil, clarified butter, and spices; and non-food products comprising baby diapers, hair oil, sanitary pads, handwash, and other products. It sells its products through its stores, mobile application, and website under third party and its brand names. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Gurugram, India. Vishal Mega Mart Limited is a subsidiary of Samayat Services LLP.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Vishal Mega Mart Limited reported revenue of ₹129B in FY2026 versus ₹55.7B in FY2022, a compound +23.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹8.4B in FY2026, compounding +42.6%/yr from FY2022.
VMM screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →
Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 54.64 MXN | +82% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 97,300 KRW | 76,636 KRW | -21% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$11.74 | R$33.36 | +184% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 44.99 MXN | +31% |
| PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk MDIY | 940.00 IDR | 968.76 IDR | +3% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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