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Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹534B (≈ $5.7B) · ISIN INE01EA01019

What is Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs really worth?

VM Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs VMM · NSE
Price₹106.14
Fair Value₹30.46
Upside−71.3%
Quality67/100

A solid business, but trading 248% above our fair value of ₹30.46.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +19.5 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)

Risks

!Thin margins · 6.5% net margin
!Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range ₹22.84 – ₹38.07

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹37.39 to ₹30.46 (−18.5%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −4.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹38.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (21 months)

₹153.18 ₹99.44 Fair Value ₹30.46 Dec 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

21‑month range ₹99.44 – ₹153.18 · fair‑value band ₹22.84 – ₹38.07 · the ₹106.14 price screens above the ₹30.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM) currently trades at ₹106.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹30.46, implying the stock looks roughly 248.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹65.47 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹106.14 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹10.60, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs generated revenue of ₹129B at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue grew 22.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.2%. Net debt stands at ₹14.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹22.84 (bear case) to ₹38.07 (bull case); at ₹106.14, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −71%, VMM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹0.7748 per share, which is 2.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV best evidence ₹20.87 ₹24.35 ₹27.44 74
FCF DCF ₹48.38 ₹80.82 ₹179.79 71
Growth DCF ₹46.08 ₹91.25 ₹183.03 70
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹48.38 ₹80.82 ₹179.79 71
Owner Earnings ₹43.32 ₹99.99 ₹224.27 67
5Y Revenue Exit ₹32.05 ₹55.73 ₹102.11 66
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹35.68 ₹63.50 ₹114.70 69
5Y P/E Exit ₹30.33 ₹57.80 ₹92.81 66
10Y Revenue Exit ₹35.62 ₹68.87 ₹103.41 63
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹39.29 ₹76.09 ₹142.83 62
10Y P/E Exit ₹35.41 ₹65.47 ₹116.16 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹12.18 ₹84.96 ₹119.23 60
Lynch FV ₹26.39 ₹37.69 ₹49.00 58
PEG = 1.0 ₹26.39 ₹37.69 ₹49.00 55
EPV best evidence ₹20.87 ₹24.35 ₹27.44 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹22.84 ₹30.46 ₹38.07 63
P/S Multiple ₹22.84 ₹30.46 ₹38.07 58
P/B Multiple ₹22.84 ₹30.46 ₹38.07 55
EV/EBIT ₹28.26 ₹37.30 ₹46.34 66
EV/EBITDA ₹31.29 ₹41.34 ₹51.40 67
EV/Revenue ₹24.64 ₹34.72 ₹44.79 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹7.91 ₹10.60 ₹15.83 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹46.08 ₹91.25 ₹183.03 70
Rev-Margin DCF ₹32.05 ₹60.46 ₹103.42 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹14.63 ₹17.28 ₹36.45 63
ROIC Compounder ₹25.12 ₹37.39 ₹47.05 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹32.70 ₹46.71 ₹60.72 65

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹65.47) versus Asset-Based (₹10.60). Highest evidence: EPV (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 59.3
P/S ratio 3.86 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ₹1.79 price ÷ EPS = P/E 59.3
Net margin 6.5% FY2026
Return on equity 12.2% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 7.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ₹129B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.2% 3y avg +19.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +44.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ₹13.0B FY2026
Net debt ₹14.6B FY2026 · ≈ 1.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Vishal Mega Mart Limited engages in the wholesale, trading, and retail of apparel, fast moving consumer goods, and general merchandise in India.

Full company description

Vishal Mega Mart Limited engages in the wholesale, trading, and retail of apparel, fast moving consumer goods, and general merchandise in India. Its apparel product portfolio includes a range of t-shirts, shirts, denims, athletic and leisure wear, night wear, innerwear, western wear, formal wear, and ethnic wear for men, women, children, and infants; and general merchandize products comprises home appliances, crockeries and utensils, home products and furnishings, toys, stationery products, travel products and footwear, and other products. The company's fast-moving consumer goods include food products, such as biscuits, savoury snacks, noodles, and tea and coffee products; staples, such as mustard oil, soya oil, clarified butter, and spices; and non-food products comprising baby diapers, hair oil, sanitary pads, handwash, and other products. It sells its products through its stores, mobile application, and website under third party and its brand names. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Gurugram, India. Vishal Mega Mart Limited is a subsidiary of Samayat Services LLP.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs reported revenue of ₹129B in FY2026 versus ₹55.7B in FY2022, a compound +23.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹8.4B in FY2026, compounding +42.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹129B
Latest YoY
+20.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in INR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+31.9% (31.9 + 0.0)
Revenue +23.4%/yr
FY22 ₹55.7B
FY23 ₹75.6B
FY24 ₹88.9B
FY25 ₹107B
FY26 ₹129B
Net income +42.6%/yr
FY22 ₹2.0B
FY23 ₹3.2B
FY24 ₹4.6B
FY25 ₹73.9M
FY26 ₹8.4B

VMM screens 248% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VMM

Peer Group

Department Stores · 121 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 22% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 59.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 7.20× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.14× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 28.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 23
FUTURE100 · sector 0
PAST49 · sector 16
HEALTH100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND0 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Falabella S.A FALABELLA 6,380 CLP 8,005 CLP +25%
Dillard's, Inc DDS $630.71 $536.21 −15%
99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 3.65 MYR 1.59 MYR −56%
Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD 1,949 CLP 2,425 CLP +24%
Macy's, Inc M $21.93 $42.68 +95%
Central Retail Corporation CRC 27.50 THB 20.89 THB −24%
SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 424,000 KRW 177,841 KRW −58%
Lotte Shopping Co 023530 96,700 KRW 76,636 KRW −21%
PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk MDIY 940.00 IDR 968.76 IDR +3%
PT. Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk MAPI 1,510 IDR 2,957 IDR +96%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹30.46 versus a price of ₹106.14, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VMM?
Our model-based fair value for Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs is ₹30.46 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹106.14.
What is the quality score of VMM?
Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs (VMM)?
Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹129B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VMM?
The net profit margin of Vishal Mega Mart Ord Shs is about 6.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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