SHINSEGAE Inc (004170) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · KR · Market cap 5.3T KRW
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 200,259 KRW to 177,841 KRW (−11.2%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price −25.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 58% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (211,144 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (88,031 KRW to 211,144 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 119,861 KRW – 776,000 KRW · fair‑value band 88,031 KRW – 211,144 KRW · the 419,500 KRW price screens above the 177,841 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
SHINSEGAE Inc (004170) currently trades at 419,500 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 177,841 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 57.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, SHINSEGAE Inc generated revenue of 7.1T KRW at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue grew 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. Net debt stands at 3.7T KRW. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 88,031 KRW (bear case) to 211,144 KRW (bull case); at 419,500 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 166% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -58%, 004170 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (632,717 KRW) versus Earnings-Based (28,661 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
SHINSEGAE Inc. operates department stores in South Korea. The company operates through Department Store, Wholesale and Retail Industry, Real Estate Industry, Terminal industry, Hospitality, Duty-Free Store, and Others segments.
Full company description
SHINSEGAE Inc. operates department stores in South Korea. The company operates through Department Store, Wholesale and Retail Industry, Real Estate Industry, Terminal industry, Hospitality, Duty-Free Store, and Others segments. It also manufactures and retails clothing and furniture; manufactures, retails, and distributes cosmetics; develops and leases real estate properties and vehicle terminal; offers advisory and online retail services; and operates duty-free stores. In addition, the company engages in the information and communication, trading, broadcast program production and supply; financial investment, and hotel businesses. SHINSEGAE Inc. was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SHINSEGAE Inc reported revenue of 6.9T KRW in FY2025 versus 6.3T KRW in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was 13.9B KRW in FY2025, compounding −53.8%/yr from FY2021.
004170 screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →
Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 6,380 CLP | 8,005 CLP | +25% |
| El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 | 99.62 MXN | 220.59 MXN | +121% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.65 MYR | 1.59 MYR | -56% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 1,949 CLP | 2,425 CLP | +24% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹107.00 | ₹30.46 | -72% |
| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 54.64 MXN | +82% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 97,300 KRW | 76,636 KRW | -21% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$11.74 | R$33.36 | +184% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 44.99 MXN | +31% |
| PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk MDIY | 940.00 IDR | 968.76 IDR | +3% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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