Shinsegae (004170) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · KR · Market cap 5.3T KRW (≈ $3.7B) · ISIN KR7004170007
What is Shinsegae really worth?
A solid business, but trading 115% above our fair value of 177,841 KRW.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Share price −5.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (211,144 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (88,031 KRW to 211,144 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 119,861 KRW – 776,000 KRW · fair‑value band 88,031 KRW – 211,144 KRW · the 382,500 KRW price screens above the 177,841 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Shinsegae (004170) currently trades at 382,500 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 177,841 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 115.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 632,717 KRW per share, and 12 of the 24 models we run sit above the 382,500 KRW price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 28,661 KRW, and 12 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shinsegae generated revenue of 7.1T KRW at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue grew 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. Net debt stands at 3.7T KRW. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 88,031 KRW (bear case) to 211,144 KRW (bull case); at 382,500 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 142% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −54%, 004170 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (632,717 KRW) versus Earnings-Based (28,661 KRW). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
SHINSEGAE Inc. operates department stores in South Korea. The company operates through Department Store, Wholesale and Retail Industry, Real Estate Industry, Terminal industry, Hospitality, Duty-Free Store, and Others segments.
Full company description
SHINSEGAE Inc. operates department stores in South Korea. The company operates through Department Store, Wholesale and Retail Industry, Real Estate Industry, Terminal industry, Hospitality, Duty-Free Store, and Others segments. It also manufactures and retails clothing and furniture; manufactures, retails, and distributes cosmetics; develops and leases real estate properties and vehicle terminal; offers advisory and online retail services; and operates duty-free stores. In addition, the company engages in the information and communication, trading, broadcast program production and supply; financial investment, and hotel businesses. SHINSEGAE Inc. was founded in 1955 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shinsegae reported revenue of 6.9T KRW in FY2025 versus 6.3T KRW in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was 13.9B KRW in FY2025, compounding −53.8%/yr from FY2021.
004170 screens 115% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →
Peer Group
Department Stores · 121 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 6,380 CLP | 8,005 CLP | +25% |
| Dillard's, Inc DDS | $630.71 | $536.21 | −15% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.65 MYR | 1.59 MYR | −56% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 1,949 CLP | 2,425 CLP | +24% |
| Macy's, Inc M | $21.93 | $42.68 | +95% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹107.00 | ₹30.46 | −72% |
| Central Retail Corporation CRC | 27.50 THB | 20.89 THB | −24% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 96,700 KRW | 76,636 KRW | −21% |
| PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk MDIY | 940.00 IDR | 968.76 IDR | +3% |
| PT. Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk MAPI | 1,510 IDR | 2,957 IDR | +96% |
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