Lotte Shopping (023530) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · KR · Market cap 4.4T KRW (≈ $3.1B) · ISIN KR7023530009
What is Lotte Shopping really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 40% above our fair value of 76,636 KRW.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Share price −7.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (87,956 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 46,900 KRW – 201,986 KRW · fair‑value band 69,337 KRW – 87,956 KRW · the 107,500 KRW price screens above the 76,636 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
Analysis
Lotte Shopping (023530) currently trades at 107,500 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 76,636 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 40.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 359,877 KRW per share, and 11 of the 24 models we run sit above the 107,500 KRW price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 15,157 KRW, and 13 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lotte Shopping generated revenue of 13.9T KRW at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. Net debt stands at 9.3T KRW. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 69,337 KRW (bear case) to 87,956 KRW (bull case); at 107,500 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −29%, 023530 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (359,877 KRW) versus Earnings-Based (15,157 KRW). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Lotte Shopping Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, owns and manages department stores in South Korea. It also operates outlets, discount stores, electronics stores, supermarkets, e-commerce, and movie theaters.
Full company description
Lotte Shopping Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, owns and manages department stores in South Korea. It also operates outlets, discount stores, electronics stores, supermarkets, e-commerce, and movie theaters. In addition, the company is involved in the TV home shopping, clothing manufacturing and sales, home appliance retail, and movie screening businesses; provision of building management service; real estate, new technology investment, financial, and film investment production activities. The company was formerly known as Hyupwoo Industrial Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Lotte Shopping Co., Ltd. in November 1979. Lotte Shopping Co., Ltd. was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lotte Shopping reported revenue of 13.7T KRW in FY2025 versus 15.6T KRW in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was 51.6B KRW in FY2025.
023530 screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →
Peer Group
Department Stores · 121 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 6,380 CLP | 8,005 CLP | +25% |
| Dillard's, Inc DDS | $630.71 | $536.21 | −15% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.65 MYR | 1.59 MYR | −56% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 1,949 CLP | 2,425 CLP | +24% |
| Macy's, Inc M | $21.93 | $42.68 | +95% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹107.00 | ₹30.46 | −72% |
| Central Retail Corporation CRC | 27.50 THB | 20.89 THB | −24% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 424,000 KRW | 177,841 KRW | −58% |
| PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk MDIY | 940.00 IDR | 968.76 IDR | +3% |
| PT. Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk MAPI | 1,510 IDR | 2,957 IDR | +96% |
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