Falabella S.A (FALABELLA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CL · Market cap 15.0T CLP (≈ $16.5B) · ISIN CLP3880F1085
What is Falabella S.A really worth?
A solid business, trading 20% below our fair value of 8,005 CLP.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 8,880 CLP to 8,005 CLP (−9.8%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +1.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (5,604 CLP to 11,780 CLP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,476 CLP – 6,734 CLP · fair‑value band 5,604 CLP – 11,780 CLP · the 6,368 CLP price screens below the 8,005 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Falabella S.A (FALABELLA) currently trades at 6,368 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8,005 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 20.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 10,208 CLP per share, and 19 of the 24 models we run sit above the 6,368 CLP price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 2,129 CLP, and 5 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Falabella S.A generated revenue of 13.6T CLP at a net margin of 10.3%. Revenue grew 6.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.6%. Net debt stands at 661B CLP. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 5,604 CLP (bear case) to 11,780 CLP (bull case); at 6,368 CLP, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 26%, FALABELLA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 376.12 CLP per share, which is 4.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (10,208 CLP) versus Asset-Based (2,129 CLP). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Falabella S.A. engages in the retail sale of clothing, accessories, household, electronics, beauty, and other products in Chile, Argentina, Peru, Colombia, Uruguay, Mexico, and Brazil. It operates through Home Improvement, Real Estate, Supermarkets, and Other Businesses segments.
Full company description
Falabella S.A. engages in the retail sale of clothing, accessories, household, electronics, beauty, and other products in Chile, Argentina, Peru, Colombia, Uruguay, Mexico, and Brazil. It operates through Home Improvement, Real Estate, Supermarkets, and Other Businesses segments. The company operates multi-specialist stores, which sells various clothing and accessories, as well as products for the home, electronics, beauty products, and others under the Falabella brand; hypermarkets and supermarkets format that offers food and other non-food products under the Tottus brand. It also sells construction and home improvement products, including construction materials, hardware, tools, kitchen accessories, bathroom, garden, and decoration products under the Sodimac brand. In addition, the company engages in the construction and leasing of commercial centers; and provision of financial services, such as CMR, insurance brokers, and banking, as well as manufacturing of textiles. Further, it provides digital payments; and involved in online business superstore, as well as operates department stores; and financial retails. Falabella S.A. was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Falabella S.A reported revenue of 13.3T CLP in FY2025 versus 11.5T CLP in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3T CLP in FY2025, compounding +19.9%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Department Stores · 121 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dillard's, Inc DDS | $630.71 | $536.21 | −15% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.65 MYR | 1.59 MYR | −56% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 1,949 CLP | 2,425 CLP | +24% |
| Macy's, Inc M | $21.93 | $42.68 | +95% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹107.00 | ₹30.46 | −72% |
| Central Retail Corporation CRC | 27.50 THB | 20.89 THB | −24% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 424,000 KRW | 177,841 KRW | −58% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 96,700 KRW | 76,636 KRW | −21% |
| PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk MDIY | 940.00 IDR | 968.76 IDR | +3% |
| PT. Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk MAPI | 1,510 IDR | 2,957 IDR | +96% |
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Frequently asked questions
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