Cencosud S.A (CENCOSUD) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CL · Market cap 6.3T CLP (≈ $6.9B) · ISIN CL0000000100
What is Cencosud S.A really worth?
A solid business, trading 17% below our fair value of 2,425 CLP.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 2,516 CLP to 2,425 CLP (−3.6%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +1.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (1,380 CLP to 3,145 CLP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1,084 CLP – 3,310 CLP · fair‑value band 1,380 CLP – 3,145 CLP · the 2,006 CLP price screens below the 2,425 CLP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Cencosud S.A (CENCOSUD) currently trades at 2,006 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,425 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 17.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 2,516 CLP per share, and 13 of the 24 models we run sit above the 2,006 CLP price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 579.75 CLP, and 11 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Cencosud S.A generated revenue of 16.6T CLP at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.9%. Net debt stands at 3.8T CLP. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1,380 CLP (bear case) to 3,145 CLP (bull case); at 2,006 CLP, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 21%, CENCOSUD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 52.73 CLP per share, which is 2.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (2,516 CLP) versus Earnings-Based (579.75 CLP). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Cencosud S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer in Chile, Argentina, Brazil, Peru, Colombia, Uruguay, the United States, and China. It engages in the operation of supermarkets, hypermarkets, home improvement stores, retail stores, department stores, and shopping centers, as well as provision of financial services.
Full company description
Cencosud S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer in Chile, Argentina, Brazil, Peru, Colombia, Uruguay, the United States, and China. It engages in the operation of supermarkets, hypermarkets, home improvement stores, retail stores, department stores, and shopping centers, as well as provision of financial services. The company was founded in 1963 and is based in Las Condes, Chile. Cencosud S.A. operates as a subsidiary of PK One Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cencosud S.A reported revenue of 16.6T CLP in FY2025 versus 11.8T CLP in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was 315B CLP in FY2025, compounding −9.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +3.9 % · buybacks/dilution −0.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Department Stores · 121 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 6,380 CLP | 8,005 CLP | +25% |
| Dillard's, Inc DDS | $630.71 | $536.21 | −15% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.65 MYR | 1.59 MYR | −56% |
| Macy's, Inc M | $21.93 | $42.68 | +95% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹107.00 | ₹30.46 | −72% |
| Central Retail Corporation CRC | 27.50 THB | 20.89 THB | −24% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 424,000 KRW | 177,841 KRW | −58% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 96,700 KRW | 76,636 KRW | −21% |
| PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk MDIY | 940.00 IDR | 968.76 IDR | +3% |
| PT. Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk MAPI | 1,510 IDR | 2,957 IDR | +96% |
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