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TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · DE · Market cap €4.8B · ISIN DE000TKMS001

What is TKMS AG & Co KGaA really worth?

TA TKMS AG & Co KGaA TKMS · XETRA
Price€83.20
Fair Value€56.53
Upside−32.1%
Quality65/100

A solid business, but trading 47% above our fair value of €56.53.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +15.4 %/yr)
generates free cash flow

Risks

!Thin margins · 3.7% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Medium Range €48.91 – €64.14

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Share price −6.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€64.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (10 months)

€104.00 €57.55 Fair Value €56.53 Oct 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

10‑month range €57.55 – €104.00 · fair‑value band €48.91 – €64.14 · the €83.20 price screens above the €56.53 fair value. As of Aug 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS) currently trades at €83.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €56.53, implying the stock looks roughly 47.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €156.18 per share, and 9 of the 24 models we run sit above the €83.20 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €13.24, and 15 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, TKMS AG & Co KGaA generated revenue of €2.3B at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue grew 22.4% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €2.0B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 54.7. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €48.91 (bear case) to €64.14 (bull case); at €83.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −32%, TKMS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €1.03 per share, which is 1.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €233.12 €405.18 €761.26 71
Owner Earnings €46.50 €60.28 €85.18 71
5Y EBITDA Exit €116.71 €156.18 €202.42 70
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €233.12 €405.18 €761.26 71
Owner Earnings €46.50 €60.28 €85.18 71
5Y Revenue Exit €107.87 €136.91 €170.84 68
5Y EBITDA Exit €116.71 €156.18 €202.42 70
5Y P/E Exit €115.23 €152.95 €194.11 67
10Y Revenue Exit €147.60 €191.95 €252.18 63
10Y EBITDA Exit €154.09 €206.21 €279.49 64
10Y P/E Exit €153.10 €203.82 €272.30 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €13.17 €73.27 €101.72 61
Lynch FV €20.47 €29.24 €38.01 58
PEG = 1.0 €20.47 €29.24 €38.01 55
EPV €41.90 €43.50 €44.88 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple €30.50 €40.66 €50.83 63
P/S Multiple €24.69 €32.92 €41.15 58
P/B Multiple €24.69 €32.92 €41.15 55
EV/EBIT €56.64 €64.94 €73.24 63
EV/EBITDA €64.55 €75.49 €86.42 64
EV/Revenue €49.52 €57.13 €64.75 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €9.88 €13.24 €19.76 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €228.14 €408.47 €675.98 70
Rev-Margin DCF €107.87 €139.03 €181.67 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income €17.01 €18.74 €27.25 67
ROIC Compounder €41.90 €43.50 €44.88 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €30.79 €43.98 €57.18 65

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€156.18) versus Asset-Based (€13.24). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (71).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 54.7
P/S ratio 2.65 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) €1.52 price ÷ EPS = P/E 54.7
Net margin 4.8% FY2025
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.5% avg 4y
Operating margin 4.0% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) €2.3B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.4% 3y avg +15.4%
EPS growth (YoY) −2.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow €969M FY2025
Net cash €2.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 97
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

TKMS AG & Co KGaA, together with its subsidiaries, provides maritime technologies and solutions in Germany, Norway, Brazil, Israel, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Submarines, Surface Vessels, and Atlas Electronics.

Full company description

TKMS AG & Co KGaA, together with its subsidiaries, provides maritime technologies and solutions in Germany, Norway, Brazil, Israel, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Submarines, Surface Vessels, and Atlas Electronics. The company designs, procures, and manufactures non-nuclear and conventional submarines, corvettes, frigates, and support ships, as well as unmanned, surface, special offshore patrol, and research vessels. It also offers compact sonar underwater and integrated sensor underwater system; hull-mounted minehunting sonar, integrated mine counter measures system, hybrid autonomous underwater vehicle system, and identification and disposal system; modular ASW combat suite, anti-torpedo torpedo, variable depth and passive towed array sonars, and active hull-mounted sonar system; heavyweight torpedo; and communication systems. In addition, the company provides various services, including trainer system, virtual ship and flight deck officer simulator, virtual ship training and information system, remote maintenance system, integrated logistic support, and in-service support, as well as artificial intelligence and data analysis. It serves the navies of North Atlantic Treaty Organization, non-NATO allies, and strategic partner nations. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Kiel, Germany. TKMS AG & Co KGaA operates as a subsidiary of thyssenkrupp AG.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

TKMS AG & Co KGaA reported revenue of €2.5B in FY2025 versus €1.7B in FY2022, a compound +15.4%/yr. Reported net income was €123M in FY2025, compounding +125.0%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€2.5B
Latest YoY
+16.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.4%
Value creation/yr (3Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 3 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+51.4% (51.4 + 0.0)
Revenue +15.4%/yr
FY22 €1.7B
FY23 €2.1B
FY24 €2.2B
FY25 €2.5B
Net income +125.0%/yr
FY22 €10.8M
FY23 €60.1M
FY24 €92.6M
FY25 €123M

TKMS screens 47% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TKMS AG & Co KGaA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TKMS

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 229 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −32% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 22% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 54.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.42× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.43× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 5.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 20.2× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 50
PAST0 · sector 38
HEALTH0 · sector 93
DIVIDEND0 · sector 16

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $335.71 $116.71 −65%
RTX Corporation RTX $212.08 $88.37 −58%
Airbus SE AIR €213.00 €117.01 −45%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $565.89 $419.01 −26%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $264.85 $50.43 −81%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $379.32 $274.32 −28%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $545.57 $356.59 −35%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,235 $571.03 −54%
L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX $262.82 $146.55 −44%
Thales S.A HO €243.70 €171.13 −30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €56.53 versus a price of €83.20, about −32% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TKMS?
Our model-based fair value for TKMS AG & Co KGaA is €56.53 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €83.20.
What is the quality score of TKMS?
TKMS AG & Co KGaA has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of TKMS AG & Co KGaA (TKMS)?
TKMS AG & Co KGaA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TKMS?
The net profit margin of TKMS AG & Co KGaA is about 3.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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