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SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $710M · ISIN US86722A1034

What is SunCoke Energy Inc really worth?

SE SunCoke Energy Inc logo SunCoke Energy Inc SXC · US
Price$10.19
Fair Value$7.34
Upside−28.0%
Quality39/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 39% above our fair value of $7.34.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +6.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -3.6% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 22 out of 100

For context

·4.71% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $7.34 – $12.70

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 19, 2026, revised from $3.67 to $7.34 (+100.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +14.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
  • Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$11.63 $4.80 Fair Value $7.34 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.80 – $11.63 · fair‑value band $7.34 – $12.70 · the $10.19 price screens above the $7.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC) currently trades at $10.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.34, implying the stock looks roughly 38.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $5.17 per share, and 2 of the 11 models we run sit above the $10.19 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $1.55, and 9 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, SunCoke Energy Inc generated revenue of $1.9B at a net margin of −3.6%. Revenue grew 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −9.3%. Net debt stands at $597M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.34 (bear case) to $12.70 (bull case); at $10.19, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −28%, SXC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $0.4800 74
Growth DCF $0.2500 73
Owner Earnings $0.5300 71
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.4800 74
Owner Earnings $0.5300 71
5Y Revenue Exit $1.55 $5.22 67
5Y EBITDA Exit $4.55 $12.07 $20.45 69
10Y Revenue Exit $0.2200 $3.14 62
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.39 $6.67 $13.16 60
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.79 $5.49 $7.08 67
DDM Multi-Stage $3.79 $5.17 $6.53 65
Multiples
EV/EBIT $1.00 $3.67 $6.35 60
EV/EBITDA $12.28 $18.72 $25.15 66
EV/Revenue $2.91 $5.89 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.52 $4.72 $7.04 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.2500 73
Rev-Margin DCF $1.60 $4.79 67

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($5.17) versus DCF Models ($1.55). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.38 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−0.7700
Dividend yield 4.7%
Net margin −2.4% FY2025
Return on equity −9.3% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 7.7% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 1.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.9B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.4% 3y avg −2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) −28.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $42.3M FY2025
Net debt $597M FY2025 · ≈ 14.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 78
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

SunCoke Energy, Inc. operates as an independent producer of coke in the United States and internationally. It operates through Domestic Coke and Industrial Services segments. The company offers blast furnace and foundry coke products.

Full company description

SunCoke Energy, Inc. operates as an independent producer of coke in the United States and internationally. It operates through Domestic Coke and Industrial Services segments. The company offers blast furnace and foundry coke products. It also provides export and domestic material handling and/or mixing services to coke, coal, steel, power/electric utility, and other bulk and manufacturing-based customers; and on-site scrap and slag handling and processing services to steel producers. In addition, the company owns and operates cokemaking facilities and logistics terminals. Further, it offers metal recovery and scrap processing services comprising metallic recovery, dropballing, scrap cutting and cleaning, scrap upgrading and shearing, and scrap baling; logistics services consisting of warehouse and yard management, raw and finished material transportation, semi-finished and finished product handling, on-highway transportation, and coil and slab transportation; and co-product processing, handling, and marketing services, such as slag processing and marketing, briquetting, mixing plant services, coal/coke stockpiling and handling, iron ore handling, slag granulation and grinding, mill scale processing and marketing, and refractory brick crushing and bagging. Additionally, the company provides scrap management services, including scrap transport and reception, rail and barge unloading, scrap yard management, charge box and bucket transport, revert scrap collection, scrap inspection, and charge box and bucket loading; melt shop services, such as tundish removal, refractory tear-out, melt shop clean-up, pit digging, and pot carrying; and environmental and ancillary services, which consists of vacuum and sweeper truck services, scarfing and grinding, drone surveying, packaging, maintenance, equipment rental, by-product bagging, road and yard grading, and road and yard watering. SunCoke Energy, Inc. was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Lisle, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SunCoke Energy Inc reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$44.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 39/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.8B
Latest YoY
−5.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.0%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +6.0%/yr
FY21 $1.5B
FY22 $2.0B
FY23 $2.1B
FY24 $1.9B
FY25 $1.8B
Net income
FY21 $43.4M
FY22 $101M
FY23 $57.5M
FY24 $95.9M
FY25 −$44.2M

SXC screens 39% overvalued. Compare with PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SunCoke Energy Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SXC

Peer Group

Coking Coal · 27 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside −28% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Above median
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.15× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.19× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.38× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 16.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.4× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE22 · sector 17
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH43 · sector 97
DIVIDEND94 · sector 20

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 78/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal

Similar stocks

10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR 1,710 IDR 969.03 IDR −43%
Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC $108.26 $18.35 −83%
Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 ¥3.62 ¥1.24 −66%
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR $226.23 $45.15 −80%
Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 HK$2.68 HK$2.34 −13%
Shanxi Coking Co 600740 ¥3.59 ¥1.75 −51%
Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 ¥5.50 ¥1.72 −69%
Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 ¥2.66 ¥1.32 −50%
Shandong Jinling Mining Co 000655 ¥7.35 ¥6.29 −14%
Ramaco Resources, Inc METC $14.24 $1.80 −87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.34 versus a price of $10.19, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SXC?
Our model-based fair value for SunCoke Energy Inc is $7.34 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.19.
What is the quality score of SXC?
SunCoke Energy Inc has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC)?
SunCoke Energy Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SXC?
The net profit margin of SunCoke Energy Inc is about −3.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does SunCoke Energy Inc pay a dividend?
SunCoke Energy Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.71% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
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