SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $710M · ISIN US86722A1034
What is SunCoke Energy Inc really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 39% above our fair value of $7.34.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 19, 2026, revised from $3.67 to $7.34 (+100.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +14.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
- Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.80 – $11.63 · fair‑value band $7.34 – $12.70 · the $10.19 price screens above the $7.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
SunCoke Energy Inc (SXC) currently trades at $10.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.34, implying the stock looks roughly 38.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $5.17 per share, and 2 of the 11 models we run sit above the $10.19 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $1.55, and 9 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, SunCoke Energy Inc generated revenue of $1.9B at a net margin of −3.6%. Revenue grew 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −9.3%. Net debt stands at $597M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $7.34 (bear case) to $12.70 (bull case); at $10.19, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −28%, SXC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($5.17) versus DCF Models ($1.55). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
SunCoke Energy, Inc. operates as an independent producer of coke in the United States and internationally. It operates through Domestic Coke and Industrial Services segments. The company offers blast furnace and foundry coke products.
Full company description
SunCoke Energy, Inc. operates as an independent producer of coke in the United States and internationally. It operates through Domestic Coke and Industrial Services segments. The company offers blast furnace and foundry coke products. It also provides export and domestic material handling and/or mixing services to coke, coal, steel, power/electric utility, and other bulk and manufacturing-based customers; and on-site scrap and slag handling and processing services to steel producers. In addition, the company owns and operates cokemaking facilities and logistics terminals. Further, it offers metal recovery and scrap processing services comprising metallic recovery, dropballing, scrap cutting and cleaning, scrap upgrading and shearing, and scrap baling; logistics services consisting of warehouse and yard management, raw and finished material transportation, semi-finished and finished product handling, on-highway transportation, and coil and slab transportation; and co-product processing, handling, and marketing services, such as slag processing and marketing, briquetting, mixing plant services, coal/coke stockpiling and handling, iron ore handling, slag granulation and grinding, mill scale processing and marketing, and refractory brick crushing and bagging. Additionally, the company provides scrap management services, including scrap transport and reception, rail and barge unloading, scrap yard management, charge box and bucket transport, revert scrap collection, scrap inspection, and charge box and bucket loading; melt shop services, such as tundish removal, refractory tear-out, melt shop clean-up, pit digging, and pot carrying; and environmental and ancillary services, which consists of vacuum and sweeper truck services, scarfing and grinding, drone surveying, packaging, maintenance, equipment rental, by-product bagging, road and yard grading, and road and yard watering. SunCoke Energy, Inc. was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Lisle, Illinois.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SunCoke Energy Inc reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$44.2M in FY2025.
SXC screens 39% overvalued. Compare with PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, →
Peer Group
Coking Coal · 27 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 78/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR | 1,710 IDR | 969.03 IDR | −43% |
| Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC | $108.26 | $18.35 | −83% |
| Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 | ¥3.62 | ¥1.24 | −66% |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR | $226.23 | $45.15 | −80% |
| Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 | HK$2.68 | HK$2.34 | −13% |
| Shanxi Coking Co 600740 | ¥3.59 | ¥1.75 | −51% |
| Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 | ¥5.50 | ¥1.72 | −69% |
| Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 | ¥2.66 | ¥1.32 | −50% |
| Shandong Jinling Mining Co 000655 | ¥7.35 | ¥6.29 | −14% |
| Ramaco Resources, Inc METC | $14.24 | $1.80 | −87% |
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