Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT (ADMR) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · ID · Market cap 61.3T IDR (≈ $6.1B) · ISIN ID1000165608
What is Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 71% above our fair value of 969.03 IDR.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 29, 2026, revised from 1,251 IDR to 969.03 IDR (−22.5%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +2.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (732.54 IDR to 3,027 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range 125.22 IDR – 2,773 IDR · fair‑value band 732.54 IDR – 3,027 IDR · the 1,655 IDR price screens above the 969.03 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT (ADMR) currently trades at 1,655 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 969.03 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 70.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 2,630 IDR per share, and 4 of the 14 models we run sit above the 1,655 IDR price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 415.30 IDR, and 10 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT generated revenue of 1.0B IDR at a net margin of 28.2%. Revenue grew 33.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.9%. Net debt stands at 346M IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 732.54 IDR (bear case) to 3,027 IDR (bull case); at 1,655 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 85% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −60% fair-value upside, at −41%, ADMR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 87.04 IDR per share, which is 9.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (2,630 IDR) versus Asset-Based (415.30 IDR). Highest evidence: EPV (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in metallurgical coal mining business in Indonesia. It operates through Mining, Metal Processing, and Other Services segments. The company holds interest in five CCOWs mining concessions located in East Kalimantan and Central Kalimantan.
Full company description
PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in metallurgical coal mining business in Indonesia. It operates through Mining, Metal Processing, and Other Services segments. The company holds interest in five CCOWs mining concessions located in East Kalimantan and Central Kalimantan. It also provides management consulting services. The company was formerly known as PT Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk (IDX:ADMR) is a subsidiary of PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk PT reported revenue of $961M in FY2025 versus $460M in FY2021, a compound +20.2%/yr. Reported net income was $268M in FY2025, compounding +14.6%/yr from FY2021.
ADMR screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Warrior Met Coal, Inc →
Peer Group
Coking Coal · 27 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC | $108.26 | $18.35 | −83% |
| Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 | ¥3.62 | ¥1.24 | −66% |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR | $226.23 | $45.15 | −80% |
| Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 | HK$2.68 | HK$2.34 | −13% |
| Shanxi Coking Co 600740 | ¥3.59 | ¥1.75 | −51% |
| Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 | ¥5.50 | ¥1.72 | −69% |
| Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 | ¥2.66 | ¥1.32 | −50% |
| SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC | $9.14 | $3.67 | −60% |
| Shandong Jinling Mining Co 000655 | ¥7.35 | ¥6.29 | −14% |
| Ramaco Resources, Inc METC | $14.24 | $1.80 | −87% |
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