PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, (ADMR) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · ID · Market cap 61.3T IDR
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 1,267 IDR to 1,251 IDR (−1.3%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +10.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (893.25 IDR to 3,037 IDR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
55‑month range 125.22 IDR – 2,773 IDR · fair‑value band 893.25 IDR – 3,037 IDR · the 1,680 IDR price screens above the 1,251 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, (ADMR) currently trades at 1,680 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,251 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 25.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, generated revenue of 1.0B IDR at a net margin of 28.2%. Revenue grew 33.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.9%. Net debt stands at 346M IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 893.25 IDR (bear case) to 3,037 IDR (bull case); at 1,680 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 88% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -26%, ADMR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (3,394 IDR) versus Asset-Based (535.95 IDR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in metallurgical coal mining business in Indonesia. It operates through Mining, Metal Processing, and Other Services segments. The company holds interest in five CCOWs mining concessions located in East Kalimantan and Central Kalimantan.
Full company description
PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in metallurgical coal mining business in Indonesia. It operates through Mining, Metal Processing, and Other Services segments. The company holds interest in five CCOWs mining concessions located in East Kalimantan and Central Kalimantan. It also provides management consulting services. The company was formerly known as PT Adaro Minerals Indonesia Tbk. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk (IDX:ADMR) is a subsidiary of PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, reported revenue of 961M IDR in FY2025 versus 460M IDR in FY2021, a compound +20.2%/yr. Reported net income was 268M IDR in FY2025, compounding +14.6%/yr from FY2021.
ADMR screens 26% overvalued. Compare with Warrior Met Coal, Inc →
Peer Group
Coking Coal · 28 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC | $96.72 | $18.35 | -81% |
| Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 | ¥3.62 | ¥1.24 | -66% |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR | $159.52 | $45.15 | -72% |
| Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 | HK$2.68 | HK$2.34 | -13% |
| Shanxi Coking Co 600740 | ¥3.54 | ¥1.75 | -51% |
| Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 | ¥5.50 | ¥1.72 | -69% |
| Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 | ¥2.74 | ¥1.32 | -52% |
| SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC | $9.26 | $3.67 | -60% |
| Ramaco Resources, Inc METC | $10.91 | $1.80 | -84% |
| Shandong Jinling Mining Co 000655 | ¥6.89 | ¥6.29 | -9% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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