Ramaco Resources, Inc (METC) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $649M
Ramaco Resources, Inc
METC · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated today
Share price −18.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 83% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (14/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($1.21 to $2.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.50 – $54.55 · fair‑value band $1.21 – $2.39 · the $10.53 price screens above the $1.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Ramaco Resources, Inc (METC) currently trades at $10.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.80, implying the stock looks roughly 82.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 14/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ramaco Resources, Inc generated revenue of $524M at a net margin of -11.5%. Revenue declined 9.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.2%. Net debt stands at $28.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.21 (bear case) to $2.39 (bull case); at $10.53, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -83%, METC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($6.25) versus Dividend Discount ($1.07). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 20 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 9
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ramaco Resources, Inc. engages in the development, operation, and sale of metallurgical coal. The company's development portfolio includes the Elk Creek project that covers an area of approximately 20,200 acres located in southern West Virginia; the Berwind property covering an area of approximately 62,500 acres situated on the border of West Virginia and …
Full company description
Ramaco Resources, Inc. engages in the development, operation, and sale of metallurgical coal. The company's development portfolio includes the Elk Creek project that covers an area of approximately 20,200 acres located in southern West Virginia; the Berwind property covering an area of approximately 62,500 acres situated on the border of West Virginia and Virginia; the Knox Creek property, which covers an area of approximately 88,850 acres is located in Virginia; the Maben property covering an area of approximately 28,000 acres located in southern West Virginia; and the Brook Mine property that covers an area of approximately 15,800 acres located in northeastern Wyoming. It serves blast furnace steel mills and coke plants in North America, as well as metallurgical coal consumers internationally. Ramaco Resources, Inc. was founded in 2015 and is based in Lexington, Kentucky.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ramaco Resources, Inc reported revenue of $537M in FY2025 versus $283M in FY2021, a compound +17.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$51.4M in FY2025.
METC screens 83% overvalued. Compare with PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Lowey Dannenberg P.C. Is Investigating Ramaco Resources Inc. (NASDAQ: METC)
- Ramaco outlines Brook Mine NPV of $3.4B-$8B as it lifts 2026 capex to $92-$97M
- Ramaco Resources (METC) Reports Q2 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates
- Zacks Industry Outlook Core Natural Resources, Alliance Resource Partners, and Ramaco
Peer Group
Coking Coal · 28 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR | 1,615 IDR | 1,251 IDR | -23% |
| Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC | $96.72 | $18.35 | -81% |
| Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 | ¥3.62 | ¥1.24 | -66% |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR | $159.52 | $45.15 | -72% |
| Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 | HK$2.68 | HK$2.34 | -13% |
| Shanxi Coking Co 600740 | ¥3.54 | ¥1.75 | -51% |
| Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 | ¥5.50 | ¥1.72 | -69% |
| Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 | ¥2.74 | ¥1.32 | -52% |
| SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC | $9.26 | $3.67 | -60% |
| Shandong Jinling Mining Co 000655 | ¥6.89 | ¥6.29 | -9% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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