Ramaco Resources Inc (METC) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $649M · ISIN US75134P6007
What is Ramaco Resources Inc really worth?
Ramaco Resources Inc
METC · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 586% above our fair value of $1.80.
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +28.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.39). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (14/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($1.21 to $2.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.50 – $54.55 · fair‑value band $1.21 – $2.39 · the $12.35 price screens above the $1.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
Analysis
Ramaco Resources Inc (METC) currently trades at $12.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.80, implying the stock looks roughly 586.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 14/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $6.25 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the $12.35 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $1.07, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ramaco Resources Inc generated revenue of $524M at a net margin of −11.5%. Revenue declined 9.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −15.2%. Net debt stands at $28.5M. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.21 (bear case) to $2.39 (bull case); at $12.35, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −85%, METC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($6.25) versus Dividend Discount ($1.07). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 20 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Ramaco Resources, Inc. engages in the development, operation, and sale of metallurgical coal. The company's development portfolio includes the Elk Creek project that covers an area of approximately 20,200 acres located in southern West Virginia; the Berwind property covering an area of approximately 62,500 acres situated on the border of West Virginia and …
Full company description
Ramaco Resources, Inc. engages in the development, operation, and sale of metallurgical coal. The company's development portfolio includes the Elk Creek project that covers an area of approximately 20,200 acres located in southern West Virginia; the Berwind property covering an area of approximately 62,500 acres situated on the border of West Virginia and Virginia; the Knox Creek property, which covers an area of approximately 88,850 acres is located in Virginia; the Maben property covering an area of approximately 28,000 acres located in southern West Virginia; and the Brook Mine property that covers an area of approximately 15,800 acres located in northeastern Wyoming. It serves blast furnace steel mills and coke plants in North America, as well as metallurgical coal consumers internationally. Ramaco Resources, Inc. was founded in 2015 and is based in Lexington, Kentucky.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ramaco Resources Inc reported revenue of $537M in FY2025 versus $283M in FY2021, a compound +17.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$51.4M in FY2025.
METC screens 586% overvalued. Compare with PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Lowey Dannenberg P.C. Is Investigating Ramaco Resources Inc. (NASDAQ: METC)
- Ramaco outlines Brook Mine NPV of $3.4B-$8B as it lifts 2026 capex to $92-$97M
- Ramaco Resources (METC) Reports Q2 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates
- Zacks Industry Outlook Core Natural Resources, Alliance Resource Partners, and Ramaco
Peer Group
Coking Coal · 27 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR | 1,710 IDR | 969.03 IDR | −43% |
| Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC | $108.26 | $18.35 | −83% |
| Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 | ¥3.62 | ¥1.24 | −66% |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR | $226.23 | $45.15 | −80% |
| Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 | HK$2.68 | HK$2.34 | −13% |
| Shanxi Coking Co 600740 | ¥3.59 | ¥1.75 | −51% |
| Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 | ¥5.50 | ¥1.72 | −69% |
| Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 | ¥2.66 | ¥1.32 | −50% |
| SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC | $9.14 | $3.67 | −60% |
| Shandong Jinling Mining Co 000655 | ¥7.35 | ¥6.29 | −14% |
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