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Shandong Jinling Mining Co Ltd (000655) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 4.4B CNY (≈ $650M) · ISIN CNE000000131

What is Shandong Jinling Mining Co Ltd really worth?

SJ Shandong Jinling Mining Co Ltd 000655 · SHE
Price¥7.21
Fair Value¥6.29
Upside−12.8%
Quality63/100

A solid business, but trading 15% above our fair value of ¥6.29.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +3.0 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 15.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)

Risks

!Narrow moat 35/100
!Weak on valuation: 16 out of 100

For context

·3.13% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ¥4.76 – ¥8.33

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price +5.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥11.61 ¥4.62 Fair Value ¥6.29 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.62 – ¥11.61 · fair‑value band ¥4.76 – ¥8.33 · the ¥7.21 price screens above the ¥6.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

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Analysis

Shandong Jinling Mining Co Ltd (000655) currently trades at ¥7.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.29, implying the stock looks roughly 14.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥6.54 per share, and 6 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥7.21 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥2.68, and 18 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Jinling Mining Co Ltd generated revenue of 1.7B CNY at a net margin of 15.0%. Revenue grew 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.76 (bear case) to ¥8.33 (bull case); at ¥7.21, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −60% fair-value upside, at −13%, 000655 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.1386 per share, which is 2.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence ¥4.09 ¥6.50 ¥10.27 79
Growth DCF ¥4.10 ¥6.40 ¥9.91 77
Residual Income ¥4.77 ¥5.05 ¥5.50 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence ¥4.09 ¥6.50 ¥10.27 79
Owner Earnings ¥4.64 ¥7.40 ¥11.71 75
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.16 ¥4.85 ¥7.03 72
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.16 ¥4.86 ¥6.87 75
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.97 ¥8.41 ¥12.16 70
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.38 ¥5.03 ¥7.32 66
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.46 ¥5.03 ¥7.19 68
10Y P/E Exit ¥4.61 ¥7.50 ¥11.31 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.06 ¥11.69 ¥15.84 64
Lynch FV ¥2.85 ¥4.07 ¥5.29 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.85 ¥4.07 ¥5.29 57
EPV ¥2.35 ¥2.68 ¥2.96 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.74 ¥7.66 ¥9.57 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.14 ¥4.19 ¥5.24 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.74 ¥7.66 ¥9.57 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.12 ¥4.07 ¥5.02 66
EV/EBITDA ¥2.93 ¥3.81 ¥4.70 67
EV/Revenue ¥2.74 ¥3.80 ¥4.86 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.94 ¥3.93 ¥5.87 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥4.10 ¥6.40 ¥9.91 77
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.16 ¥4.85 ¥6.92 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.77 ¥5.05 ¥5.50 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.35 ¥2.68 ¥2.96 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.58 ¥6.54 ¥8.51 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥6.54) versus Economic Profit (¥2.68). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 16.8
P/S ratio 2.70 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.4300 price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.8
Dividend yield 3.1% payout 52.6%
Net margin 16.1% FY2025
Return on equity 7.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 5.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 1.7B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.1% 3y avg +6.6%
EPS growth (YoY) −28.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 199M CNY FY2025
Net cash 2.1B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Shandong Jinling Mining Co., Ltd. engages in the iron ore mining business in China. It produces and sells iron concentrate, copper concentrate, and pellets; mechanical equipment, such as cages, miner cars, crusher, scrapers, cages, and other steel products; and technical services. The company was formerly known as Shandong Zibo Huaguang Ceramics Co., Ltd.

Full company description

Shandong Jinling Mining Co., Ltd. engages in the iron ore mining business in China. It produces and sells iron concentrate, copper concentrate, and pellets; mechanical equipment, such as cages, miner cars, crusher, scrapers, cages, and other steel products; and technical services. The company was formerly known as Shandong Zibo Huaguang Ceramics Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Zibo, China. Shandong Jinling Mining Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Shandong Iron and Steel Group Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shandong Jinling Mining Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.3%/yr. Reported net income was 268M CNY in FY2025, compounding +20.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+7.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (30Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+11.4% (8.3 + 3.1)
Revenue −2.3%/yr
FY21 1.8B CNY
FY22 1.4B CNY
FY23 1.5B CNY
FY24 1.5B CNY
FY25 1.7B CNY
Net income +20.3%/yr
FY21 128M CNY
FY22 203M CNY
FY23 235M CNY
FY24 204M CNY
FY25 268M CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) −1.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share −0.9 %

of which total revenue −0.9 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin +0.4 %
Tax rate +1.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

000655 screens 15% overvalued. Compare with PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Jinling Mining Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000655

Peer Group

Coking Coal · 27 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −13% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.24× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.57× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 22.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE16 · sector 0
FUTURE46 · sector 17
PAST30 · sector 0
HEALTH99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND63 · sector 20

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Coal

Similar stocks

10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR 1,710 IDR 969.03 IDR −43%
Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC $108.26 $18.35 −83%
Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 ¥3.62 ¥1.24 −66%
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR $226.23 $45.15 −80%
Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 HK$2.68 HK$2.34 −13%
Shanxi Coking Co 600740 ¥3.59 ¥1.75 −51%
Kailuan Energy Chemical Co 600997 ¥5.50 ¥1.72 −69%
Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 ¥2.66 ¥1.32 −50%
SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC $9.14 $3.67 −60%
Ramaco Resources, Inc METC $14.24 $1.80 −87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shandong Jinling Mining Co Ltd (000655) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.29 versus a price of ¥7.21, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000655?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Jinling Mining Co Ltd is ¥6.29 (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.21.
What is the quality score of 000655?
Shandong Jinling Mining Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shandong Jinling Mining Co Ltd (000655)?
Shandong Jinling Mining Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000655?
The net profit margin of Shandong Jinling Mining Co Ltd is about 15.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shandong Jinling Mining Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shandong Jinling Mining Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.13% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 28, 2026).
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