Kailuan Energy Chemical Co Ltd (600997) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 8.6B CNY (≈ $1.3B) · ISIN CNE000001HX1
What is Kailuan Energy Chemical Co Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 60% above our fair value of ¥3.44.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥1.72 to ¥3.44 (+100.0%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price −1.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (¥3.34 to ¥3.54), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.75 – ¥10.30 · fair‑value band ¥3.34 – ¥3.54 · the ¥5.51 price screens above the ¥3.44 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Kailuan Energy Chemical Co Ltd (600997) currently trades at ¥5.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.44, implying the stock looks roughly 60.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥5.75 per share, and 2 of the 7 models we run sit above the ¥5.51 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.07, and 5 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Kailuan Energy Chemical Co Ltd generated revenue of 17.3B CNY at a net margin of −1.2%. Revenue declined 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −1.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.34 (bear case) to ¥3.54 (bull case); at ¥5.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −38%, 600997 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥5.75) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.07). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Kailuan Energy Chemical Co.,Ltd. engages in coal, coal chemical, and other businesses in China and internationally. It is involved in coal mining, raw coal washing and processing; coking; and production and sales of coal chemical products, such as metallurgical coke; investment; and house leasing.
Full company description
Kailuan Energy Chemical Co.,Ltd. engages in coal, coal chemical, and other businesses in China and internationally. It is involved in coal mining, raw coal washing and processing; coking; and production and sales of coal chemical products, such as metallurgical coke; investment; and house leasing. The company offers chemical products, such as methanol, benzene, adipic acid, and polyoxymethylene; coal tar derivatives; technical services; and promotion services for new material technologies. The company was formerly known as Kailuan Coal Co., Ltd. Kailuan Energy Chemical Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Tangshan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kailuan Energy Chemical Co Ltd reported revenue of 17.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 23.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −6.9%/yr. Reported net income was −32.4M CNY in FY2025.
of which total revenue +4.2 % · buybacks/dilution −2.5 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
600997 screens 60% overvalued. Compare with PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, →
Peer Group
Coking Coal · 27 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR | 1,710 IDR | 969.03 IDR | −43% |
| Warrior Met Coal, Inc HCC | $108.26 | $18.35 | −83% |
| Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 | ¥3.62 | ¥1.24 | −66% |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR | $226.23 | $45.15 | −80% |
| Shougang Fushan Resources Group 0639 | HK$2.68 | HK$2.34 | −13% |
| Shanxi Coking Co 600740 | ¥3.59 | ¥1.75 | −51% |
| Baotailong New Materials Co 601011 | ¥2.66 | ¥1.32 | −50% |
| SunCoke Energy, Inc SXC | $9.14 | $3.67 | −60% |
| Shandong Jinling Mining Co 000655 | ¥7.35 | ¥6.29 | −14% |
| Ramaco Resources, Inc METC | $14.24 | $1.80 | −87% |
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