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Grupo Supervielle S.A (SUPV) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $955M

GS Grupo Supervielle S.A logo Grupo Supervielle S.A SUPV · US
Price$8.43
Fair Value$5.92
Upside-29.8%
Quality32/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -10.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Low Range $3.05 – $8.74 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $6.11 to $5.92 (−3.1%) since Jul 27, 2026. Share price −12.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 30% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($3.05 to $8.74). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$18.91 $1.20 Fair Value $5.92 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.20 – $18.91 · fair‑value band $3.05 – $8.74 · the $8.43 price screens above the $5.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Grupo Supervielle S.A (SUPV) currently trades at $8.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.92, implying the stock looks roughly 29.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Grupo Supervielle S.A generated revenue of $731B at a net margin of -10.4%. Revenue grew 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $549B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.05 (bear case) to $8.74 (bull case); at $8.43, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 86% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at -30%, SUPV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $6,695 $8,971 $13,390 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6,695 $8,971 $13,390 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $731B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.1%
Net margin -10.4%
Return on equity -7.8%
Free cash flow −$1.1T FY2025
Operating margin -10.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.5100
EPS growth (YoY) -42.3%
Net cash $549B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 30
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Grupo Supervielle S.A., a financial services holding company, provides various banking products and services in Argentina. The company operates through Personal & Business Banking, Corporate Banking, Bank Treasury, Insurance, and Asset Management and Other Services segments.

Full company description

Grupo Supervielle S.A., a financial services holding company, provides various banking products and services in Argentina. The company operates through Personal & Business Banking, Corporate Banking, Bank Treasury, Insurance, and Asset Management and Other Services segments. It offers savings and checking accounts, and time deposits; personal, mortgage, unsecured, and car loans; overdrafts; loans with special facilities for project and working capital financing; and leasing, bank guarantees for tenants, salary advances, domestic and international factoring, international guarantees and letters of credit, payroll payment plans, and credit and debit cards, as well as financial services and investments, such as mutual funds, guarantees, and benefit payments for senior citizens. The company also provides foreign trade and cash management; advisory services; treasury services; insurance products comprising life, home, personal accidents, technology, ATMs, protected bag and content, and integral insurance product for entrepreneurs and SME customers and other insurance policies; and asset management and other services, as well as operates as a digital online broker. It operates through a network of branches, ATMs, and self-service terminals. The company was formerly known as Inversiones y Participaciones S.A. and changed its name to Grupo Supervielle S.A. in November 2008. Grupo Supervielle S.A. was founded in 1887 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Grupo Supervielle S.A reported revenue of $2.3T in FY2025 versus $794B in FY2021, a compound +30.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$56.6B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.3T
Latest YoY
+13.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+57.2%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+69.9%
Revenue +30.8%/yr
FY21 $794B
FY22 $2.0T
FY23 $3.0T
FY24 $2.0T
FY25 $2.3T
Net income
FY21 −$10.5B
FY22 −$34.1B
FY23 $112B
FY24 $104B
FY25 −$56.6B

SUPV screens 30% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Supervielle S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SUPV

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1086 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −30% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.17× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

PEG 0.29× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 33
FUTURE 6 · sector 44
PAST 0 · sector 41
HEALTH 91 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,350 IDR 4,637 IDR -27%
KB Financial Group 105560 168,100 KRW 220,258 KRW +31%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 3,110 IDR 3,792 IDR +22%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,130 IDR 6,067 IDR +47%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 8,400 ARS +64%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 103,800 KRW 146,032 KRW +41%
Hana Financial Group 086790 127,900 KRW 210,506 KRW +65%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,500 VND 45,959 VND -23%
Woori Financial Group 316140 33,000 KRW 60,758 KRW +84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Grupo Supervielle S.A (SUPV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.92 versus a price of $8.43, about −30% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SUPV?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Supervielle S.A is $5.92 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.43.
What is the quality score of SUPV?
Grupo Supervielle S.A has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Grupo Supervielle S.A (SUPV)?
Grupo Supervielle S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $731B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SUPV?
The net profit margin of Grupo Supervielle S.A is about -10.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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