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Grupo Supervielle SA (SUPV) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $955M · ISIN US40054A1088

What is Grupo Supervielle SA really worth?

GS Grupo Supervielle SA logo Grupo Supervielle SA SUPV · US
Price$8.78
Fair Value$5.92
Upside−32.6%
Quality32/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 48% above our fair value of $5.92.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +57.2 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -10.4% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 6 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range $3.05 – $8.74

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $6.11 to $5.92 (−3.1%) since Jul 27, 2026. Share price −3.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($3.05 to $8.74). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$18.91 $1.20 Fair Value $5.92 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.20 – $18.91 · fair‑value band $3.05 – $8.74 · the $8.78 price screens above the $5.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Grupo Supervielle SA (SUPV) currently trades at $8.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.92, implying the stock looks roughly 48.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Revenue grew 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −7.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $549B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.05 (bear case) to $8.74 (bull case); at $8.78, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 93% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −33%, SUPV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $6,695 $8,971 $13,390 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence $6,695 $8,971 $13,390 54

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Key figures & financial health

EPS (TTM) $−0.5100
Net margin −2.4% FY2025
Return on equity −7.8% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.4% avg 5y
Operating margin −10.0% TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.1% 3y avg +5.8%
More key figures
Growth
EPS growth (YoY) −42.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$1.1T FY2025
Net cash $549B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 30
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Grupo Supervielle S.A., a financial services holding company, provides various banking products and services in Argentina. The company operates through Personal & Business Banking, Corporate Banking, Bank Treasury, Insurance, and Asset Management and Other Services segments.

Full company description

Grupo Supervielle S.A., a financial services holding company, provides various banking products and services in Argentina. The company operates through Personal & Business Banking, Corporate Banking, Bank Treasury, Insurance, and Asset Management and Other Services segments. It offers savings and checking accounts, and time deposits; personal, mortgage, unsecured, and car loans; overdrafts; loans with special facilities for project and working capital financing; and leasing, bank guarantees for tenants, salary advances, domestic and international factoring, international guarantees and letters of credit, payroll payment plans, and credit and debit cards, as well as financial services and investments, such as mutual funds, guarantees, and benefit payments for senior citizens. The company also provides foreign trade and cash management; advisory services; treasury services; insurance products comprising life, home, personal accidents, technology, ATMs, protected bag and content, and integral insurance product for entrepreneurs and SME customers and other insurance policies; and asset management and other services, as well as operates as a digital online broker. It operates through a network of branches, ATMs, and self-service terminals. The company was formerly known as Inversiones y Participaciones S.A. and changed its name to Grupo Supervielle S.A. in November 2008. Grupo Supervielle S.A. was founded in 1887 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Grupo Supervielle SA reported revenue of 2.3T ARS in FY2025 versus 794B ARS in FY2021, a compound +30.8%/yr. Reported net income was −56.6B ARS in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.3T
Latest YoY
+13.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+57.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+69.9%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +30.8%/yr
FY21 794B ARS
FY22 2.0T ARS
FY23 3.0T ARS
FY24 2.0T ARS
FY25 2.3T ARS
Net income
FY21 −10.5B ARS
FY22 −34.1B ARS
FY23 112B ARS
FY24 104B ARS
FY25 −56.6B ARS

SUPV screens 48% overvalued. Compare with DBS Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grupo Supervielle SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SUPV

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1071 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −33% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −10% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −10% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.17× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

PEG 0.29× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 33
FUTURE6 · sector 45
PAST0 · sector 41
HEALTH91 · sector 85
DIVIDEND0 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DBS Group D05 75.65 SGD 40.48 SGD −46%
China Merchants Bank Co 3968 HK$47.96 HK$76.51 +60%
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.78 €5.66 −17%
HDFC Bank Limited HDB $23.17 $24.12 +4%
BNP Paribas SA BNP €102.56 €144.64 +41%
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €84.71 €77.62 −8%
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $10.74 $9.69 −10%
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,443 ₹835.21 −42%
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 31.07 SGD 19.80 SGD −36%
CaixaBank, S.A CABK €13.52 €8.85 −35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Grupo Supervielle SA (SUPV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.92 versus a price of $8.78, about −33% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SUPV?
Our model-based fair value for Grupo Supervielle SA is $5.92 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.78.
What is the quality score of SUPV?
Grupo Supervielle SA has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of SUPV?
The net profit margin of Grupo Supervielle SA is about −10.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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