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Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V (SORIANAB) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · MX · Market cap 53.1B MXN (≈ $3.1B) · ISIN MXP8728U1671

What is Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V really worth?

OS Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V SORIANAB · MX
Price26.75 MXN
Fair Value54.64 MXN
Upside+104.3%
Quality62/100

A solid business, trading 51% below our fair value of 54.64 MXN.

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Strengths

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/15)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +2.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.0% net margin
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 16 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range 33.55 MXN – 74.49 MXN

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 59.59 MXN to 54.64 MXN (−8.3%) since Jul 16, 2026.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (33.55 MXN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (33.55 MXN to 74.49 MXN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

42.10 MXN 15.98 MXN Fair Value 54.64 MXN Dec 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 15.98 MXN – 42.10 MXN · fair‑value band 33.55 MXN – 74.49 MXN · the 26.75 MXN price screens below the 54.64 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V (SORIANAB) currently trades at 26.75 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 54.64 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 51.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 63.05 MXN per share, and 21 of the 25 models we run sit above the 26.75 MXN price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 8.25 MXN, and 4 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V generated revenue of 177B MXN at a net margin of 2.0%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. Net debt stands at 6.1B MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 33.55 MXN (bear case) to 74.49 MXN (bull case); at 26.75 MXN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 104%, SORIANAB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 38.82 MXN 61.37 MXN 95.30 MXN 79
Growth DCF 39.66 MXN 59.80 MXN 88.39 MXN 78
Residual Income 35.35 MXN 36.66 MXN 37.93 MXN 76
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 38.82 MXN 61.37 MXN 95.30 MXN 79
5Y Revenue Exit 41.33 MXN 68.50 MXN 102.96 MXN 72
5Y EBITDA Exit 52.32 MXN 88.85 MXN 131.15 MXN 74
5Y P/E Exit 37.12 MXN 60.70 MXN 85.06 MXN 70
10Y Revenue Exit 38.56 MXN 63.05 MXN 95.48 MXN 66
10Y EBITDA Exit 47.00 MXN 77.11 MXN 116.80 MXN 67
10Y P/E Exit 37.34 MXN 57.67 MXN 81.95 MXN 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 19.30 MXN 57.05 MXN 75.47 MXN 65
Lynch FV 11.98 MXN 17.11 MXN 22.25 MXN 61
PEG = 1.0 11.98 MXN 17.11 MXN 22.25 MXN 57
EPV 36.41 MXN 43.05 MXN 48.86 MXN 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 5.10 MXN 10.61 MXN 16.83 MXN 66
DDM Multi-Stage 5.10 MXN 8.25 MXN 11.13 MXN 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 44.69 MXN 59.59 MXN 74.49 MXN 63
P/S Multiple 36.18 MXN 48.24 MXN 60.30 MXN 58
P/B Multiple 36.18 MXN 48.24 MXN 60.30 MXN 55
EV/EBIT 64.58 MXN 87.25 MXN 109.92 MXN 66
EV/EBITDA 67.67 MXN 91.38 MXN 115.08 MXN 67
EV/Revenue 45.10 MXN 65.91 MXN 86.72 MXN 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 22.23 MXN 29.79 MXN 44.47 MXN 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 39.66 MXN 59.80 MXN 88.39 MXN 78
Rev-Margin DCF 41.33 MXN 68.51 MXN 99.28 MXN 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income 35.35 MXN 36.66 MXN 37.93 MXN 76
ROIC Compounder 36.41 MXN 43.05 MXN 53.27 MXN 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 36.32 MXN 51.88 MXN 67.44 MXN 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (63.05 MXN) versus Dividend Discount (8.25 MXN). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 10.8
P/S ratio 0.31 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 2.47 MXN price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.8
Net margin 2.9% FY2023
Return on equity 4.1% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 4.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 177B MXN TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −2.4% 3y avg +3.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +21.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 6.7B MXN FY2023
Net debt 6.1B MXN FY2023 · ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, operates various formats of stores and clubs in Mexico. The company's stores offer various food, clothing, general merchandise, and health products, as well as grocery products and perishable goods under the retail, medium wholesale, and wholesale schemes.

Full company description

Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, operates various formats of stores and clubs in Mexico. The company's stores offer various food, clothing, general merchandise, and health products, as well as grocery products and perishable goods under the retail, medium wholesale, and wholesale schemes. It operates its stores under the Soriana Híper, Soriana Súper, Soriana Mercado, City Club, and Sodimac name; and Soriana.com, an online store. The company also leases commercial premises to stores and distribution centers; and conducts commercial developments. Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V. was founded in 1968 and is based in Monterrey, Mexico.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2019 – FY2023 · reported fiscal years

Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V reported revenue of 176B MXN in FY2023 versus 155B MXN in FY2019, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was 5.0B MXN in FY2023, compounding +11.6%/yr from FY2019.

Growth Quality 51/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2023)
176B MXN
Latest YoY
+6.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in MXN) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.7% (6.7 + 0.0)
Revenue +3.2%/yr
FY19 155B MXN
FY20 157B MXN
FY21 155B MXN
FY22 166B MXN
FY23 176B MXN
Net income +11.6%/yr
FY19 3.2B MXN
FY20 3.7B MXN
FY21 4.3B MXN
FY22 5.0B MXN
FY23 5.0B MXN

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SORIANAB

Peer Group

Department Stores · 121 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +104% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth −2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.67× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.30× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.84× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 23
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST16 · sector 16
HEALTH92 · sector 95
DIVIDEND0 · sector 44

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Falabella S.A FALABELLA 6,380 CLP 8,005 CLP +25%
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Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD 1,949 CLP 2,425 CLP +24%
Macy's, Inc M $21.93 $42.68 +95%
Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM ₹107.00 ₹30.46 −72%
Central Retail Corporation CRC 27.50 THB 20.89 THB −24%
SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 424,000 KRW 177,841 KRW −58%
Lotte Shopping Co 023530 96,700 KRW 76,636 KRW −21%
PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk MDIY 940.00 IDR 968.76 IDR +3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V (SORIANAB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 54.64 MXN versus a price of 26.75 MXN, about +104% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SORIANAB?
Our model-based fair value for Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V is 54.64 MXN (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 26.75 MXN.
What is the quality score of SORIANAB?
Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V (SORIANAB)?
Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 177B MXN (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SORIANAB?
The net profit margin of Organización Soriana S. A. B. de C. V is about 2.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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