Signet Jewelers Ltd (SIG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $3.6B · ISIN BMG812761002
What is Signet Jewelers Ltd really worth?
Signet Jewelers Ltd
SIG · US
A solid business, trading 50% below our fair value of $164.68.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price −15.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (74/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($123.51). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $45.52 – $106.14 · fair‑value band $123.51 – $205.85 · the $82.02 price screens below the $164.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Signet Jewelers Ltd (SIG) currently trades at $82.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $164.68, implying the stock looks roughly 50.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $347.77 per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the $82.02 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $19.96, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Signet Jewelers Ltd generated revenue of $6.8B at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.9%. Net debt stands at $343M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $123.51 (bear case) to $205.85 (bull case); at $82.02, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at 101%, SIG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 7 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $3.41 per share, which is 2.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($347.77) versus Dividend Discount ($19.96). Highest evidence: EPV (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Signet Jewelers Limited operates as a diamond jewelry retailer in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and Republic of Irland. It operates through three segments: North America, International, and other.
Full company description
Signet Jewelers Limited operates as a diamond jewelry retailer in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, and Republic of Irland. It operates through three segments: North America, International, and other. The North America segment operates jewelry stores in malls, mall-based kiosks, and off-mall locations in the United States and Canada primarily under the Kay, Zales, Jared Jewelers, Diamonds Direct, Banter by Piercing Pagoda, Peoples Jewellers, and Rocksbox brands, as well as operates online through its digital brands, James Allen and Blue Nile. The International segment operates stores in shopping malls, off-mall locations, and online primarily under the H.Samuel and Ernest Jones brands in the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland. The Other segment engages in the purchase and conversion of rough diamonds to polished stones, as well as offers diamond polishing services. Signet Jewelers Limited was founded in 1862 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Signet Jewelers Ltd reported revenue of $6.8B in FY2026 versus $7.8B in FY2022, a compound −3.4%/yr. Reported net income was $294M in FY2026, compounding −21.4%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +1.1 % · buybacks/dilution +6.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch SIG: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Signet (SIG) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investors
- Why the Market Dipped But Signet (SIG) Gained Today
- Signet Jewelers Poised for 'Modest' Fiscal Q2 Beat, Raise, UBS Says
Peer Group
Luxury Goods · 135 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hermès International Société en commandite par actions RMS | €1,598 | €950.24 | −41% |
| Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR | CHF 192.15 | CHF 119.49 | −38% |
| Christian Dior SE DIO | €423.60 | €1,095 | +159% |
| Titan Company TITAN | ₹5,106 | ₹972.23 | −81% |
| Tapestry, Inc TPR | $153.74 | $19.95 | −87% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$12.31 | HK$11.51 | −6% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 36.35 | CHF 8.46 | −77% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$40.86 | HK$64.71 | +58% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 783.00 | kr 1,424 | +82% |
| Laopu Gold Co 6181 | HK$385.00 | HK$654.83 | +70% |
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