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Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd (SHG) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $31.2B · ISIN US8245961003

What is Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd really worth?

SF Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd logo Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd SHG · US
Price$84.47
Fair Value$44.60
Upside−47.2%
Quality59/100

A solid business, but trading 89% above our fair value of $44.60.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 32.0% net margin

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +6.2 %/yr)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Moderate moat 64/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·2.83% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $33.45 – $55.75

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from $98.23 to $44.60 (−54.6%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +17.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($55.75). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$84.47 $19.37 Fair Value $44.60 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $19.37 – $84.47 · fair‑value band $33.45 – $55.75 · the $84.47 price screens above the $44.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd (SHG) currently trades at $84.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $44.60, implying the stock looks roughly 89.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 26 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd generated revenue of $16.0T at a net margin of 32.0%. Revenue grew 6.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.6%. Net debt stands at $133T. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $33.45 (bear case) to $55.75 (bull case); at $84.47, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 98% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −47%, SHG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $97,041 $106,822 $166,730 75
Gordon GGM $17.75 $36.91 $58.55 66
DDM Multi-Stage $17.75 $31.12 $38.74 66
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $17.75 $36.91 $58.55 66
DDM Multi-Stage $17.75 $31.12 $38.74 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $102,944 $137,259 $171,574 63
P/B Multiple $118,649 $158,199 $197,748 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $56,500 $75,709 $112,999 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $97,041 $106,822 $166,730 75

Widest divergence: Multiples ($137,259) versus Dividend Discount ($31.12). Highest evidence: Residual Income (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.6
P/S ratio 1.81 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $6.68 price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.6
Dividend yield 2.8% payout 35.8%
Net margin 14.3% FY2025
Return on equity 8.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 51.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $16.0T TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.6% 3y avg +12.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +14.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $9.1T FY2025
Net debt $133T FY2025 · ≈ 14.6 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 88

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 91
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 95
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. provides financial products and services in South Korea, Vietnam, and Japan. The company operates in six segments: Banking, Credit card, Securities, Insurance, Credit, and Others.

Full company description

Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. provides financial products and services in South Korea, Vietnam, and Japan. The company operates in six segments: Banking, Credit card, Securities, Insurance, Credit, and Others. It offers credit, lending and receiving deposits; credit cards, short-term and long-term card loan services, installment financing, and leases; securities trading, consignment trading, and underwriting; life and non-life insurance business; facility rental and new technology business financing; and real estate trust, investment advisory services, venture business investment, and other businesses. Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1982 and is based in Seoul, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd reported revenue of $34.7T in FY2025 versus $25.8T in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was $5.0T in FY2025, compounding +5.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$34.7T
Latest YoY
−2.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+9.8% (7.0 + 2.8)
Revenue +7.7%/yr
FY21 $25.8T
FY22 $24.6T
FY23 $33.8T
FY24 $35.4T
FY25 $34.7T
Net income +5.5%/yr
FY21 $4.0T
FY22 $4.7T
FY23 $4.4T
FY24 $4.5T
FY25 $5.0T
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.4 %

of which total revenue +11.3 % · buybacks/dilution −0.7 %

EBIT margin −11.9 %
Tax rate −1.0 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +10.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SHG screens 89% overvalued. Compare with DBS Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SHG

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1071 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −47% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 32% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 51% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 2.48× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.6× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 5.10× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 33
FUTURE33 · sector 45
PAST35 · sector 41
HEALTH0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND57 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DBS Group D05 75.65 SGD 40.48 SGD −46%
China Merchants Bank Co 3968 HK$47.96 HK$76.51 +60%
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.78 €5.66 −17%
HDFC Bank Limited HDB $23.17 $24.12 +4%
BNP Paribas SA BNP €102.56 €144.64 +41%
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €84.71 €77.62 −8%
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $10.74 $9.69 −10%
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,443 ₹835.21 −42%
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 31.07 SGD 19.80 SGD −36%
CaixaBank, S.A CABK €13.52 €8.85 −35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd (SHG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $44.60 versus a price of $84.47, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SHG?
Our model-based fair value for Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd is $44.60 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $84.47.
What is the quality score of SHG?
Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd (SHG)?
Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $16.0T (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SHG?
The net profit margin of Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd is about 32.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.83% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 27, 2026).
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