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Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd (SGGKY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $26.5B

ST Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd logo Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd SGGKY · US
Price$84.03
Fair Value$18.62
Upside-77.8%
Quality58/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.8% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.65% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range $13.96 – $25.48 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $18.46 to $18.62 (+0.9%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price −1.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 78% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($25.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($13.96 to $25.48) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$89.83 $12.82 Fair Value $18.62 Feb 2016 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $12.82 – $89.83 · fair‑value band $13.96 – $25.48 · the $84.03 price screens above the $18.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd (SGGKY) currently trades at $84.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.62, implying the stock looks roughly 77.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd generated revenue of $12.3B at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue grew 11.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.9%. Net debt stands at $4.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $13.96 (bear case) to $25.48 (bull case); at $84.03, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -78%, SGGKY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $33.56 $54.76 $85.92 80
Residual Income $8.01 $9.61 $16.99 76
Rev-Margin DCF $24.13 $41.80 $62.85 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $33.12 $57.63 $96.34 38
Owner Earnings $8.06 $17.06 $31.28 31
5Y Revenue Exit $24.13 $41.69 $64.17 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $33.94 $60.52 $92.01 41
5Y P/E Exit $17.60 $29.17 $41.28 38
10Y Revenue Exit $26.11 $43.16 $66.40 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $33.28 $56.42 $88.16 37
10Y P/E Exit $22.76 $34.35 $48.50 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $7.72 $27.06 $36.39 54
Lynch FV $6.31 $9.01 $11.72 50
PEG = 1.0 $6.31 $9.01 $11.72 46
EPV $16.96 $20.86 $24.28 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $15.36 $31.94 $50.67 70
DDM Multi-Stage $15.36 $26.87 $33.52 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $17.88 $23.84 $29.80 63
P/S Multiple $14.47 $19.30 $24.12 58
P/B Multiple $14.47 $19.30 $24.12 55
EV/EBIT $31.31 $43.91 $56.51 53
EV/EBITDA $39.00 $54.16 $69.32 54
EV/Revenue $20.49 $32.05 $43.61 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.12 $5.53 $8.25 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $33.56 $54.76 $85.92 80
Rev-Margin DCF $24.13 $41.80 $62.85 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $8.01 $9.61 $16.99 76
ROIC Compounder $18.86 $26.26 $35.36 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.43 $22.04 $28.66 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($41.80) versus Asset-Based ($5.53). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $12.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.7%
Net margin 3.8%
Return on equity 16.9%
Free cash flow $1.1B FY2025
P/E ratio 73.7
More key figures
Operating margin 9.1%
EPS (TTM) $1.14
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -83.7%
Net debt $4.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd operates as a technology, defence, and engineering company worldwide. The company operates through Commercial Aerospace, Defence & Public Security, and Urban Solutions & Satcom segments.

Full company description

Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd operates as a technology, defence, and engineering company worldwide. The company operates through Commercial Aerospace, Defence & Public Security, and Urban Solutions & Satcom segments. It provides cabin interiors and engineering solutions; turnkey solutions for composite panels; passenger-to-freighter conversion services; nacelles and aerostructures solutions; precision manufacturing services; unmanned aircraft system solutions; maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services for airframes, engines, and components; and aviation asset management services, including aircraft and engine leasing. It also offers integrated transport operations center; smart mobility solutions, including smart metro systems, smart rail MRO solutions, commercial and electric vehicles, fleet management systems, smart traffic systems, tolling and congestion pricing solutions, and mobility services, as well as AGIL Bus Rapid Transit, a future-ready mobility system that offers both rail and bus systems; smart security, lighting, water, and sensors; digital platforms; AGIL Smart Energy Building solutions; digital health, financial technologies, and urban environment solutions. In addition, the company provides defense and security solutions for air, land, and sea; smart facilities; training and simulation systems; logistics and facilities management, advanced manufacturing, and critical infrastructure solutions; homeland security; maritime systems; cybersecurity, data science, analytics, and AI solutions; cloud and data orchestration services; advanced connectivity solutions; and business process outsourcing services. Further, it designs and delivers robust command, control, communications, computers, cybersecurity, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance solutions; and Wing-in-Ground craft solutions. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd reported revenue of $9.4B in FY2025 versus $5.7B in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was $354M in FY2025, compounding −4.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 92/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$9.4B
Latest YoY
+12.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.7%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.7%
Revenue +13.3%/yr
FY21 $5.7B
FY22 $6.6B
FY23 $7.5B
FY24 $8.4B
FY25 $9.4B
Net income −4.4%/yr
FY21 $425M
FY22 $388M
FY23 $437M
FY24 $525M
FY25 $354M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −21.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share −17.8 pp

of which total revenue +6.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −24.1 pp

EBIT margin +0.0 pp
Tax rate −0.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SGGKY screens 78% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SGGKY

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 225 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.01× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 73.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 10.31× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.15× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 25.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 18.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.86× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 59 · sector 50
PAST 68 · sector 39
HEALTH 50 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 33 · sector 15

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $365.33 $116.71 -68%
RTX Corporation RTX $222.76 $88.37 -60%
Airbus SE 1AIR €213.05 €86.20 -60%
The Boeing Company BA $231.20 $49.09 -79%
China CSSC Holdings 600150 ¥33.89 ¥21.90 -35%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 496,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -45%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 1,156,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -50%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 346.75 TRY 130.70 TRY -62%
Saab AB SAABB kr 680.10 kr 212.84 -69%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG kr 330.10 kr 101.07 -69%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd (SGGKY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.62 versus a price of $84.03, about −78% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SGGKY?
Our model-based fair value for Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd is $18.62 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $84.03.
What is the quality score of SGGKY?
Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd (SGGKY)?
Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $12.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SGGKY?
The net profit margin of Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd is about 3.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd pay a dividend?
Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.65% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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