Regis Resources Ltd (RRL) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$4.7B (≈ $3.4B) · ISIN AU000000RRL8
What is Regis Resources Ltd really worth?
A strong business, but trading 49% above our fair value of A$5.71.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price +37.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 85/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$7.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.25 – A$9.58 · fair‑value band A$4.28 – A$7.14 · the A$8.48 price screens above the A$5.71 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
Analysis
Regis Resources Ltd (RRL) currently trades at A$8.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$5.71, implying the stock looks roughly 48.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 85/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$15.84 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the A$8.48 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$1.43, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Regis Resources Ltd generated revenue of A$2.0B at a net margin of 25.0%. Revenue grew 40.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$386M. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$4.28 (bear case) to A$7.14 (bull case); at A$8.48, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 121% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −33%, RRL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly A$0.4400 per share, which is 7.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$15.84) versus Asset-Based (A$1.43). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 82 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Regis Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of gold projects in Australia. It owns interest in the Duketon gold project located in the North Eastern Goldfields of Western Australia; and the McPhillamys gold project situated in the Central Western region of New South Wales.
Full company description
Regis Resources Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of gold projects in Australia. It owns interest in the Duketon gold project located in the North Eastern Goldfields of Western Australia; and the McPhillamys gold project situated in the Central Western region of New South Wales. It also holds interest in the Tropicana Gold Project located to the north-east of Kalgoorlie in Western Australia. Regis Resources Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Subiaco, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Regis Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$1.6B in FY2025 versus A$819M in FY2021, a compound +19.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$254M in FY2025, compounding +14.8%/yr from FY2021.
RRL screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Peer Group
Gold · 245 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $128.00 | $112.82 | −12% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥32.21 | ¥39.42 | +22% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$268.76 | C$213.40 | −21% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $41.23 | $50.66 | +23% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | $271.31 | $96.63 | −64% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$201.40 | C$56.05 | −72% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $97.92 | $88.63 | −9% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $32.51 | $34.62 | +6% |
| Royal Gold, Inc RGLD | $262.85 | $93.56 | −64% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$23.19 | A$15.98 | −31% |
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