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PNC Financial Services Group Inc (PNC) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $101B · ISIN US6934751057

What is PNC Financial Services Group Inc really worth?

PF PNC Financial Services Group Inc logo PNC Financial Services Group Inc PNC · US
Price$245.18
Fair Value$192.40
Upside−21.5%
Quality62/100

A solid business, but trading 27% above our fair value of $192.40.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 31.3% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 70/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +11.4 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Weak on valuation: 5 out of 100

For context

·2.73% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $144.30 – $240.50

Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −3.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$256.97 $99.44 Fair Value $192.40 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $99.44 – $256.97 · fair‑value band $144.30 – $240.50 · the $245.18 price screens above the $192.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

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Analysis

PNC Financial Services Group Inc (PNC) currently trades at $245.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $192.40, implying the stock looks roughly 27.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $211.22 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $245.18 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $101.08, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, PNC Financial Services Group Inc generated revenue of $23.0B at a net margin of 31.3%. Revenue grew 13.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.1%. Net debt stands at $17.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $144.30 (bear case) to $240.50 (bull case); at $245.18, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −22%, PNC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $7.11 per share, which is 3.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $137.99 $159.45 $284.50 73
Gordon GGM $67.29 $139.91 $221.96 66
DDM Multi-Stage $67.29 $110.03 $146.84 66
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $67.29 $139.91 $221.96 66
DDM Multi-Stage $67.29 $110.03 $146.84 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $168.41 $224.54 $280.68 63
P/B Multiple $158.42 $211.22 $264.03 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $75.44 $101.08 $150.87 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $137.99 $159.45 $284.50 73

Widest divergence: Multiples ($211.22) versus Asset-Based ($101.08). Highest evidence: Residual Income (73).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 14.2
P/S ratio 3.15 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $17.21 price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.2
Dividend yield 2.7% payout 38.9%
Net margin 22.1% FY2025
Return on equity 12.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 36.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $23.0B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.8% 3y avg +10.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +17.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $4.4B FY2025
Net debt $17.4B FY2025 · ≈ 4.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. operates as a diversified financial services company in the United States. It operates through three segments: Retail Banking, Corporate & Institutional Banking, and Asset Management Group segments.

Full company description

The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. operates as a diversified financial services company in the United States. It operates through three segments: Retail Banking, Corporate & Institutional Banking, and Asset Management Group segments. The Retail Banking segment offers checking, savings, and money market accounts, and time deposit; residential mortgages, home equity loans and lines of credit, auto loans, credit cards, education loans, and personal and small business loans and lines of credit; and brokerage, insurance, and investment and cash management services. This segment serves consumer and small business customers through a network of branches, digital channels, ATMs, and through phone-based customer contact centers. The Corporate & Institutional Banking segment provides secured and unsecured loans, letters of credit, and equipment leases; cash and investment management, receivables and disbursement management, funds transfer, international payment, and access to online/mobile information management and reporting services; asset-backed financing, securities underwriting, loan syndications, mergers and acquisitions and equity capital markets advisory, and customer related services; and commercial loan servicing and technology solutions. It serves mid-sized and large corporations, and government and not-for-profit entities. The Asset Management Group segment offers investment and retirement planning, customized investment management, credit and cash management solutions, and trust management and administration services for high net worth and ultra high net worth individuals, and their families; and multi-generational family planning services. It also offers outsourced chief investment officer, custody, cash and fixed income client solutions, and retirement plan fiduciary investment services for institutional clients. The company was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PNC Financial Services Group Inc reported revenue of $31.3B in FY2025 versus $19.7B in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was $6.9B in FY2025, compounding +5.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$31.3B
Latest YoY
−7.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (36Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+10.7% (8.0 + 2.7)
Revenue +12.3%/yr
FY21 $19.7B
FY22 $23.5B
FY23 $31.9B
FY24 $33.7B
FY25 $31.3B
Net income +5.1%/yr
FY21 $5.7B
FY22 $6.0B
FY23 $5.6B
FY24 $5.9B
FY25 $6.9B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +7.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +11.1 %

of which total revenue +7.9 % · buybacks/dilution +3.0 %

EBIT margin −4.0 %
Tax rate +1.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

PNC screens 27% overvalued. Compare with DBS Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PNC Financial Services Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PNC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1071 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −22% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 31% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 37% · Below median
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.94× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.39× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 23.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.00× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE5 · sector 33
FUTURE69 · sector 45
PAST48 · sector 41
HEALTH53 · sector 85
DIVIDEND55 · sector 51

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DBS Group D05 75.65 SGD 40.48 SGD −46%
China Merchants Bank Co 3968 HK$47.96 HK$76.51 +60%
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.78 €5.66 −17%
HDFC Bank Limited HDB $23.17 $24.12 +4%
BNP Paribas SA BNP €102.56 €144.64 +41%
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €84.71 €77.62 −8%
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $10.74 $9.69 −10%
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,443 ₹835.21 −42%
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 31.07 SGD 19.80 SGD −36%
CaixaBank, S.A CABK €13.52 €8.85 −35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PNC Financial Services Group Inc (PNC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $192.40 versus a price of $245.18, about −22% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PNC?
Our model-based fair value for PNC Financial Services Group Inc is $192.40 (as of Aug 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $245.18.
What is the quality score of PNC?
PNC Financial Services Group Inc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PNC Financial Services Group Inc (PNC)?
PNC Financial Services Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $23.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PNC?
The net profit margin of PNC Financial Services Group Inc is about 31.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 31.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does PNC Financial Services Group Inc pay a dividend?
PNC Financial Services Group Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.73% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 31, 2026).
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