Osisko Gold Ro (OR) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $5.3B · ISIN CA68827L1013
What is Osisko Gold Ro really worth?
Osisko Gold Ro
OR · US
A strong business, but trading 135% above our fair value of $16.06.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +22.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 78/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($21.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.85 – $47.56 · fair‑value band $12.22 – $21.56 · the $37.68 price screens above the $16.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
Analysis
Osisko Gold Ro (OR) currently trades at $37.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.06, implying the stock looks roughly 134.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $24.95 per share, and 1 of the 25 models we run sit above the $37.68 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $2.86, and 24 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Osisko Gold Ro generated revenue of $325M at a net margin of 78.1%. Revenue grew 87.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $133M. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $12.22 (bear case) to $21.56 (bull case); at $37.68, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −57%, OR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.7579 per share, which is 4.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($24.95) versus Dividend Discount ($2.86). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
OR Royalties Inc. acquires and manages precious metal and other royalties, streams, and other interests in Canada and internationally. It also owns options on offtake; royalty/stream financings; and exclusive rights to participate in future royalty/stream financings on various projects.
Full company description
OR Royalties Inc. acquires and manages precious metal and other royalties, streams, and other interests in Canada and internationally. It also owns options on offtake; royalty/stream financings; and exclusive rights to participate in future royalty/stream financings on various projects. The company's primary asset is a 3-5% net smelter return royalty on the Canadian Malartic complex located in Canada. In addition, it is involved in the exploration, evaluation, and development of mining properties. It primarily explores precious metals, including gold, silver, copper, diamond, and others. The company was formerly known as Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd and changed its name to OR Royalties Inc. in May 2025. OR Royalties Inc. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Osisko Gold Ro reported revenue of $282M in FY2025 versus $176M in FY2021, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was $210M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +17.8 % · buybacks/dilution −7.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
OR screens 135% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- OR Royalties Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
- OR Royalties (TSX:OR) Lifts Dividend And Buybacks, Is It Still A Bargain?
- Why OR Royalties (TSX:OR) Is Up 8.9% After Revenue Surges on New Royalty Acquisitions
- OR Royalties Declares Third Quarter 2026 Dividend
Peer Group
Gold · 245 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $128.00 | $112.82 | −12% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥32.21 | ¥39.42 | +22% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$268.76 | C$213.40 | −21% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $41.23 | $50.66 | +23% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | $271.31 | $96.63 | −64% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$201.40 | C$56.05 | −72% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $97.92 | $88.63 | −9% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $32.51 | $34.62 | +6% |
| Royal Gold, Inc RGLD | $262.85 | $93.56 | −64% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$23.19 | A$15.98 | −31% |
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