OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$7.0B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price +18.7% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 18% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (C$32.38 to C$81.55) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from C$32.38 (bear) to C$81.55 (bull), base C$46.89. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 77/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$5.16 – C$57.91 · fair‑value band C$32.38 – C$81.55 · the C$39.58 price screens below the C$46.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) currently trades at C$39.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$46.89, implying the stock looks roughly 18.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, OceanaGold Corporation generated revenue of C$2.2B at a net margin of 33.7%. Revenue grew 98.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 34.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of C$395M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$32.38 (bear case) to C$81.55 (bull case); at C$39.58, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 116% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 18%, OGC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$62.73) versus Dividend Discount (C$1.90). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
OceanaGold Corporation engages in the exploration, development, and operation of gold and gold/copper mines in the United States, the Philippines, and New Zealand. It explores for gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
OceanaGold Corporation reported revenue of C$1.9B in FY2025 versus C$745M in FY2021, a compound +26.8%/yr. Reported net income was C$640M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +10.7 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch OGC: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- OceanaGold Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results
- OceanaGold Announces Renewal of Share Buyback
- OceanaGold Provides Notice of Second Quarter 2026 Results and Conference Call
- OceanaGold (TSX:OGC) Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Weakness
Peer Group
Gold · 248 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $112.82 | +1% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥32.21 | ¥39.42 | +22% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$257.82 | C$154.33 | -40% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $41.23 | $50.66 | +23% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$187.84 | C$52.47 | -72% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$334.84 | C$97.76 | -71% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $97.92 | $88.63 | -9% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $40.73 | $59.06 | +45% |
| Zijin Gold International Company 2259 | HK$135.60 | HK$96.81 | -29% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $27.48 | $34.62 | +26% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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