Anglo American plc (NGLOY) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $56.7B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $20.20 to $40.40 (+100.0%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price +6.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 53% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($19.66 to $52.60). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $11.64 – $28.86 · fair‑value band $19.66 – $52.60 · the $26.39 price screens below the $40.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Anglo American plc (NGLOY) currently trades at $26.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $40.40, implying the stock looks roughly 53.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Anglo American plc generated revenue of $18.5B at a net margin of -20.2%. Revenue grew 17.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.7%. Net debt stands at $9.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $19.66 (bear case) to $52.60 (bull case); at $26.39, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 96% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at 53%, NGLOY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($22.26) versus Dividend Discount ($2.59). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Anglo American plc, a mining company, produces copper, iron ore, and crop nutrients in the United Kingdom and internationally. The company operates through the Premium Iron Ore and the Copper segments. It also explores for nickel, diamonds, steelmaking coal, and manganese ore.
Full company description
Anglo American plc, a mining company, produces copper, iron ore, and crop nutrients in the United Kingdom and internationally. The company operates through the Premium Iron Ore and the Copper segments. It also explores for nickel, diamonds, steelmaking coal, and manganese ore. The company was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Anglo American plc reported revenue of $18.6B in FY2025 versus $41.6B in FY2021, a compound −18.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$4.1B in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 480 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 745.46 MXN | -48% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$179.43 | A$81.76 | -54% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 222.38 MXN | 172.99 MXN | -22% |
| Vale S.A VALEN | 250.00 MXN | 139.41 MXN | -44% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥19.00 | ¥19.80 | +4% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥70.43 | ¥9.55 | -86% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹584.60 | ₹501.98 | -14% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | -74% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | -13% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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