Saudi Arabian Mining Company (1211) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · SA · Market cap 225B SAR (≈ $60.0B) · ISIN SA123GA0ITH7
What is Saudi Arabian Mining Company really worth?
A solid business, but trading 97% above our fair value of 33.87 SAR.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price +15.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (45.95 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (21.56 SAR to 45.95 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 18.80 SAR – 79.50 SAR · fair‑value band 21.56 SAR – 45.95 SAR · the 66.80 SAR price screens above the 33.87 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Saudi Arabian Mining Company (1211) currently trades at 66.80 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.87 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 97.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 52.02 SAR per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the 66.80 SAR price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 10.63 SAR, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Saudi Arabian Mining Company generated revenue of 38.9B SAR at a net margin of 19.1%. Revenue grew 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. Net debt stands at 23.0B SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 21.56 SAR (bear case) to 45.95 SAR (bull case); at 66.80 SAR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −49%, 1211 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 1.55 SAR per share, which is 4.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (52.02 SAR) versus Asset-Based (10.63 SAR). Highest evidence: EPV (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden) operates as a mining and metals company in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Singapore, Korea, the United States, Europe, Australia, Brazil, Africa, Gulf Cooperation Council countries, and internationally.
Full company description
Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden) operates as a mining and metals company in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Singapore, Korea, the United States, Europe, Australia, Brazil, Africa, Gulf Cooperation Council countries, and internationally. The company operates through Phosphate Strategic Business Unit, Aluminium Strategic Business Unit, Base Metals and New Minerals Strategic Business Unit, and All other segments. It primarily mines for gold, phosphate rock, bauxite, kaolin, and magnesite, as well as copper, zinc, carbon, and silver concentrates. The company primarily holds interests in the e Mansourah-Massarah, Ar-Rjum, Mahd Ad-Dahab, Bulghah, Al-Amar, Sukhaybarat, As Suq, Ad Duwayhi, Al-Jalamid, Al-Khabra, Az Zabirah, Al-Ghazallah, and Al-Ba'itha mines. It also produces and sells phosphate fertilizers, ammonia, and industrial minerals, as well as alumina, aluminum, and flat rolled products directly to customers and through marketing agents. In addition, the company offers ingots, slabs, and billets; caustic soda and Ethylene Dichloride (EDC); and potassium fertilizers. Further, it is involved in procurement, marketing, project management and execution, exploration, funding and treasury management and other support activities; development and operation of smelters; and providing cooperative insurance, reinsurance, and related activities. Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden) was founded in 1997 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Saudi Arabian Mining Company reported revenue of 38.6B SAR in FY2025 versus 26.8B SAR in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was 7.3B SAR in FY2025, compounding +8.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +13.8 % · buybacks/dilution −1.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
1211 screens 97% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Aramco and Maaden Move Ahead With Saudi Copper Mining Venture
- Sun Peak Metals Awarded 100% Ownership of Seven New Exploration Licenses Totaling 632 km2 in Saudi Arabia
- Saudi stocks slide over 2% as banks tumble; Aramco limits losses
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 469 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHP | A$66.84 | A$42.16 | −37% |
| Vale S.A VALE | $15.31 | $8.95 | −42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥18.42 | ¥16.15 | −12% |
| Teck Resources Limited TECK | $69.34 | $32.02 | −54% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹573.00 | ₹508.34 | −11% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥66.76 | ¥9.55 | −86% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | −74% |
| Western Mining Co 601168 | ¥37.85 | ¥25.99 | −31% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | −13% |
| Korea Zinc Company 010130 | 1,145,000 KRW | 646,063 KRW | −44% |
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