Western Mining Co (601168) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 103B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +9.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 28% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥32.48). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.18 – ¥43.07 · fair‑value band ¥19.49 – ¥32.48 · the ¥36.30 price screens above the ¥25.99 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Western Mining Co (601168) currently trades at ¥36.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥25.99, implying the stock looks roughly 28.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Western Mining Co generated revenue of 63.9B CNY at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue grew 13.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.5%. Net debt stands at 17.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥19.49 (bear case) to ¥32.48 (bull case); at ¥36.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 140% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at -28%, 601168 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥48.63) versus Asset-Based (¥5.19). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Western Mining Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mining, beneficiation, smelting, and trading of metals in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Nonferrous Metal Mining, Beneficiation and Smelting; Metal Trading; and Financial Service segments.
Full company description
Western Mining Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mining, beneficiation, smelting, and trading of metals in Mainland China and internationally. It operates through Nonferrous Metal Mining, Beneficiation and Smelting; Metal Trading; and Financial Service segments. The company offers basic non-ferrous metals and ferrous metals, such as copper, lead, zinc, iron, nickel, vanadium, and molybdenum; rare and precious metals consisting of gold, silver, and sulfur concentrates; cathode copper; lead and zinc concentrates, copper concentrate, iron ore concentrate and pellets; and zinc ingots and powder, tailings and sulfur slag treatments, electrolytic lead and copper, and ammonium metavanadate. It also engages in trading and futures hedging of non-ferrous metals, including copper, lead, zinc, aluminum, and nickel. In addition, the company provides fund management; mining project investment; finance; and chemical production services. Western Mining Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Xining, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Western Mining Co reported revenue of ¥61.5B in FY2025 versus ¥38.5B in FY2021, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥3.6B in FY2025, compounding +5.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.3 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
601168 screens 28% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 480 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 745.46 MXN | -48% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$179.43 | A$81.76 | -54% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 222.38 MXN | 172.99 MXN | -22% |
| Vale S.A VALEN | 250.00 MXN | 139.41 MXN | -44% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥19.00 | ¥19.80 | +4% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥70.43 | ¥9.55 | -86% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹584.60 | ₹501.98 | -14% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | -74% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | -13% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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