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Hindustan Zinc Limited (HINDZINC) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹2.2T (≈ $23.6B) · ISIN INE267A01025

What is Hindustan Zinc Limited really worth?

HZ Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC · NSE
Price₹601.00
Fair Value₹501.98
Upside−16.5%
Quality76/100

A strong business, but trading 20% above our fair value of ₹501.98.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +12.2 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 35.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Wide moat 90/100

Risks

!Weak on valuation: 11 out of 100

For context

·1.83% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ₹319.24 – ₹749.84

Fair value as of: Aug 25, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price +0.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 76/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹319.24 to ₹749.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹717.12 ₹169.07 Fair Value ₹501.98 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹169.07 – ₹717.12 · fair‑value band ₹319.24 – ₹749.84 · the ₹601.00 price screens above the ₹501.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Hindustan Zinc Limited (HINDZINC) currently trades at ₹601.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹501.98, implying the stock looks roughly 19.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹660.58 per share, and 8 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹601.00 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ₹160.67, and 18 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hindustan Zinc Limited generated revenue of ₹392B at a net margin of 35.3%. Revenue grew 40.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 76.9%. Net debt stands at ₹85.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹319.24 (bear case) to ₹749.84 (bull case); at ₹601.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −16%, HINDZINC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹9.42 per share, which is 1.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ₹375.32 ₹722.34 ₹1,366 76
Growth DCF ₹372.31 ₹692.27 ₹1,277 75
EPV ₹311.60 ₹368.40 ₹418.88 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹375.32 ₹722.34 ₹1,366 76
Owner Earnings ₹395.49 ₹760.68 ₹1,438 72
5Y Revenue Exit ₹174.45 ₹271.34 ₹395.88 72
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹360.67 ₹660.58 ₹1,040 73
5Y P/E Exit ₹377.36 ₹695.46 ₹1,064 69
10Y Revenue Exit ₹232.42 ₹348.70 ₹515.51 66
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹362.99 ₹642.82 ₹1,075 66
10Y P/E Exit ₹374.37 ₹669.17 ₹1,095 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹222.60 ₹1,081 ₹1,490 64
Lynch FV ₹289.65 ₹413.78 ₹537.92 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹289.65 ₹413.78 ₹537.92 57
EPV ₹311.60 ₹368.40 ₹418.88 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹96.18 ₹209.98 ₹353.31 65
DDM Multi-Stage ₹96.18 ₹172.01 ₹218.84 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹417.38 ₹556.51 ₹695.64 63
P/S Multiple ₹104.35 ₹139.13 ₹173.92 58
P/B Multiple ₹120.50 ₹160.67 ₹200.83 55
EV/EBIT ₹443.90 ₹595.27 ₹746.64 66
EV/EBITDA ₹381.42 ₹511.97 ₹642.51 67
EV/Revenue ₹87.18 ₹128.92 ₹170.66 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹26.78 ₹35.88 ₹53.56 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹372.31 ₹692.27 ₹1,277 75
Rev-Margin DCF ₹174.45 ₹273.11 ₹403.07 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹332.87 ₹585.08 ₹15,681 64
ROIC Compounder ₹343.92 ₹447.62 ₹571.39 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹403.76 ₹576.80 ₹749.84 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹660.58) versus Asset-Based (₹35.88). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 18.3
P/S ratio 6.47 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ₹32.76 price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.3
Dividend yield 1.8% payout 33.6%
Net margin 35.3% FY2026
Return on equity 76.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 37.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 52.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ₹392B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +40.8% 3y avg +5.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +67.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ₹117B FY2026
Net debt ₹85.4B FY2026 · ≈ 0.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 76/100

Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 94
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 76
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 70
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Hindustan Zinc Limited explores for, extracts, and processes minerals in India, rest of Asia, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Zinc, Lead, Silver & Others; and Wind Energy. The company produces refined zinc and lead, precious metals, and silver; sulphuric acid; rock-phosphate; and metals and related alloys.

Full company description

Hindustan Zinc Limited explores for, extracts, and processes minerals in India, rest of Asia, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Zinc, Lead, Silver & Others; and Wind Energy. The company produces refined zinc and lead, precious metals, and silver; sulphuric acid; rock-phosphate; and metals and related alloys. It also operates captive thermal, wind and solar power, and waste heat recovery boiler power plants. In addition, the company offers di ammonium phosphate/nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium fertilizers. The company was incorporated in 1966 and is based in Udaipur, India. Hindustan Zinc Limited is a subsidiary of Vedanta Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Hindustan Zinc Limited reported revenue of ₹392B in FY2026 versus ₹288B in FY2022, a compound +8.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹138B in FY2026, compounding +9.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 96/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹392B
Latest YoY
+18.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in INR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+13.4% (11.6 + 1.8)
Revenue +8.0%/yr
FY22 ₹288B
FY23 ₹333B
FY24 ₹281B
FY25 ₹330B
FY26 ₹392B
Net income +9.5%/yr
FY22 ₹96.3B
FY23 ₹105B
FY24 ₹77.6B
FY25 ₹104B
FY26 ₹138B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +2.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.8 %

of which total revenue +8.8 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin −0.5 %
Tax rate −1.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

HINDZINC screens 20% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hindustan Zinc Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HINDZINC

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 469 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 76 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −17% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 77% · Top 25%
Return on assets 30% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 35% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 53% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 43% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.20× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 9.85× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.66× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.3× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE11 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 38
PAST100 · sector 0
HEALTH90 · sector 96
DIVIDEND37 · sector 38

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHP A$66.84 A$42.16 −37%
Vale S.A VALE $15.31 $8.95 −42%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 65.50 SAR 33.87 SAR −48%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.42 ¥16.15 −12%
Teck Resources Limited TECK $69.34 $32.02 −54%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥66.76 ¥9.55 −86%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥41.02 ¥10.59 −74%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥37.85 ¥25.99 −31%
Boliden AB BOL kr 527.80 kr 461.48 −13%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,145,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −44%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hindustan Zinc Limited (HINDZINC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹501.98 versus a price of ₹601.00, about −16% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HINDZINC?
Our model-based fair value for Hindustan Zinc Limited is ₹501.98 (as of Aug 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹601.00.
What is the quality score of HINDZINC?
Hindustan Zinc Limited has a Quality Score of 76/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hindustan Zinc Limited (HINDZINC)?
Hindustan Zinc Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹392B (latest available figure, as of Aug 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HINDZINC?
The net profit margin of Hindustan Zinc Limited is about 35.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 35.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hindustan Zinc Limited pay a dividend?
Hindustan Zinc Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.83% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 25, 2026).
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