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China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co (000657) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 170B CNY

CT China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 · SHE
Price¥66.70
Fair Value¥9.55
Upside-85.7%
Quality37/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 9.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.30% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/13)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥7.17 – ¥11.94 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −10.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥108.07 ¥5.52 Fair Value ¥9.55 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥5.52 – ¥108.07 · fair‑value band ¥7.17 – ¥11.94 · the ¥66.70 price screens above the ¥9.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co (000657) currently trades at ¥66.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.55, implying the stock looks roughly 85.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co generated revenue of 21.3B CNY at a net margin of 9.2%. Revenue grew 106.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.3%. Net debt stands at 863M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.17 (bear case) to ¥11.94 (bull case); at ¥66.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -86%, 000657 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥2.86 to ¥25.05). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥4.07 ¥5.06 ¥12.06 76
ROIC Compounder ¥9.65 ¥13.84 ¥19.78 72
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.36 ¥13.37 ¥17.38 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥9.05 ¥19.19 ¥39.79 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.82 ¥25.05 ¥35.06 54
Lynch FV ¥7.29 ¥10.42 ¥13.55 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥7.29 ¥10.42 ¥13.55 46
EPV ¥7.93 ¥9.17 ¥10.25 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.17 ¥9.55 ¥11.94 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.17 ¥9.55 ¥11.94 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.17 ¥9.55 ¥11.94 55
EV/EBIT ¥9.60 ¥12.64 ¥15.67 53
EV/EBITDA ¥9.63 ¥12.67 ¥15.71 54
EV/Revenue ¥8.39 ¥11.77 ¥15.15 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.13 ¥2.86 ¥4.27 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥4.07 ¥5.06 ¥12.06 76
ROIC Compounder ¥9.65 ¥13.84 ¥19.78 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.36 ¥13.37 ¥17.38 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥19.19) versus Asset-Based (¥2.86). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 21.3B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +107%
Net margin 9.2%
Return on equity 19.3%
Free cash flow −402M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 79.4
More key figures
Operating margin 19.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.8400
Dividend yield 0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +186%
Net debt 863M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 29
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 26
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 78
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co.,Ltd researches, develops, produces, sells, and trades in nonferrous metals in China and internationally.

Full company description

China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co.,Ltd researches, develops, produces, sells, and trades in nonferrous metals in China and internationally. The company's products include cutting tools and instruments, including solid cutting tools, CNC cutting tools, cutting CNC and traditional blades, and it tools; other cemented carbides, including bars, mining alloys, rolls, top hammers, special-shaped parts, precision parts, traditional alloys, drilling tools, and finished tools; refractory metals, such as tungsten-molybdenum products, tantalum-niobium products, hard facing materials, cast tungsten carbide, thermal spray products, and tungsten wire. It also offers concentrates and powder products, including tungsten, fluorite, molybdenum, and bismuth concentrate; tungsten carbide powder; blue and yellow tungsten; ammonium paratungstate; mixtures; and cobalt powder, as well as trade and equipment business. The company's products are used in traditional industrial fields, such as automobile manufacturing, rail transportation, shipbuilding, marine engineering equipment, military industry, mining, tunneling, mechanical processing, steel metallurgy, etc., and in high-end fields, such as aerospace, new energy, artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and electronic information. The company was formerly known as Hainan Jinhai Co., Ltd. and changed its name to China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co.,Ltd in 2000. China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co.,Ltd was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Zhuzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co reported revenue of ¥17.6B in FY2025 versus ¥12.1B in FY2021, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.3B in FY2025, compounding +24.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 59/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
17.6B CNY
Latest YoY
+19.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.2%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.4%
Revenue +9.9%/yr
FY21 ¥12.1B
FY22 ¥13.1B
FY23 ¥13.7B
FY24 ¥14.7B
FY25 ¥17.6B
Net income +24.8%/yr
FY21 ¥528M
FY22 ¥535M
FY23 ¥800M
FY24 ¥939M
FY25 ¥1.3B

000657 screens 86% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000657

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 480 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Below median
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 107% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.09× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 79.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 17.51× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.01× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 49.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 25
PAST 77 · sector 0
HEALTH 95 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 6 · sector 21

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 745.46 MXN -48%
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Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 222.38 MXN 172.99 MXN -22%
Vale S.A VALE $14.89 $8.95 -40%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥19.00 ¥19.80 +4%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹584.60 ₹501.98 -14%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥41.02 ¥10.59 -74%
Boliden AB BOL kr 527.80 kr 461.48 -13%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥38.36 ¥25.99 -32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co (000657) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.55 versus a price of ¥66.70, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 000657?
Our model-based fair value for China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co is ¥9.55 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥66.70.
What is the quality score of 000657?
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co (000657)?
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 21.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000657?
The net profit margin of China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co is about 9.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co pay a dividend?
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.31% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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