Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. (MOTV3) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
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MIMotiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A.MOTV3 · SA
PriceR$16.67
Fair ValueR$29.97
Upside+79.8%
Quality46/100
Below-average quality, trading 44% below our fair value of R$29.97.
As of Aug 27, 2026, the fair value of Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. is R$29.97 per share against a price of R$16.67, so the fair value sits 80% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.5 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 17.4% net margin
!High debt · negative free cash flow
·2.32% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (9/14)
✓Wide moat 73/100
Evidence: HighRange R$20.98 to R$42.94
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 15 days ago
Share price +18.8% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$20.98). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
A fairly wide model range (R$20.98 to R$42.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$9.20 – R$17.55 · fair‑value band R$20.98 – R$42.94 · the R$16.67 price screens below the R$29.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. (MOTV3) currently trades at R$16.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$29.97, implying the stock looks roughly 44.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of R$35.88 per share, and 10 of the 15 models we run sit above the R$16.67 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$5.26, and 5 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. generated revenue of R$19.3B at a net margin of 17.4%. Revenue grew 12.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.4%. Net debt stands at R$33.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Scenario range: R$20.98 (bear) to R$42.94 (bull), the price of R$16.67 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at 80%, MOTV3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$0.7536 per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio11.3
P/S ratio1.97P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)R$1.47price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.3
Dividend yield2.3%payout 26.3%
Net margin17.4%FY2025
Return on equity20.4%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)11.6%avg 5y
Operating margin36.9%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)R$19.3BTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+12.1%3y avg −0.6%
EPS growth (YoY)+15.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow−R$3.9BFY2025
Net debtR$33.6BFY2025
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality46/100
Of which business quality 43
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Profitability44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment28
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance82
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. provides infrastructure services for highway, rail, and airport concessions in Brazil. It manages and maintains 36 concessions on highways, airports, and rails. The company was formerly known as CCR S.A. and changed its name to Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. in April 2025.
Full company description
Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. provides infrastructure services for highway, rail, and airport concessions in Brazil. It manages and maintains 36 concessions on highways, airports, and rails. The company was formerly known as CCR S.A. and changed its name to Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. in April 2025. Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. was incorporated in 1998 and is based in São Paulo, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. reported revenue of R$18.9B in FY2025 versus R$12.2B in FY2021, a compound +11.4%/yr. Reported net income was R$3.3B in FY2025, compounding +47.4%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$18.9B
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in BRL) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +20.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+17.8%
Dividend yield2.3%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 36.4% vs 10Y 7.8%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18.2% (2020) → 38.1% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop94% (2020) · in BRL
⚠ Final year 2025 sits 92% above trend (one-off), rate on operating basis
Revenue+11.4%/yr
FY21R$12.2B
FY22R$19.2B
FY23R$18.9B
FY24R$21.8B
FY25R$18.9B
Net income+47.4%/yr
FY21R$696M
FY22R$4.1B
FY23R$1.7B
FY24R$1.2B
FY25R$3.3B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025)+3.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share+8.1 %
of which total revenue +9.7 % · buybacks/dilution −1.5 %
EBIT margin−2.1 %
Tax rate−0.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs)−1.7 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE100· sector 53
FUTURE61· sector 10
PAST82· sector 25
HEALTH0· sector 69
DIVIDEND46· sector 79
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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Is Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. (MOTV3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$29.97 versus a price of R$16.67, about +80% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MOTV3?
Our model-based fair value for Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. is R$29.97 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$16.67.
What is the quality score of MOTV3?
Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. (MOTV3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$29.97 (as of Aug 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$20.98, optimistic scenario R$42.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$29.97, about +80% upside versus a price of R$16.67 (undervalued). Cautious scenario R$20.98, optimistic scenario R$42.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. (MOTV3)?
Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$19.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MOTV3?
The net profit margin of Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. is about 17.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. pay a dividend?
Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.32% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. (MOTV3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. it is R$29.97 per share (as of Aug 27, 2026), against a price of R$16.67. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 27, 2026, MOTV3 trades below its calculated fair value: price R$16.67, fair value R$29.97, a gap of about +80% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MOTV3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$16.67); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$29.97). For Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. the two are R$13.30 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. worth?
The market values Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. at about R$33.7B (market capitalisation, as of Aug 27, 2026). Per share that is R$16.67; our models calculate a fair value of R$29.97 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MOTV3?
Our models span a range for Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A.: cautious scenario R$20.98, base R$29.97, optimistic R$42.94 per share (as of Aug 27, 2026, price R$16.67). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MOTV3?
Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.3 (as of Aug 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$29.97 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 1.9, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 7.1.
What is the PEG ratio of MOTV3?
The PEG ratio of Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. is 0.72 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Aug 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. (MOTV3)?
Balance-sheet figures for Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. (as of Aug 27, 2026): return on equity 20.4%, debt of 2.24 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MOTV3 from its 52-week high?
Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. trades at R$16.67, about 6% below its 52-week high of R$17.74 and 42% above the low of R$11.74 (as of Aug 27, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$29.97 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A.?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings, Jiangsu Expressway Company, Shandong Hi-speed Company, Zhejiang Expressway Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 27, 2026: price R$16.67, calculated fair value R$29.97 (+80%), Quality Score 46/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MOTV3 calculated?
We run Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$29.97, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. currently trades 80 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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