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Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. (MOTV3) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · BR · Market cap R$29.8B (≈ $5.8B) · ISIN BRMOTVACNOR7

What is Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. really worth?

MI Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. MOTV3 · SA
PriceR$16.46
Fair ValueR$29.97
Upside+82.1%
Quality46/100

Below-average quality, trading 45% below our fair value of R$29.97.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 17.4% net margin
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Wide moat 73/100

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.5 %/yr)
!High debt · negative free cash flow

For context

·2.35% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range R$20.98 – R$42.94

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Share price +10.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$20.98). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (R$20.98 to R$42.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$17.55 R$9.20 Fair Value R$29.97 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$9.20 – R$17.55 · fair‑value band R$20.98 – R$42.94 · the R$16.46 price screens below the R$29.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. (MOTV3) currently trades at R$16.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$29.97, implying the stock looks roughly 45.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of R$35.88 per share, and 10 of the 15 models we run sit above the R$16.46 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$5.26, and 5 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. generated revenue of R$19.3B at a net margin of 17.4%. Revenue grew 12.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.4%. Net debt stands at R$33.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$20.98 (bear case) to R$42.94 (bull case); at R$16.46, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 82%, MOTV3 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly R$0.7358 per share, which is 2.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV best evidence R$13.54 R$18.43 R$22.70 74
ROIC Compounder R$15.83 R$26.89 R$42.20 69
Growth-Adj P/E R$20.98 R$29.97 R$38.96 67
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$11.09 R$47.65 R$65.11 64
Lynch FV R$12.20 R$17.43 R$22.66 61
PEG = 1.0 R$12.20 R$17.43 R$22.66 57
EPV best evidence R$13.54 R$18.43 R$22.70 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$4.45 R$9.25 R$14.68 66
DDM Multi-Stage R$4.45 R$7.80 R$9.71 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$26.91 R$35.88 R$44.85 63
P/S Multiple R$8.44 R$11.25 R$14.06 58
P/B Multiple R$20.79 R$27.73 R$34.66 55
EV/EBIT R$32.48 R$48.57 R$64.65 65
EV/EBITDA R$23.25 R$36.26 R$49.27 66
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$3.93 R$5.26 R$7.85 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$10.74 R$14.27 R$61.13 64
ROIC Compounder R$15.83 R$26.89 R$42.20 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$20.98 R$29.97 R$38.96 67

Widest divergence: Multiples (R$35.88) versus Asset-Based (R$5.26). Highest evidence: EPV (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 11.2
P/S ratio 1.95 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) R$1.47 price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.2
Dividend yield 2.4% payout 26.3%
Net margin 17.4% FY2025
Return on equity 20.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 11.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 36.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) R$19.3B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.1% 3y avg −0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +15.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −R$3.9B FY2025
Net debt R$33.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 28
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. provides infrastructure services for highway, rail, and airport concessions in Brazil. It manages and maintains 36 concessions on highways, airports, and rails. The company was formerly known as CCR S.A. and changed its name to Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. in April 2025.

Full company description

Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. provides infrastructure services for highway, rail, and airport concessions in Brazil. It manages and maintains 36 concessions on highways, airports, and rails. The company was formerly known as CCR S.A. and changed its name to Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. in April 2025. Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. was incorporated in 1998 and is based in São Paulo, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. reported revenue of R$18.9B in FY2025 versus R$12.2B in FY2021, a compound +11.4%/yr. Reported net income was R$3.3B in FY2025, compounding +47.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$18.9B
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in BRL) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+20.2% (17.8 + 2.4)
Revenue +11.4%/yr
FY21 R$12.2B
FY22 R$19.2B
FY23 R$18.9B
FY24 R$21.8B
FY25 R$18.9B
Net income +47.4%/yr
FY21 R$696M
FY22 R$4.1B
FY23 R$1.7B
FY24 R$1.2B
FY25 R$3.3B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +3.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.1 %

of which total revenue +9.7 % · buybacks/dilution −1.5 %

EBIT margin −2.1 %
Tax rate −0.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.7 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MOTV3

Peer Group

Infrastructure Operations · 64 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside +82% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 37% · Above median
Revenue growth 12% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 2.24× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.89× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.54× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.72× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 56
FUTURE61 · sector 10
PAST82 · sector 25
HEALTH0 · sector 69
DIVIDEND47 · sector 79

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. (MOTV3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$29.97 versus a price of R$16.46, about +82% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MOTV3?
Our model-based fair value for Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. is R$29.97 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$16.46.
What is the quality score of MOTV3?
Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. (MOTV3)?
Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$19.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MOTV3?
The net profit margin of Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. is about 17.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. pay a dividend?
Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.35% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 27, 2026).
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