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Shandong Hi-speed Co Ltd (600350) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 52.5B CNY (≈ $7.8B) · ISIN CNE0000019Y2

What is Shandong Hi-speed Co Ltd really worth?

SH Shandong Hi-speed Co Ltd 600350 · SHG
Price¥10.17
Fair Value¥8.68
Upside−14.7%
Quality52/100

A solid business, but trading 17% above our fair value of ¥8.68.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 13.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +22.3 %/yr)
!Trails peers (5/15)
!Moderate moat 57/100
!Weak on valuation: 14 out of 100
!Weak on future: 18 out of 100
!Weak on past: 27 out of 100

For context

·4.13% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ¥7.97 – ¥13.95

Fair value as of: Aug 26, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

Share price −5.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥13.49 ¥4.37 Fair Value ¥8.68 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.37 – ¥13.49 · fair‑value band ¥7.97 – ¥13.95 · the ¥10.17 price screens above the ¥8.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Shandong Hi-speed Co Ltd (600350) currently trades at ¥10.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.68, implying the stock looks roughly 17.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥13.28 per share, and 8 of the 18 models we run sit above the ¥10.17 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ¥4.98, and 10 of the 18 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Hi-speed Co Ltd generated revenue of 24.1B CNY at a net margin of 13.4%. Revenue grew 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.8%. Net debt stands at 58.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥7.97 (bear case) to ¥13.95 (bull case); at ¥10.17, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −15%, 600350 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.0883 per share, which is 1.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥0.1100 ¥9.70 77
Residual Income ¥7.50 ¥7.92 ¥8.58 76
Growth DCF ¥7.84 75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.1100 ¥9.70 77
Owner Earnings ¥8.87 73
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.99 69
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.39 ¥17.97 ¥36.86 68
5Y P/E Exit ¥4.98 ¥14.08 68
10Y Revenue Exit ¥7.20 64
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥0.4800 ¥12.81 ¥32.74 58
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.18 ¥13.26 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.51 ¥22.48 ¥31.02 64
Lynch FV ¥6.08 ¥8.68 ¥11.28 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥6.08 ¥8.68 ¥11.28 57
EPV ¥0.0200 ¥1.45 68
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥10.44 ¥13.92 ¥17.41 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.42 ¥9.90 ¥12.37 58
P/B Multiple ¥8.45 ¥11.27 ¥14.09 55
EV/EBIT ¥5.16 ¥10.67 ¥16.18 62
EV/EBITDA ¥8.74 ¥15.45 ¥22.15 65
EV/Revenue ¥0.2100 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.60 ¥6.17 ¥9.20 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥7.84 75
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.28 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.50 ¥7.92 ¥8.58 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.0200 ¥1.45 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥9.29 ¥13.28 ¥17.26 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥13.28) versus Economic Profit (¥0.0200). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 18.5
P/S ratio 2.48 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5500 price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.5
Dividend yield 4.1% payout 76.4%
Net margin 13.4% FY2025
Return on equity 6.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 31.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 24.1B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.6% 3y avg +2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +5.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 2.2B CNY FY2025
Net debt 58.7B CNY FY2025 · ≈ 26.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Shandong Hi-speed Company Limited engages in the investment and operation of transportation infrastructure in China. The company operates and manages road and bridge assets.

Full company description

Shandong Hi-speed Company Limited engages in the investment and operation of transportation infrastructure in China. The company operates and manages road and bridge assets. It is also involved in reconstruction and expansion of bridges, underpasses, grade-separated interchanges, overpasses, culverts, service areas, parking area, and toll stations, as well as expressway. The company was formerly known as Shandong Expressway Company Limited and changed its name to Shandong Hi-speed Company Limited in April 2012. Shandong Hi-speed Company Limited was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Jinan, China. Shandong Hi-speed Company Limited is a subsidiary of Shandong High-Speed Group Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shandong Hi-speed Co Ltd reported revenue of 23.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 16.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was 3.2B CNY in FY2025, compounding +1.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
23.9B CNY
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+6.3% (2.2 + 4.1)
Revenue +10.2%/yr
FY21 16.2B CNY
FY22 22.4B CNY
FY23 26.5B CNY
FY24 28.5B CNY
FY25 23.9B CNY
Net income +1.2%/yr
FY21 3.1B CNY
FY22 3.0B CNY
FY23 3.3B CNY
FY24 3.2B CNY
FY25 3.2B CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +0.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +14.4 %

of which total revenue +16.7 % · buybacks/dilution −2.0 %

EBIT margin −9.3 %
Tax rate −0.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

600350 screens 17% overvalued. Compare with China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Hi-speed Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600350

Peer Group

Infrastructure Operations · 64 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside −15% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 32% · Above median
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.29× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.18× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.18× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 3.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.93× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE14 · sector 56
FUTURE18 · sector 10
PAST27 · sector 25
HEALTH36 · sector 69
DIVIDEND83 · sector 79

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shandong Hi-speed Co Ltd (600350) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.68 versus a price of ¥10.17, about −15% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600350?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Hi-speed Co Ltd is ¥8.68 (as of Aug 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥10.17.
What is the quality score of 600350?
Shandong Hi-speed Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shandong Hi-speed Co Ltd (600350)?
Shandong Hi-speed Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 24.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600350?
The net profit margin of Shandong Hi-speed Co Ltd is about 13.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shandong Hi-speed Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shandong Hi-speed Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.13% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 26, 2026).
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