Jiangsu Expressway Company (600377) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 59.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥15.32 to ¥14.47 (−5.5%) since Aug 9, 2026. Share price −1.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 20% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (¥9.59 to ¥19.36) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from ¥9.59 (bear) to ¥19.36 (bull), base ¥14.47. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 41/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.14 – ¥15.20 · fair‑value band ¥9.59 – ¥19.36 · the ¥12.01 price screens below the ¥14.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Jiangsu Expressway Company (600377) currently trades at ¥12.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.47, implying the stock looks roughly 20.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiangsu Expressway Company generated revenue of 20.0B CNY at a net margin of 23.7%. Revenue declined 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. Net debt stands at 25.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥9.59 (bear case) to ¥19.36 (bull case); at ¥12.01, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 20%, 600377 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥15.32) versus Economic Profit (¥5.28). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jiangsu Expressway Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment, construction, operation, and management of toll roads and bridges in China. The company develops and provides highway ancillary services, including gas stations, catering, and retail businesses in expressway service areas.
Full company description
Jiangsu Expressway Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment, construction, operation, and management of toll roads and bridges in China. The company develops and provides highway ancillary services, including gas stations, catering, and retail businesses in expressway service areas. It is also involved in investment services; real estate development and management; sale of electricity; advertising; service area operation; clean energy power generation; and agriculture business. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Nanjing, China. Jiangsu Expressway Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Jiangsu Communications Holding Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiangsu Expressway Company reported revenue of ¥20.3B in FY2025 versus ¥14.3B in FY2021, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥4.6B in FY2025, compounding +1.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +8.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Infrastructure Operations · 68 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings 001965 | ¥9.36 | ¥10.25 | +10% |
| Shandong Hi-speed Company 600350 | ¥10.87 | ¥8.68 | -20% |
| Impulsora del Desarrollo y el Empleo en América Latina, S.A. IDEALB1 | 43.00 MXN | 33.24 MXN | -23% |
| Promotora y Operadora de Infraestructura, S. A. B. de C. V. PINFRA | 281.25 MXN | 945.00 MXN | +236% |
| Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A MOTV3 | R$14.03 | R$29.97 | +114% |
| Zhejiang Expressway Co 0576 | HK$6.26 | HK$18.50 | +196% |
| Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co 000429 | ¥13.16 | ¥13.79 | +5% |
| Anhui Expressway Company 600012 | ¥16.50 | ¥14.90 | -10% |
| Shenzhen Expressway Corporation 600548 | ¥8.37 | ¥9.16 | +9% |
| IRB Infrastructure Developers Limited IRB | ₹19.33 | ₹14.79 | -23% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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