Sichuan Expressway Co Ltd (601107) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 16.9B CNY (≈ $2.5B) · ISIN CNE100000F38
What is Sichuan Expressway Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of ¥5.73.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +1.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.86 – ¥6.58 · fair‑value band ¥5.73 – ¥8.90 · the ¥5.79 price screens above the ¥5.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Sichuan Expressway Co Ltd (601107) currently trades at ¥5.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.73, implying the stock looks roughly 1.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of ¥10.93 per share, and 7 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥5.79 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ¥1.48, and 8 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sichuan Expressway Co Ltd generated revenue of 9.2B CNY at a net margin of 16.2%. Revenue grew 21.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.0%. Net debt stands at 34.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.73 (bear case) to ¥8.90 (bull case); at ¥5.79, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −1%, 601107 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.1108 per share, which is 1.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥10.93) versus DCF Models (¥1.48). Highest evidence: Residual Income (73).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Sichuan Expressway Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment, construction, operation, and management of highway infrastructure projects in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Highway, New Energy Technology, Transportation Services, Transportation and Logistics, Project Construction and Others segments.
Full company description
Sichuan Expressway Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment, construction, operation, and management of highway infrastructure projects in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Highway, New Energy Technology, Transportation Services, Transportation and Logistics, Project Construction and Others segments. The company is involved in oil sales, charging pile electricity sales, advertising location rental, service area rental, property rental, catering service, supermarket sales, and construction services. It also offers operation and management, expansion and construction of projects; investment and asset management; advertising management; investment consulting, development and operation of new energy infrastructure, such as charging and swapping facilities, battery banks, and hydrogen refueling stations; construction engineering and design, installation and maintenance of power transmission and supply facilities; interior decoration and renovation; equity investment; and sales of fuel, chemical products and LNG, as well as investment and operation of multimodal transport hubs, supply chain management, international freight forwarding, and technical equipment services. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Chengdu, the People's Republic of China with an additional office in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sichuan Expressway Co Ltd reported revenue of 8.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 9.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.5B CNY in FY2025, compounding −5.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +3.0 % · buybacks/dilution −5.5 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Infrastructure Operations · 64 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Infrastructure Operations stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings 001965 | ¥9.36 | ¥10.25 | +10% |
| Jiangsu Expressway Company 600377 | ¥12.01 | ¥14.47 | +20% |
| Shandong Hi-speed Company 600350 | ¥10.90 | ¥8.68 | −20% |
| Zhejiang Expressway Co 0576 | HK$6.31 | HK$18.50 | +193% |
| Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co 000429 | ¥13.04 | ¥13.79 | +6% |
| Anhui Expressway Company 600012 | ¥16.15 | ¥14.90 | −8% |
| Shenzhen Expressway Corporation 600548 | ¥8.37 | ¥9.16 | +9% |
| IRB Infrastructure Developers Limited IRB | ₹18.95 | ₹14.79 | −22% |
| CUBEINVIT CUBEINVIT | ₹159.18 | ₹33.83 | −79% |
| PT Jasa Marga (Persero) Tbk JSMR | 2,740 IDR | 7,830 IDR | +186% |
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