Mineral Resources Limited (MIN) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$10.8B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from A$49.97 to A$99.94 (+100.0%) since Jul 20, 2026. Share price +11.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 53% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (28/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (A$61.48 to A$138.38) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$14.40 – A$93.75 · fair‑value band A$61.48 – A$138.38 · the A$65.52 price screens below the A$99.94 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Mineral Resources Limited (MIN) currently trades at A$65.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$99.94, implying the stock looks roughly 52.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Mineral Resources Limited generated revenue of A$5.2B at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue grew 33.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.1%. Net debt stands at A$5.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$61.48 (bear case) to A$138.38 (bull case); at A$65.52, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 231% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at 53%, MIN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (A$52.01) versus Asset-Based (A$10.89). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Mineral Resources Limited, together with subsidiaries, provides mining services in Australia, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Mining Services, Iron Ore, Lithium, and Energy and Other segments.
Full company description
Mineral Resources Limited, together with subsidiaries, provides mining services in Australia, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Mining Services, Iron Ore, Lithium, and Energy and Other segments. The company offers pit-to-ship solutions comprising open pit mining, crushing and material handling, processing, haulage, port handling, and marine services; design and construction of mineral processing facilities; transport and logistics services comprising supply chain, road haulage, autonomous road train, and transshipping services; manufacturing of equipment and parts for the mining industry; site and rehabilitation services; and engineering and construction services. It also develops, mines, and exports iron ore from its flagship Onslow iron project located in Western Australia. In addition, the company develops and mines lithium from its mines located in Western Australia; and sells spodumene concentrate and lithium battery chemicals. Further, it engages in exploration and drilling services for the energy sector; manganese and garnet; gas production; and generation of power through natural gas and LNG, solar, wind, and geothermal. Mineral Resources Limited was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Osborne Park, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mineral Resources Limited reported revenue of A$4.5B in FY2025 versus A$3.7B in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was −A$904M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +13.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch MIN: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN) Pricing In Too Much After A 185% One Year Surge
- Does Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN) Bald Hill Restart Reveal Its True Lithium Cycle Strategy?
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 480 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 745.46 MXN | -48% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$179.43 | A$81.76 | -54% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 222.38 MXN | 172.99 MXN | -22% |
| Vale S.A VALEN | 250.00 MXN | 139.41 MXN | -44% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥19.00 | ¥19.80 | +4% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥70.43 | ¥9.55 | -86% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹584.60 | ₹501.98 | -14% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | -74% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | -13% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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