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Lojas Renner S.A. (LREN3) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · BR · Market cap R$13.7B (≈ $2.7B) · ISIN BRLRENACNOR1

What is Lojas Renner S.A. really worth?

LR Lojas Renner S.A. LREN3 · SA
PriceR$11.40
Fair ValueR$33.36
Upside+192.6%
Quality74/100

A solid business, trading 66% below our fair value of R$33.36.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +16.0 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/15)

Risks

!Thin margins · 9.4% net margin
!Moderate moat 52/100
!Weak on future: 17 out of 100

For context

·7.66% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range R$25.02 – R$41.70

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −16.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (74/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$25.02). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R$28.78 R$9.01 Fair Value R$33.36 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$9.01 – R$28.78 · fair‑value band R$25.02 – R$41.70 · the R$11.40 price screens below the R$33.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Lojas Renner S.A. (LREN3) currently trades at R$11.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$33.36, implying the stock looks roughly 65.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of R$48.74 per share, and 25 of the 26 models we run sit above the R$11.40 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at R$7.29, and 1 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Lojas Renner S.A. generated revenue of R$15.9B at a net margin of 9.4%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.5%. Net debt stands at R$1.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R$25.02 (bear case) to R$41.70 (bull case); at R$11.40, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 193%, LREN3 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly R$0.4108 per share, which is 1.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence R$34.53 R$64.60 R$118.79 77
Growth DCF R$34.05 R$61.00 R$107.86 75
5Y EBITDA Exit R$30.85 R$54.91 R$85.51 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence R$34.53 R$64.60 R$118.79 77
Owner Earnings R$32.68 R$61.11 R$112.35 73
5Y Revenue Exit R$20.75 R$33.52 R$50.57 72
5Y EBITDA Exit R$30.85 R$54.91 R$85.51 74
5Y P/E Exit R$27.27 R$47.34 R$70.56 70
10Y Revenue Exit R$24.54 R$38.47 R$59.46 66
10Y EBITDA Exit R$31.81 R$54.38 R$89.46 66
10Y P/E Exit R$29.41 R$48.74 R$76.63 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$10.31 R$52.19 R$72.07 64
Lynch FV R$14.17 R$20.24 R$26.31 61
PEG = 1.0 R$14.17 R$20.24 R$26.31 57
EPV R$17.70 R$20.54 R$23.03 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$6.56 R$13.63 R$21.63 66
DDM Multi-Stage R$6.56 R$11.50 R$14.31 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$25.02 R$33.36 R$41.70 63
P/S Multiple R$14.82 R$19.76 R$24.70 58
P/B Multiple R$19.33 R$25.78 R$32.22 55
EV/EBIT R$28.43 R$37.69 R$46.95 66
EV/EBITDA R$31.25 R$41.46 R$51.66 67
EV/Revenue R$14.48 R$20.40 R$26.33 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$5.44 R$7.29 R$10.88 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$34.05 R$61.00 R$107.86 75
Rev-Margin DCF R$20.75 R$33.44 R$50.33 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$10.60 R$13.19 R$29.26 70
ROIC Compounder R$20.25 R$27.73 R$37.86 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$22.04 R$31.48 R$40.92 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (R$48.74) versus Asset-Based (R$7.29). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 7.7
P/S ratio 0.71 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) R$1.48 price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.7
Dividend yield 7.7% payout 59.0%
Net margin 9.2% FY2025
Return on equity 14.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 8.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) R$15.9B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.3% 3y avg +6.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +23.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow R$2.4B FY2025
Net debt R$1.9B FY2025 · ≈ 0.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Lojas Renner S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a fashion and lifestyle company in Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. It operates through Retail and Financial Products segments.

Full company description

Lojas Renner S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a fashion and lifestyle company in Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. It operates through Retail and Financial Products segments. The company trades clothes and sports products, shoes, accessories, perfumery, domestic appliances, furniture, watches, home and decoration articles, urban deliveries and logistics management solutions, as well as cosmetics. It is also involved in granting loans to individuals and legal entities, financing of purchases, insurance, and practice of receivables and payables inherent to credit, financing, and investment companies, sales intermediation commissions, as well as providing personal loans. It offers its products through stores, as well as digital channels under Renner, Youcom, Camicado, realize, Ashua, Uello, realize, and repassa brand names. Lojas Renner S.A. was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Porto Alegre, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lojas Renner S.A. reported revenue of R$15.8B in FY2025 versus R$10.6B in FY2021, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was R$1.5B in FY2025, compounding +23.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
R$15.8B
Latest YoY
+9.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in BRL) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+12.8% (5.1 + 7.7)
Revenue +10.6%/yr
FY21 R$10.6B
FY22 R$13.3B
FY23 R$13.6B
FY24 R$14.4B
FY25 R$15.8B
Net income +23.2%/yr
FY21 R$633M
FY22 R$1.3B
FY23 R$976M
FY24 R$1.2B
FY25 R$1.5B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +7.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.2 %

of which total revenue +10.5 % · buybacks/dilution −1.2 %

EBIT margin −2.7 %
Tax rate +3.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lojas Renner S.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LREN3

Peer Group

Department Stores · 121 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +193% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.31× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.86× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.89× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 23
FUTURE17 · sector 0
PAST58 · sector 16
HEALTH98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND100 · sector 44

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Falabella S.A FALABELLA 6,380 CLP 8,005 CLP +25%
Dillard's, Inc DDS $630.71 $536.21 −15%
99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 3.65 MYR 1.59 MYR −56%
Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD 1,949 CLP 2,425 CLP +24%
Macy's, Inc M $21.93 $42.68 +95%
Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM ₹107.00 ₹30.46 −72%
Central Retail Corporation CRC 27.50 THB 20.89 THB −24%
SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 424,000 KRW 177,841 KRW −58%
Lotte Shopping Co 023530 96,700 KRW 76,636 KRW −21%
PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk MDIY 940.00 IDR 968.76 IDR +3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lojas Renner S.A. (LREN3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$33.36 versus a price of R$11.40, about +193% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LREN3?
Our model-based fair value for Lojas Renner S.A. is R$33.36 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$11.40.
What is the quality score of LREN3?
Lojas Renner S.A. has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Lojas Renner S.A. (LREN3)?
Lojas Renner S.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$15.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LREN3?
The net profit margin of Lojas Renner S.A. is about 9.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Lojas Renner S.A. pay a dividend?
Lojas Renner S.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.66% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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