Lowe's Companies Inc (LOW) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $116B · ISIN US5486611073
What is Lowe's Companies Inc really worth?
Lowe's Companies Inc
LOW · US
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $186.32.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −5.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($97.82 to $252.38) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $158.46 – $286.02 · fair‑value band $97.82 – $252.38 · the $199.84 price screens above the $186.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
Lowe's Companies Inc (LOW) currently trades at $199.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $186.32, implying the stock looks roughly 7.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $230.74 per share, and 6 of the 23 models we run sit above the $199.84 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $71.61, and 17 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lowe's Companies Inc generated revenue of $88.4B at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue grew 10.3% year over year. Net debt stands at $43.7B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 16.9. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $97.82 (bear case) to $252.38 (bull case); at $199.84, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −7%, LOW screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 7 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $4.18 per share, which is 2.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($230.74) versus Dividend Discount ($71.61). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Lowe's Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a home improvement retailer in the United States and Canada. It provides a line of products for construction, maintenance, repair, remodeling, and decorating.
Full company description
Lowe's Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a home improvement retailer in the United States and Canada. It provides a line of products for construction, maintenance, repair, remodeling, and decorating. The company also offers home improvement products, such as appliances, seasonal and outdoor living, lumber, lawn and garden, kitchens and bath, hardware, building materials, millwork, paint, rough plumbing, tools, electrical, flooring, and décor. In addition, it provides installation services through independent contractors in various product categories; and extended protection plans and repair services. Further, the company provides design, distribution, and installation services for interior surface finishes to home builders and property managers. It sells its national brand-name merchandise and private brand products to professional customers, individual homeowners, and renters. The company serves its products through Lowes.com website, mobile applications, retail home improvement stores and outlet stores, and its branches. Lowe's Companies, Inc. was founded in 1921 and is based in Mooresville, North Carolina.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Lowe's Companies Inc reported revenue of $86.3B in FY2026 versus $96.3B in FY2022, a compound −2.7%/yr. Reported net income was $6.7B in FY2026, compounding −5.8%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +4.0 % · buybacks/dilution +5.6 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch LOW: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Did Lowe’s New EVP Lineup and Shelf Filing Just Quietly Reframe the LOW Investment Narrative?
- Prediction: Costco Could Be Worth More Than Home Depot and Lowe's Combined by 2030. Here's the Math.
- LOWE'S KICKS OFF YEAR TWO OF 'EARN YOUR SUNDAY' WITH EXPANDED ROSTER OF NFL SUPERSTARS AND A MISSION TO HELP FANS GET GAMEDAY READY
Peer Group
Home Improvement Retail · 34 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Home Improvement Retail median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Home Improvement Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Home Depot, Inc HD | $328.61 | $236.85 | −28% |
| Wesfarmers Limited WES | A$77.73 | A$50.50 | −35% |
| Floor & Decor Holdings FND | $59.33 | $27.30 | −54% |
| Mr D.I.Y. Group 5296 | 1.51 MYR | 1.47 MYR | −3% |
| Home Product Center Public Company HMPROR | 6.70 THB | 6.31 THB | −6% |
| Siam Global House Public Company GLOBAL | 6.65 THB | 5.96 THB | −10% |
| Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc HVT | $27.26 | $20.42 | −25% |
| Dohome Public Company DOHOME | 3.78 THB | 2.75 THB | −27% |
| Test-Rite International Co 2908 | 21.80 TWD | 4.97 TWD | −77% |
| Bourrelier Group ALBOU | €69.40 | €36.15 | −48% |
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