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Bourrelier Group SA (ALBOU) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · FR · Market cap €298M · ISIN FR0000054421

What is Bourrelier Group SA really worth?

BG Bourrelier Group SA ALBOU · PA
Price€67.40
Fair Value€36.15
Upside−46.4%
Quality58/100

A solid business, but trading 86% above our fair value of €36.15.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.4% net margin
!Trails peers (2/14)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Weak on future: 2 out of 100
!Weak on past: 11 out of 100
Evidence: High Range €36.15 – €45.19

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from €37.21 to €36.15 (−2.8%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price −0.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€45.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€70.00 €34.54 Fair Value €36.15 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €34.54 – €70.00 · fair‑value band €36.15 – €45.19 · the €67.40 price screens above the €36.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Bourrelier Group SA (ALBOU) currently trades at €67.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €36.15, implying the stock looks roughly 86.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €84.32 per share, and 9 of the 22 models we run sit above the €67.40 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €27.93, and 13 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Bourrelier Group SA generated revenue of €300M at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue grew 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.9%. Net debt stands at €152M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €36.15 (bear case) to €45.19 (bull case); at €67.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −46%, ALBOU screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €1.12 per share, which is 3.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €67.90 €97.49 €183.85 75
Growth DCF €63.22 €105.63 €171.88 74
Residual Income €37.71 €34.94 €25.21 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €67.90 €97.49 €183.85 75
Owner Earnings €51.27 €106.28 €202.28 70
5Y Revenue Exit €24.81 €33.85 €51.69 70
5Y EBITDA Exit €49.82 €84.32 €151.62 70
5Y P/E Exit €37.90 €74.63 €121.81 66
10Y Revenue Exit €40.56 €65.91 €73.37 66
10Y EBITDA Exit €56.38 €111.79 €202.29 63
10Y P/E Exit €48.94 €89.91 €150.94 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €11.17 €77.92 €109.35 61
Lynch FV €40.26 €57.51 €74.76 59
PEG = 1.0 €40.26 €57.51 €74.76 55
Multiples
P/E Multiple €27.11 €36.15 €45.19 63
P/S Multiple €20.95 €27.93 €34.92 58
P/B Multiple €20.95 €27.93 €34.92 55
EV/EBIT €3.74 €6.91 €10.08 63
EV/EBITDA €39.80 €54.99 €70.18 67
EV/Revenue €0.6400 €3.39 €6.13 48
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €29.18 €39.10 €58.35 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €63.22 €105.63 €171.88 74
Rev-Margin DCF €27.16 €39.68 €66.83 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income €37.71 €34.94 €25.21 74
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €53.44 €76.34 €99.24 65

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€84.32) versus Multiples (€27.93). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 40.0
P/S ratio 1.36 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) €1.65 price ÷ EPS = P/E 40.0
Net margin 3.4% FY2025
Return on equity 2.9% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin −1.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) €300M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.4% 3y avg +0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +769%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow €38.6M FY2025
Net debt €152M FY2025 · ≈ 3.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 76
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Bourrelier Group SA operates do-it-yourself (DIY) stores in Europe, Asia, and the United States. Its stores offer DIY and decoration products under the GAMMA and KARWEI brand name. The company also engages in the manufacture of aluminum and carbon wheels and cycling equipment under Mavic brand.

Full company description

Bourrelier Group SA operates do-it-yourself (DIY) stores in Europe, Asia, and the United States. Its stores offer DIY and decoration products under the GAMMA and KARWEI brand name. The company also engages in the manufacture of aluminum and carbon wheels and cycling equipment under Mavic brand. In addition, it operates hotels under the Lord Byron Hotel Paris, Mayflower Hotel Paris, and Lumen Paris - Louvre Hotel names. Bourrelier Group SA was incorporated in 1956 and is headquartered in Nogent-sur-Marne, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Bourrelier Group SA reported revenue of €300M in FY2025 versus €296M in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was €10.2M in FY2025, compounding −17.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€300M
Latest YoY
−0.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−10.8% (−10.8 + 0.0)
Revenue +0.3%/yr
FY21 €296M
FY22 €294M
FY23 €295M
FY24 €300M
FY25 €300M
Net income −17.7%/yr
FY21 €22.2M
FY22 €10.1M
FY23 €3.5M
FY24 −€3.1M
FY25 €10.2M

ALBOU screens 86% overvalued. Compare with The Home Depot, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bourrelier Group SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALBOU

Peer Group

Home Improvement Retail · 34 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Below median
Fair Value upside −46% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) −2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.14× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Home Improvement Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 40.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.96× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.15× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 9.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 5.34× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 29
FUTURE2 · sector 11
PAST11 · sector 32
HEALTH93 · sector 95
DIVIDEND0 · sector 61

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Home Improvement Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Home Depot, Inc HD $328.61 $236.85 −28%
Lowe's Companies, Inc LOW $208.05 $186.32 −10%
Wesfarmers Limited WES A$77.73 A$50.50 −35%
Floor & Decor Holdings FND $59.33 $27.30 −54%
Mr D.I.Y. Group 5296 1.51 MYR 1.47 MYR −3%
Home Product Center Public Company HMPROR 6.70 THB 6.31 THB −6%
Siam Global House Public Company GLOBAL 6.65 THB 5.96 THB −10%
Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc HVT $27.26 $20.42 −25%
Dohome Public Company DOHOME 3.78 THB 2.75 THB −27%
Test-Rite International Co 2908 21.80 TWD 4.97 TWD −77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bourrelier Group SA (ALBOU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €36.15 versus a price of €67.40, about −46% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALBOU?
Our model-based fair value for Bourrelier Group SA is €36.15 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €67.40.
What is the quality score of ALBOU?
Bourrelier Group SA has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bourrelier Group SA (ALBOU)?
Bourrelier Group SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €300M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALBOU?
The net profit margin of Bourrelier Group SA is about 3.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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