Floor & Decor Holdings Inc (FND) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $6.2B · ISIN US3397501012
What is Floor & Decor Holdings Inc really worth?
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
FND · US
A solid business, but trading 81% above our fair value of $27.30.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $32.81 to $27.30 (−16.8%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −18.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($40.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($18.78 to $40.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $43.49 – $143.31 · fair‑value band $18.78 – $40.85 · the $49.38 price screens above the $27.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc (FND) currently trades at $49.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $27.30, implying the stock looks roughly 80.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $51.73 per share, and 6 of the 26 models we run sit above the $49.38 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $14.93, and 20 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Floor & Decor Holdings Inc generated revenue of $4.7B at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue declined 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at $3.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $18.78 (bear case) to $40.85 (bull case); at $49.38, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −45%, FND screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.25 per share, which is 4.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($51.73) versus Dividend Discount ($0.3100). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a multi-channel specialty retailer of hard surface flooring and related accessories, and commercial surfaces seller in the United States.
Full company description
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a multi-channel specialty retailer of hard surface flooring and related accessories, and commercial surfaces seller in the United States. The company offers wood-based laminate flooring, vinyl, and engineered/composite rigid core vinyl; porcelain and ceramic tile, porcelain mosaics and tile slabs; grout, mortar, backer board, tools, adhesives, underlayments, moldings, and stair treads; and decorative tiles and mosaics, such as natural stone, porcelain, ceramic, glass, wall tile, and decorative trims. The company also provides solid prefinished and unfinished hardwood, engineered hardwood, bamboo, and wood countertops; marble, limestone, travertine, slate, ledger; and vanities, shower doors, bath accessories, faucets, sinks, custom countertops, bathroom mirrors, bathroom lighting, and kitchen cabinets. It sells products through its warehouse-format stores and five small-format design studios, as well as through Website, FloorandDecor.com. The company serves professional installers, commercial businesses, and homeowners. The company was formerly known as FDO Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. in April 2017. Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc reported revenue of $4.7B in FY2025 versus $3.4B in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was $209M in FY2025, compounding −7.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +21.1 % · buybacks/dilution −1.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
FND screens 81% overvalued. Compare with The Home Depot, Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Best Buy, Dick's, Floor And Decor, RH, and Zumiez Stocks Trade Down, What You Need To Know
- The Fund Sold Floor & Decor (FND) as Housing Demand Stayed Weak
Peer Group
Home Improvement Retail · 34 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Home Improvement Retail median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Home Improvement Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Home Depot, Inc HD | $328.61 | $236.85 | −28% |
| Lowe's Companies, Inc LOW | $208.05 | $186.32 | −10% |
| Wesfarmers Limited WES | A$77.73 | A$50.50 | −35% |
| Mr D.I.Y. Group 5296 | 1.51 MYR | 1.47 MYR | −3% |
| Home Product Center Public Company HMPROR | 6.70 THB | 6.31 THB | −6% |
| Siam Global House Public Company GLOBAL | 6.65 THB | 5.96 THB | −10% |
| Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc HVT | $27.26 | $20.42 | −25% |
| Dohome Public Company DOHOME | 3.78 THB | 2.75 THB | −27% |
| Test-Rite International Co 2908 | 21.80 TWD | 4.97 TWD | −77% |
| Bourrelier Group ALBOU | €69.40 | €36.15 | −48% |
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