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Western Midstream Partners LP (WES) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $17.4B · ISIN US9586691035

What is Western Midstream Partners LP really worth?

WM Western Midstream Partners LP logo Western Midstream Partners LP WES · US
Price$49.19
Fair Value$20.66
Upside−58.0%
Quality51/100

A solid business, but trading 138% above our fair value of $20.66.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 29.5% net margin
Wide moat 81/100

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.7 %/yr)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!The models disagree: range $17.04 to $63.47

For context

·7.44% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $17.04 – $63.47

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Share price +5.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($17.04 to $63.47). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$49.80 $12.15 Fair Value $20.66 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $12.15 – $49.80 · fair‑value band $17.04 – $63.47 · the $49.19 price screens above the $20.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Western Midstream Partners LP (WES) currently trades at $49.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.66, implying the stock looks roughly 138.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $55.76 per share, and 6 of the 25 models we run sit above the $49.19 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $6.52, and 19 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Western Midstream Partners LP generated revenue of $4.0B at a net margin of 29.5%. Revenue grew 22.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 36.7%. Net debt stands at $8.1B. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $17.04 (bear case) to $63.47 (bull case); at $49.19, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −58%, WES screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $30.29 $74.67 $155.89 74
EPV $15.07 $20.56 $25.35 74
Growth DCF $29.46 $68.82 $138.05 73
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $30.29 $74.67 $155.89 74
Owner Earnings $20.03 $54.95 $118.84 70
5Y Revenue Exit $2.50 $11.88 $23.57 66
5Y EBITDA Exit $13.26 $34.89 $62.08 71
5Y P/E Exit $16.30 $41.41 $70.60 67
10Y Revenue Exit $10.95 $23.38 $40.91 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $18.47 $40.61 $74.36 65
10Y P/E Exit $20.52 $45.49 $81.76 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $19.25 $101.03 $139.81 63
Lynch FV $27.74 $39.63 $51.52 61
PEG = 1.0 $27.74 $39.63 $51.52 57
EPV $15.07 $20.56 $25.35 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $31.80 $66.12 $104.90 66
DDM Multi-Stage $31.80 $55.76 $69.40 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $29.72 $39.63 $49.54 63
P/S Multiple $8.37 $11.16 $13.95 58
P/B Multiple $13.14 $17.52 $21.90 55
EV/EBIT $10.96 $20.56 $30.15 63
EV/EBITDA $7.19 $15.53 $23.86 63
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.87 $6.52 $9.73 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $29.46 $68.82 $138.05 73
Rev-Margin DCF $2.50 $12.23 $25.35 66
Economic Profit
Residual Income $16.72 $19.83 $60.25 66
ROIC Compounder $18.00 $32.34 $47.84 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $34.18 $48.83 $63.47 67

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($55.76) versus Asset-Based ($6.52). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 16.2
P/S ratio 4.92 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $3.04 price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.2
Dividend yield 7.4% payout 120%
Net margin 30.4% FY2025
Return on equity 36.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 12.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 41.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $4.0B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.5% 3y avg +5.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +7.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $1.5B FY2025
Net debt $8.1B FY2025 · ≈ 5.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 34
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 53
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Western Midstream Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream energy company primarily in the United States.

Full company description

Western Midstream Partners, LP, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a midstream energy company primarily in the United States. The company is involved in gathering, compressing, treating, processing, and transporting natural gas; gathering, stabilizing, and transporting condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and crude oil; and gathering and disposing of produced water. It also buys and sells residue, NGLs, and condensates. The company operates assets located in Texas, New Mexico, and the Rocky Mountains. It also provides water handling solutions. The company was formerly known as Western Gas Equity Partners, LP and changed its name to Western Midstream Partners, LP in February 2019. Western Midstream Partners, LP was incorporated in 2007 and is based in The Woodlands, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Western Midstream Partners LP reported revenue of $3.8B in FY2025 versus $2.9B in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was $1.2B in FY2025, compounding +6.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.8B
Latest YoY
+6.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+13.0% (5.6 + 7.4)
Revenue +7.5%/yr
FY21 $2.9B
FY22 $3.3B
FY23 $3.1B
FY24 $3.6B
FY25 $3.8B
Net income +6.3%/yr
FY21 $916M
FY22 $1.2B
FY23 $1.0B
FY24 $1.6B
FY25 $1.2B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +13.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.8 %

of which total revenue +9.6 % · buybacks/dilution −6.2 %

EBIT margin +6.9 %
Tax rate +0.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

WES screens 138% overvalued. Compare with Enbridge Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Western Midstream Partners LP Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WES

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Midstream · 89 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −58% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 41% · Above median
Revenue growth 23% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 2.04× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.33× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.30× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 11.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 5.48× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 44
PAST100 · sector 42
HEALTH0 · sector 54
DIVIDEND100 · sector 80

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $50.72 $35.83 −29%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $74.05 $11.73 −84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $39.02 $20.94 −46%
TC Energy Corporation TRP C$88.72 C$24.53 −72%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $31.60 $10.92 −65%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $21.31 $11.45 −46%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $59.25 $36.42 −39%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $95.69 $58.62 −39%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $286.91 $79.61 −72%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $280.80 $199.99 −29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Western Midstream Partners LP (WES) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $20.66 versus a price of $49.19, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WES?
Our model-based fair value for Western Midstream Partners LP is $20.66 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $49.19.
What is the quality score of WES?
Western Midstream Partners LP has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Western Midstream Partners LP (WES)?
Western Midstream Partners LP reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WES?
The net profit margin of Western Midstream Partners LP is about 29.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 29.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Western Midstream Partners LP pay a dividend?
Western Midstream Partners LP currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.44% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 5, 2026).
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