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Siam Global House Public Company (GLOBAL) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TH · Market cap 41.5B THB

SG Siam Global House Public Company GLOBAL · BK
Price7.30 THB
Fair Value5.96 THB
Upside-18.4%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 6.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: High Range 4.47 THB – 7.45 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −3.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 18% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from 4.47 THB (bear) to 7.45 THB (bull), base 5.96 THB. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 62/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

18.49 THB 4.06 THB Fair Value 5.96 THB Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 4.06 THB – 18.49 THB · fair‑value band 4.47 THB – 7.45 THB · the 7.30 THB price screens above the 5.96 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Siam Global House Public Company (GLOBAL) currently trades at 7.30 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.96 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 18.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Siam Global House Public Company generated revenue of 32.2B THB at a net margin of 6.7%. Revenue grew 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.2%. Net debt stands at 10.2B THB. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 4.47 THB (bear case) to 7.45 THB (bull case); at 7.30 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -18%, GLOBAL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 9.96 THB 15.88 THB 25.27 THB 80
Residual Income 3.78 THB 4.04 THB 4.47 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 5.29 THB 7.45 THB 10.08 THB 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 9.87 THB 15.89 THB 25.48 THB 38
Owner Earnings 3.68 THB 5.80 THB 9.17 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 5.29 THB 7.35 THB 9.86 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 6.49 THB 9.66 THB 13.34 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 7.01 THB 10.65 THB 14.52 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 6.74 THB 9.07 THB 12.08 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 7.60 THB 10.70 THB 14.81 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 7.93 THB 11.40 THB 15.74 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 2.38 THB 8.55 THB 11.52 THB 54
Lynch FV 2.02 THB 2.88 THB 3.75 THB 50
PEG = 1.0 2.02 THB 2.88 THB 3.75 THB 46
EPV 2.41 THB 2.76 THB 3.06 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.57 THB 3.27 THB 5.18 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1.57 THB 2.75 THB 3.43 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 5.78 THB 7.71 THB 9.64 THB 63
P/S Multiple 4.47 THB 5.96 THB 7.45 THB 58
P/B Multiple 4.47 THB 5.96 THB 7.45 THB 55
EV/EBIT 4.35 THB 5.68 THB 7.02 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 5.25 THB 6.89 THB 8.53 THB 54
EV/Revenue 3.04 THB 4.20 THB 5.36 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.28 THB 3.05 THB 4.56 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 9.96 THB 15.88 THB 25.27 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 5.29 THB 7.45 THB 10.08 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 3.78 THB 4.04 THB 4.47 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 2.41 THB 2.76 THB 3.06 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 3.97 THB 5.67 THB 7.37 THB 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (9.66 THB) versus Dividend Discount (2.75 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 32.2B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.5%
Net margin 6.7%
Return on equity 8.2%
Free cash flow 4.5B THB FY2025
P/E ratio 20.9
More key figures
Operating margin 11.1%
EPS (TTM) 0.3500 THB
EPS growth (YoY) +33.9%
Net debt 10.2B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Siam Global House Public Company Limited engages in the merchandising of construction materials, home decorative products, and tools and equipment used in construction, home improvement, and household and gardening decoration in Thailand, Cambodia, and Myanmar.

Full company description

Siam Global House Public Company Limited engages in the merchandising of construction materials, home decorative products, and tools and equipment used in construction, home improvement, and household and gardening decoration in Thailand, Cambodia, and Myanmar. The company sells various products comprising electric appliances; doors and windows; home improvement and repair equipment; water tank and plumbing equipment; home decoration; furniture; tools and hardware; bathroom; TV and stereo; agricultural and gardening equipment; electrical and electrical equipment; floor and wall; kitchen; lamp and lighting; mortar; painting and chemical; steel; sports and recreation; bedroom; storage and cleaning equipment; pet; toys and fashion; consumer products; and installation service products. It also sells products online. Siam Global House Public Company Limited was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Mueang Roi Et, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Siam Global House Public Company reported revenue of 31.6B THB in FY2025 versus 33.5B THB in FY2021, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was 2.0B THB in FY2025, compounding −12.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
31.6B THB
Latest YoY
−2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.0%
Revenue −1.4%/yr
FY21 33.5B THB
FY22 35.3B THB
FY23 32.3B THB
FY24 32.3B THB
FY25 31.6B THB
Net income −12.5%/yr
FY21 3.3B THB
FY22 3.5B THB
FY23 2.7B THB
FY24 2.4B THB
FY25 2.0B THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +9.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.2 pp

of which total revenue +7.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin +0.2 pp
Tax rate +0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.0 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

GLOBAL screens 18% overvalued. Compare with The Home Depot, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Siam Global House Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GLOBAL

Peer Group

Home Improvement Retail · 36 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside −18% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Home Improvement Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.62× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.29× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.47× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 9 · sector 23
FUTURE 14 · sector 11
PAST 33 · sector 30
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Home Improvement Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Home Depot, Inc HD $354.48 $236.85 -33%
Lowe's Companies, Inc LOW $215.97 $186.32 -14%
Wesfarmers Limited WES A$88.48 A$50.50 -43%
Floor & Decor Holdings FND $59.33 $27.30 -54%
Mr D.I.Y. Group 5296 1.52 MYR 1.47 MYR -3%
Home Product Center Public Company HMPROR 6.70 THB 6.31 THB -6%
Dohome Public Company DOHOME 3.78 THB 2.75 THB -27%
Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc HVT $28.30 $22.53 -20%
Test-Rite International Co 2908 21.85 TWD 4.97 TWD -77%
Bourrelier Group ALBOU €69.40 €36.15 -48%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Siam Global House Public Company (GLOBAL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.96 THB versus a price of 7.30 THB, about −18% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GLOBAL?
Our model-based fair value for Siam Global House Public Company is 5.96 THB (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 7.30 THB.
What is the quality score of GLOBAL?
Siam Global House Public Company has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Siam Global House Public Company (GLOBAL)?
Siam Global House Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 32.2B THB (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GLOBAL?
The net profit margin of Siam Global House Public Company is about 6.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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