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Keppel Corporation Limited (KPELY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $16.0B · ISIN US4920513052

What is Keppel Corporation Limited really worth?

KC Keppel Corporation Limited logo Keppel Corporation Limited KPELY · US
Price$18.61
Fair Value$7.77
Upside−58.3%
Quality55/100

A solid business, but trading 140% above our fair value of $7.77.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 13.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.9 %/yr)
!Trails peers (5/15)
!Moderate moat 48/100

For context

·1.83% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $7.77 – $11.74

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price +6.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($11.74). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$20.37 $3.00 Fair Value $7.77 Jun 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.00 – $20.37 · fair‑value band $7.77 – $11.74 · the $18.61 price screens above the $7.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

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Analysis

Keppel Corporation Limited (KPELY) currently trades at $18.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.77, implying the stock looks roughly 139.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $15.10 per share, and 1 of the 12 models we run sit above the $18.61 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $0.9900, and 11 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Keppel Corporation Limited generated revenue of $6.0B at a net margin of 13.4%. Revenue declined 5.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.0%. Net debt stands at $9.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.77 (bear case) to $11.74 (bull case); at $18.61, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at −58%, KPELY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.3587 per share, which is 4.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $9.97 $10.61 $11.51 76
Growth DCF $0.9900 $5.05 75
Owner Earnings $0.2100 $4.44 73
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.2100 $4.44 73
5Y P/E Exit $1.87 $7.42 $14.03 65
10Y P/E Exit $0.4300 $4.10 $7.64 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.04 $7.38 $8.30 67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $6.19 $6.77 $7.66 69
DDM Multi-Stage $6.19 $7.76 $9.97 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $13.99 $18.65 $23.31 63
P/B Multiple $11.32 $15.10 $18.87 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.03 $8.08 $12.06 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.9900 $5.05 75
Rev-Margin DCF $2.99 $7.56 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.97 $10.61 $11.51 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($15.10) versus Growth DCF ($0.9900). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 21.4
P/S ratio 2.86 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.8700 price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.4
Dividend yield 1.8% payout 39.1%
Net margin 13.4% FY2025
Return on equity 9.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 12.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $6.0B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −5.2% 3y avg −3.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +22.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $576M FY2025
Net debt $9.1B FY2025 · ≈ 15.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Keppel Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the infrastructure, real estate, and connectivity businesses in Singapore, China, Hong Kong, other Far East and ASEAN countries, and internationally.

Full company description

Keppel Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the infrastructure, real estate, and connectivity businesses in Singapore, China, Hong Kong, other Far East and ASEAN countries, and internationally. The company manages private funds and listed real estate investment and business trusts in areas of infrastructure, real estate, and connectivity; provides energy and environmental solutions and services, including commercial power generation, renewables, environmental engineering and construction, and infrastructure operation and maintenance; sustainable and urban space solutions; sustainable urban renewal and senior living services; system integration solutions and services; and engages in the property development and investment, and master development activities. It also offers telecommunication services; leases, develops, operates, and manages data centres; trades and sells telecommunication and information technology equipment; and develops and operates golf club. In addition, the company engages in electricity, energy and power supply; general wholesale trading; purchase and sale of gaseous fuels; development of district heating and cooling system; environmental, technology, and engineering works and construction activities; solid waste treatment activities; design and construction of waste-to-energy and desalination plants; commercial power generation; ownership and operation of hotels; and renewable energy generation activities. The company was formerly known as Keppel Corporation and changed its name to Keppel Ltd. in January 2024. Keppel Ltd. Limited was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Keppel Corporation Limited reported revenue of 6.0B SGD in FY2025 versus 6.6B SGD in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was 800M SGD in FY2025, compounding −6.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$6.0B
Latest YoY
−9.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+0.2% (−1.6 + 1.8)
Revenue −2.5%/yr
FY21 6.6B SGD
FY22 6.6B SGD
FY23 7.0B SGD
FY24 6.6B SGD
FY25 6.0B SGD
Net income −6.0%/yr
FY21 1.0B SGD
FY22 938M SGD
FY23 4.1B SGD
FY24 952M SGD
FY25 800M SGD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +3.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share −4.7 %

of which total revenue −4.8 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin +1.4 %
Tax rate +1.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +6.3 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

KPELY screens 140% overvalued. Compare with ITOCHU Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Keppel Corporation Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KPELY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 375 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −58% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth −5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.87× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.48× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.68× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 27.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 25.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.95× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 23
FUTURE0 · sector 17
PAST36 · sector 17
HEALTH57 · sector 89
DIVIDEND37 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Keppel Corporation Limited (KPELY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.77 versus a price of $18.61, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KPELY?
Our model-based fair value for Keppel Corporation Limited is $7.77 (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $18.61.
What is the quality score of KPELY?
Keppel Corporation Limited has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Keppel Corporation Limited (KPELY)?
Keppel Corporation Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KPELY?
The net profit margin of Keppel Corporation Limited is about 13.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Keppel Corporation Limited pay a dividend?
Keppel Corporation Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.83% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 28, 2026).
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