ITOCHU Corporation (ITOCHU19) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TH · Market cap 3.0T THB (≈ $91.8B)
What is ITOCHU Corporation really worth?
A solid business, trading 45% below our fair value of 14.40 THB.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +12.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (9.14 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (9.14 THB to 21.81 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
12‑month range 5.95 THB – 7.85 THB · fair‑value band 9.14 THB – 21.81 THB · the 7.85 THB price screens below the 14.40 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
ITOCHU Corporation (ITOCHU19) currently trades at 7.85 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 14.40 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 45.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 36.49 THB per share, and 10 of the 10 models we run sit above the 7.85 THB price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 10.53 THB, and 0 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, ITOCHU Corporation generated revenue of ¥15.1T at a net margin of 6.0%. Revenue grew 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.1%. Net debt stands at ¥3.1T. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 9.14 THB (bear case) to 21.81 THB (bull case); at 7.85 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 83%, ITOCHU19 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 0.1948 THB per share, which is 1.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (36.49 THB) versus Asset-Based (10.53 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
ITOCHU Corporation trades and imports/exports various products worldwide.It operates through eight segments: Textile, Machinery, Metals & Minerals, Energy & Chemicals, Food, General Products & Realty, ICT & Financial Business, and The 8th.
Full company description
ITOCHU Corporation trades and imports/exports various products worldwide.It operates through eight segments: Textile, Machinery, Metals & Minerals, Energy & Chemicals, Food, General Products & Realty, ICT & Financial Business, and The 8th. The company produces and sells raw materials, threads, and textiles; and garments, home furnishings, and industrial materials. It also engages in the plants, bridges, railways, and other infrastructure; power generation, transmission, transformation, and electricity sale; water, environment and waste-related; trading of ships, aircraft, automobiles, construction and industrial machinery, machine tools, environmental equipment, electronic devices, and related equipment; renewable and alternative energy; and waste recycling businesses. In addition, the company develops metal and mineral resource; processes steel products; trades iron ore, coal, pig iron and ferrous raw materials, non-ferrous and light metals, steel products, nuclear fuels, and greenhouse gas emissions; and waste treatment activities. Further, it trades in energy, chemical, and power including renewable energy; produces and distributes food; and develops new business fields and cultivates new partners. The company also engages in pulp and paper, natural rubber, building products and materials, tire and automotive aftermarket related, and logistics business; development, sales, lease, and operation of real estate; IT solutions, internet-related services, business process outsourcing, medical and healthcare, satellite, content, and distribution of mobile phone devices and after-sales services; and financial and insurance services. The company was founded in 1858 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2023 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
ITOCHU Corporation reported revenue of ¥14.8T in FY2026 versus ¥13.9T in FY2023, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥900B in FY2026, compounding +4.0%/yr from FY2023.
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Peer Group
Conglomerates · 375 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3M Company MMM | $178.83 | $76.87 | −57% |
| Honeywell International Inc HON | $217.43 | $218.95 | +1% |
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$13.02 | HK$26.04 | +100% |
| Poste Italiane S.p.A PST | €26.90 | €7.65 | −72% |
| Swire Pacific Limited 0019 | HK$106.30 | HK$36.88 | −65% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 553,000 KRW | 615,077 KRW | +11% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,800 IDR | 9,600 IDR | +100% |
| Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 | $59.10 | $79.11 | +34% |
| Kingboard Holdings 0148 | HK$45.52 | HK$32.91 | −28% |
| Keppel Ltd BN4 | 11.27 SGD | 3.89 SGD | −65% |
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