thyssenkrupp AG (TKA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · DE · Market cap €7.3B · ISIN DE0007500001
What is thyssenkrupp AG really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of €15.69.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price +20.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
- Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.97 – €15.21 · fair‑value band €11.76 – €19.61 · the €15.21 price screens below the €15.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
thyssenkrupp AG (TKA) currently trades at €15.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €15.69, implying the stock looks roughly 3.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €16.70 per share, and 4 of the 11 models we run sit above the €15.21 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €6.21, and 7 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €32.0B. Revenue declined 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €4.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €11.76 (bear case) to €19.61 (bull case); at €15.21, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 151% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 3%, TKA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€16.70) versus Dividend Discount (€1.43). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
thyssenkrupp AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides industrial and technology solutions and services in Germany and internationally. The company operates in five segments: Automotive Technology, Decarbon Technologies, Materials Services, Steel Europe, and Marine Systems.
Full company description
thyssenkrupp AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides industrial and technology solutions and services in Germany and internationally. The company operates in five segments: Automotive Technology, Decarbon Technologies, Materials Services, Steel Europe, and Marine Systems. It offers axle assembly and logistics, body in white, camshafts and electric engine components, carValoo, dampers, dies, plant engineering for batteries and powertrain, prototypes, serial production, springs and stabilizers, steering, crankshafts and conrods, thermal management, and undercarriages, as well as systems, automation, and mechatronic solutions; and slewing bearings and rings, chemical plants, coke plant technologies, green ammonia, methanol, and hydrogen, high-pressure processing, refinery services and cement plants. The company also provides alloys, logistics services, industrial minerals, material services, nonferrous metals, plastics, and stainless steel; composite materials, cut-to-length sheet products, electrical and packaging steel, hot and precision steel strips, organic coated strips and sheets, and sheet and coated products; and naval services, surface vessels, and submarines. It serves automotive, chemicals, energy generation and distribution, food and beverages, white goods, aerospace, mechanical and plant engineering, oil and gas, shipbuilding, and special vehicles, as well as construction, infrastructure, and buildings industries. The company was founded in 1811 and is headquartered in Essen, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
thyssenkrupp AG reported revenue of €32.8B in FY2025 versus €34.0B in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was €465M in FY2025.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- thyssenkrupp AG (TKAMY) (Q3 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Steel Write-Ups and Restructuring ...
- German steel giant Thyssenkrupp weighs options as Rhine drops
- thyssenkrupp Q3 Earnings Call Highlights
- Thyssenkrupp ADR jumps nearly 8% on Canada submarine contract report
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 375 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
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