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3M Company (MMM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 21, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of 3M Company stock $73.02, price $175, upside -58.2%, quality 61 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US

3C 3M Company logo Broad data Oct 22, 2026

3M Company

MMM · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

Our calculation puts a fair price 58% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 61/100
Solidly profitable · 11.9% net margin (TTM)
Generates free cash flow
Wide moat 75/100
Broad data
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +1.5 %/yr in USD)
1.7% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Fair value $73.02 · Strongly overvalued (−58.2%)
High debt
Trails peers (5/14)
Insider activity 35/100
🚩AI analysis: PFAS litigation overhang
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$182.98 $65.91 Fair Value $73.02 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $65.91 – $182.98 · fair‑value band $42.85 – $93.35 · the $174.74 price screens above the $73.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 22, 2026.

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Company profile

3M Company provides diversified technology services in the America, the Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Safety and Industrial, Transportation and Electronics, and Consumer.

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The Safety and Industrial segment provides industrial abrasives and finishing for metalworking applications; autobody repair solutions; industrial specialty products, such as personal hygiene products, masking, and packaging materials; electrical products and materials for construction and maintenance, power distribution, and electrical original equipment manufacturers; structural adhesives and tapes; respiratory, hearing, eye, and fall protection solutions; and natural and color-coated mineral granules for shingles.

The Transportation and Electronics segment provides ceramic solutions; attachment and bonding, films, sound, and temperature management for transportation vehicles; format graphic films for advertising and fleet signage; reflective signage for highway and vehicle safety; light management films and electronics assembly solutions; chip packaging and interconnection solutions; semiconductor production materials; and data center solutions.

The Consumer segment offers cleaning products for the home; consumer air quality products; picture hanging accessories; retail abrasives, paint accessories, and safety products; stationery and office products; automotive appearance products; and consumer bandages, tapes, braces, and supports.

It serves automotive; commercial solutions; consumer markets; design and construction; electronics; energy; government; manufacturing; safety; transportation industries.

The company offers its products through e-commerce and traditional wholesalers, retailers, jobbers, distributors, channel partner, and dealers, as well as directly to users. 3M Company was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Saint Paul, Minnesota.

Stock analysis

3M Company (MMM) currently trades at $174.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $73.02, 58.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $132.34 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the $174.74 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $25.93, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $42.85 (bear) to $93.35 (bull), the price of $174.74 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.

3M Company reported revenue of $24.9B in FY2025 versus $35.4B in FY2021, a compound −8.3%/yr. Reported net income was $3.3B in FY2025, compounding −13.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $92.2B Large · P/E ratio 29.3 · P/S ratio 3.66 · EPS (TTM) $5.96 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 11.9% · Return on equity 81.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 75 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −58%, MMM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $42.85 Fair Value $73.02 Bull $93.35
Price $174.74 · Upside -58.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.38 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Growth DCF $27.49 $39.91 $60.32 78
Owner Earnings $25.67 $38.36 $60.84 75
Residual Income $26.73 $30.57 $49.04 75
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $25.67 $38.36 $60.84 75
5Y P/E Exit $56.11 $94.54 $138.77 70
10Y P/E Exit $43.99 $73.02 $103.50 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $42.85 $75.91 $93.35 66
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $20.25 $25.93 $31.64 69
DDM Multi-Stage $20.25 $27.24 $35.46 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $99.25 $132.34 $165.42 63
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $27.49 $39.91 $60.32 78
Rev-Margin DCF $38.03 $64.16 $95.48 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $26.73 $30.57 $49.04 75

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 62
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 37
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 97
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 67
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 55
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 66
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 100
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−11.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Per share before 2024divided by the spin-off factor 1.1837
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−5.3% vs −0.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 18%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+32.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +29.7% a year for the price and +1.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+1.9%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.7%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.0%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.7%

MMM screens overvalued: fair value 58% below the price. Compare with Honeywell International Inc →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Note from the team Oct 11, 2026
AI conclusion: Moderate moat from brand and innovation history supports segment resilience, yet restructuring signals and litigation exposure stand as the chief weakness.
Main risk: Ongoing PFAS litigation remains the single biggest risk to the business and would hit financial resources plus operational focus across segments.
3M's Safety and Industrial segment delivered strong organic sales growth and expanding margins in the second quarter, fueled by adhesives, tapes and personal safety products. This lines up with wider new product momentum, yet ongoing PFAS litigation keeps resurfacing as a drag. Will the operational gains and segment resilience ultimately offset the legal overhang?
Join the discussion →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 355 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −58.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 81.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 11.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 20.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 2.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.33× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 29.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B 19.61× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 3.66× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow 66.0× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 15.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.61× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 49
FUTURE (revenue growth)13 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 90
DIVIDEND (yield)35 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
PT Astra International Tbk, ASII 4,560 IDR 9,120 IDR +100% vs MMM
SGH Limited SGH A$40.04 A$56.23 +40% vs MMM
Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 $57.41 $78.34 +36% vs MMM
Honeywell International Inc HON $213.32 $245.42 +15% vs MMM
thyssenkrupp AG TKA €14.24 €15.69 +10% vs MMM
Kingdom Holding 4280 12.69 SAR 13.40 SAR +6% vs MMM
Koç Holding KCHOL 203.30 TRY 182.26 TRY −10% vs MMM
SK Inc 034730 482,000 KRW 348,189 KRW −28% vs MMM
Keppel Ltd BN4 10.11 SGD 3.88 SGD −62% vs MMM
Swire Pacific Limited 0019 HK$105.50 HK$28.48 −73% vs MMM

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3M Company · Fair Value
$73.02 −58%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "3M Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MMM

Frequently asked questions

Is 3M Company (MMM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $73.02 versus a price of $174.74, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MMM?
Our model-based fair value for 3M Company is $73.02 (as of Oct 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $174.74.
What is the quality score of MMM?
3M Company has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for 3M Company (MMM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $73.02 (as of Oct 22, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $42.85, optimistic scenario $93.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the 3M Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $73.02, about −58% upside versus a price of $174.74 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $42.85, optimistic scenario $93.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of 3M Company (MMM)?
3M Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $25.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 22, 2026).
Does 3M Company pay a dividend?
3M Company currently shows a dividend yield of 1.73% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 22, 2026).
What growth is priced into 3M Company (MMM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, 3M Company would have to grow free cash flow by +32.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -5.0 % per year. As of Oct 22, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MMM use?
Our models discount 3M Company at 9.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.06, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For 3M Company that is +32.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has 3M Company (MMM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at 3M Company grew -5.0 % a year. The price currently implies +32.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of 3M Company (MMM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into 3M Company (+32.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of 3M Company (MMM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.51 %: that much free cash flow 3M Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of 3M Company (MMM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For 3M Company it is $73.02 per share (as of Oct 22, 2026), against a price of $174.74. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is 3M Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 22, 2026, MMM trades above its calculated fair value: price $174.74, fair value $73.02, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MMM?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($174.74); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($73.02). For 3M Company the two are $101.72 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is 3M Company worth?
The market values 3M Company at about $92.2B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 22, 2026). Per share that is $174.74; our models calculate a fair value of $73.02 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MMM?
Our models span a range for 3M Company: cautious scenario $42.85, base $73.02, optimistic $93.35 per share (as of Oct 22, 2026, price $174.74). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MMM?
3M Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.3 (as of Oct 22, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $73.02 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 48.4 (reported for FY2025: 29.0). Other multiples: PEG 1.6, P/B 19.6, P/S 3.7, EV/EBITDA 15.1.
What is the PEG ratio of MMM?
The PEG ratio of 3M Company is 1.61 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 22, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of 3M Company (MMM)?
Balance-sheet figures for 3M Company (as of Oct 22, 2026): return on equity 81.9%, debt of 2.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MMM from its 52-week high?
3M Company trades at $174.74, about 5% below its 52-week high of $182.98 and 25% above the low of $139.86 (as of Oct 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $73.02 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to 3M Company?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Honeywell International Inc, Swire Pacific Limited, SGH Limited, SK Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is 3M Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 22, 2026: price $174.74, calculated fair value $73.02 (−58%), Quality Score 61/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MMM calculated?
We run 3M Company through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $73.02, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.6 % above its aggregate fair value. 3M Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of 3M Company (MMM)?
The closing price on Oct 21, 2026 was $174.74. Our model-based fair value is $73.02, about −58% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with 3M Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($93.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($42.85 to $93.35) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of 3M Company (MMM) come from?
Earnings per share at 3M Company grew −1.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.6 %, EBIT margin −1.8 %, tax rate +1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of 3M Company

How large is the market capitalisation of 3M Company (MMM)?
The market capitalisation of 3M Company is $92.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of 3M Company (MMM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of 3M Company is 3.66 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of 3M Company (MMM)?
Earnings per share at 3M Company are $5.96 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of 3M Company (MMM)?
The dividend yield of 3M Company is 1.7% (payout 84.6%, on adjusted earnings, reported 50.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of 3M Company (MMM)?
The net margin of 3M Company is 11.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of 3M Company (MMM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of 3M Company is 81.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of 3M Company (MMM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of 3M Company is 6.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of 3M Company (MMM)?
The operating margin of 3M Company is 20.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at 3M Company (MMM)?
Revenue at 3M Company is growing +2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at 3M Company (MMM)?
Earnings per share at 3M Company are growing +32.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does 3M Company (MMM) carry?
The net debt of 3M Company is $7.7B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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