PT Astra International Tbk, (ASII) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ID · Market cap 191T IDR
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 9,620 IDR to 9,720 IDR (+1.0%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −1.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 103% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (6,254 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (6,254 IDR to 14,047 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 3,146 IDR – 7,044 IDR · fair‑value band 6,254 IDR – 14,047 IDR · the 4,800 IDR price screens below the 9,720 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
PT Astra International Tbk, (ASII) currently trades at 4,800 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9,720 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 102.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Astra International Tbk, generated revenue of 319T IDR at a net margin of 9.9%. Revenue declined 5.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. Net debt stands at 58.8T IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 6,254 IDR (bear case) to 14,047 IDR (bull case); at 4,800 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -8% fair-value upside, at 103%, ASII screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (18,046 IDR) versus Asset-Based (3,828 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Astra International Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive, financial services, heavy equipment, mining, construction, energy, agri, infrastructure and logistics, information technology, and property businesses in Indonesia and internationally.
Full company description
PT Astra International Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive, financial services, heavy equipment, mining, construction, energy, agri, infrastructure and logistics, information technology, and property businesses in Indonesia and internationally. It operates in Automotive, Financial Services, Heavy Equipment and Mining, construction, and energy, infrastructure and logistics, Agribusiness, Information Technology, and Property segments. The Automotive segment includes car, motorcycle, component, and others. Its Financial Services segment engages in car, motorcycle, heavy equipment financing, and Insurance. The Heavy Equipment and Mining, construction, and energy segment engages in construction machines, mining contractor, mining, and construction. Its infrastructure and logistics segment includes infrastructure and logistics value chain services; Agribusiness segment include oil palm plantations and their derivative products. The Information Technology segment comprises document solutions, IT Solutions, and office solutions; and Property development segment. The company also engages in sales of spare parts, heavy equipment and rental services, mining and related services. The company was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Astra International Tbk is a subsidiary of Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Astra International Tbk, reported revenue of 323T IDR in FY2025 versus 233T IDR in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was 32.8T IDR in FY2025, compounding +12.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Conglomerates · 385 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ITOCHU Corporation ITOCHU19 | 7.20 THB | 14.40 THB | +100% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 553,000 KRW | 615,077 KRW | +11% |
| Koç Holding KCHOL | 205.80 TRY | 182.26 TRY | -11% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,585 | ₹859.71 | -67% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,030 CLP | 10,809 CLP | +79% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 54,300 KRW | 71,119 KRW | +31% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,839 | ₹723.80 | -75% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 436,000 KRW | 93,413 KRW | -79% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,002 | ₹1,343 | -66% |
| Hanwha Corporation 000880 | 96,000 KRW | 88,608 KRW | -8% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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