Astra International Tbk (ASII) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · ID · Market cap 191T IDR (≈ $19.1B) · ISIN ID1000122807
What is Astra International Tbk really worth?
A solid business, trading 49% below our fair value of 9,600 IDR.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Sep 1, 2026, revised from 9,580 IDR to 9,600 IDR (+0.2%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price −2.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (6,176 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (6,176 IDR to 13,874 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 3,146 IDR – 7,044 IDR · fair‑value band 6,176 IDR – 13,874 IDR · the 4,900 IDR price screens below the 9,600 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
Analysis
Astra International Tbk (ASII) currently trades at 4,900 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9,600 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 49.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 18,046 IDR per share, and 10 of the 11 models we run sit above the 4,900 IDR price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 3,828 IDR, and 1 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Astra International Tbk generated revenue of 319T IDR at a net margin of 9.9%. Revenue declined 5.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. Net debt stands at 58.8T IDR. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 6,176 IDR (bear case) to 13,874 IDR (bull case); at 4,900 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 96%, ASII screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 267.43 IDR per share, which is 2.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (18,046 IDR) versus Asset-Based (3,828 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
PT Astra International Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive, financial services, heavy equipment, mining, construction, energy, agri, infrastructure and logistics, information technology, and property businesses in Indonesia and internationally.
Full company description
PT Astra International Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the automotive, financial services, heavy equipment, mining, construction, energy, agri, infrastructure and logistics, information technology, and property businesses in Indonesia and internationally. It operates in Automotive, Financial Services, Heavy Equipment and Mining, construction, and energy, infrastructure and logistics, Agribusiness, Information Technology, and Property segments. The Automotive segment includes car, motorcycle, component, and others. Its Financial Services segment engages in car, motorcycle, heavy equipment financing, and Insurance. The Heavy Equipment and Mining, construction, and energy segment engages in construction machines, mining contractor, mining, and construction. Its infrastructure and logistics segment includes infrastructure and logistics value chain services; Agribusiness segment include oil palm plantations and their derivative products. The Information Technology segment comprises document solutions, IT Solutions, and office solutions; and Property development segment. The company also engages in sales of spare parts, heavy equipment and rental services, mining and related services. The company was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Astra International Tbk is a subsidiary of Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Astra International Tbk reported revenue of 323T IDR in FY2025 versus 233T IDR in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was 32.8T IDR in FY2025, compounding +12.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.2 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Conglomerates · 375 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ITOCHU Corporation ITOCHU19 | 7.20 THB | 14.40 THB | +100% |
| 3M Company MMM | $178.83 | $76.87 | −57% |
| Honeywell International Inc HON | $217.43 | $218.95 | +1% |
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$13.02 | HK$26.04 | +100% |
| Poste Italiane S.p.A PST | €26.90 | €7.65 | −72% |
| Swire Pacific Limited 0019 | HK$106.30 | HK$36.88 | −65% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 553,000 KRW | 615,077 KRW | +11% |
| Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 | $59.10 | $79.11 | +34% |
| Kingboard Holdings 0148 | HK$45.52 | HK$32.91 | −28% |
| Keppel Ltd BN4 | 11.27 SGD | 3.89 SGD | −65% |
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