Citic Pacific (0267) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$322B (≈ $41.0B) · ISIN HK0267001375
What is Citic Pacific really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 47% below our fair value of HK$26.04.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 25, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 25, 2026, revised from HK$23.78 to HK$26.04 (+9.5%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +15.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$18.36). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$18.36 to HK$43.07) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$4.87 – HK$13.91 · fair‑value band HK$18.36 – HK$43.07 · the HK$13.91 price screens below the HK$26.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.
Analysis
Citic Pacific (0267) currently trades at HK$13.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$26.04, implying the stock looks roughly 46.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$38.05 per share, and 9 of the 11 models we run sit above the HK$13.91 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$10.45, and 2 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Citic Pacific generated revenue of HK$945B at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue declined 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at HK$2.0T. Fundamentals as of Aug 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$18.36 (bear case) to HK$43.07 (bull case); at HK$13.91, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 87%, 0267 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.5877 per share, which is 2.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (HK$38.05) versus Dividend Discount (HK$10.45). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
CITIC Limited operates in the financial services, advanced intelligent manufacturing, advanced materials, consumption, and urbanization businesses in the Mainland of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The Comprehensive Financial Services segment provides banking, securities, trust, insurance, and asset management services.
Full company description
CITIC Limited operates in the financial services, advanced intelligent manufacturing, advanced materials, consumption, and urbanization businesses in the Mainland of China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The Comprehensive Financial Services segment provides banking, securities, trust, insurance, and asset management services. The Advanced Intelligent Manufacturing segment manufactures heavy machineries, specialized robotics, aluminium wheels, aluminium casting parts, and other products. The Advanced Materials segment includes exploration, processing, and trading of resources and energy products comprising iron ore, copper, and crude oil, as well as manufactures special steels. The New Consumption segment consists of motor, food and consumer products business, telecommunication services, publication services, modern agriculture services, and others. The New-Type Urbanisation segment develops, holds, and sells properties; and provides contracting and design services, as well as infrastructure, environmental, and commercial aviation services. It provides securities, trust, financial, and securities related services; and consumer finance, resources, energy conservation and environmental protection, and engineering contracting services, as well as real estate development and management; and insurance and reinsurance services. The company was formerly known as CITIC Pacific Limited and changed its name to CITIC Limited in August 2014. CITIC Limited was incorporated in 1985 and is based in Central, Hong Kong. CITIC Limited operates as a subsidiary of CITIC Group Corporation.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Citic Pacific reported revenue of HK$834B in FY2025 versus HK$709B in FY2021, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$63.7B in FY2025, compounding −2.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.5 % · buybacks/dilution −0.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Conglomerates · 375 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 25, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
| ITOCHU Corporation ITOCHU19 | 7.20 THB | 14.40 THB | +100% |
| 3M Company MMM | $178.83 | $76.87 | −57% |
| Honeywell International Inc HON | $217.43 | $218.95 | +1% |
| Poste Italiane S.p.A PST | €26.90 | €7.65 | −72% |
| Swire Pacific Limited 0019 | HK$106.30 | HK$36.88 | −65% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 553,000 KRW | 615,077 KRW | +11% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,800 IDR | 9,600 IDR | +100% |
| Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 | $59.10 | $79.11 | +34% |
| Kingboard Holdings 0148 | HK$45.52 | HK$32.91 | −28% |
| Keppel Ltd BN4 | 11.27 SGD | 3.89 SGD | −65% |
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