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Kasikornbank PCL DRC (KPCUF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $15.3B · ISIN TH0016010R14

What is Kasikornbank PCL DRC really worth?

KP Kasikornbank PCL DRC logo Kasikornbank PCL DRC KPCUF · US
Price$7.21
Fair Value$5.23
Upside−27.5%
Quality65/100

A solid business, but trading 38% above our fair value of $5.23.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +9.1 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 32.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
!Moderate moat 60/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 6 out of 100

For context

·5.77% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $3.92 – $6.54

Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 22, 2026, revised from $5.17 to $5.23 (+1.1%) since Aug 13, 2026.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$7.21 $2.07 Fair Value $5.23 Dec 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.07 – $7.21 · fair‑value band $3.92 – $6.54 · the $7.21 price screens above the $5.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Kasikornbank PCL DRC (KPCUF) currently trades at $7.21, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.23, implying the stock looks roughly 37.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 26 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Kasikornbank PCL DRC generated revenue of $155B at a net margin of 32.6%. Revenue grew 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $115B. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.92 (bear case) to $6.54 (bull case); at $7.21, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −27%, KPCUF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $207.10 $224.29 $280.76 71
P/E Multiple $203.80 $271.73 $339.66 63
P/B Multiple $257.33 $343.11 $428.89 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $203.80 $271.73 $339.66 63
P/B Multiple $257.33 $343.11 $428.89 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $122.54 $164.20 $245.08 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $207.10 $224.29 $280.76 71

Widest divergence: Multiples ($271.73) versus Asset-Based ($164.20). Highest evidence: Residual Income (71).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 11.1
P/S ratio 2.06 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.6500 price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.1
Dividend yield 5.8% payout 64.0%
Net margin 18.5% FY2025
Return on equity 8.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 51.4% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $155B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.1% 3y avg +11.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +10.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $124B FY2025
Net cash $115B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Kasikornbank Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial banking products and services in Thailand and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Corporate Business; Retail Business; Treasury and Investment, Capital Markets Business and World Business Group; and Muang Thai Group Holding Business.

Full company description

Kasikornbank Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides commercial banking products and services in Thailand and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Corporate Business; Retail Business; Treasury and Investment, Capital Markets Business and World Business Group; and Muang Thai Group Holding Business. It offers e-savings, savings, fixed deposit, current, and foreign currency deposit accounts; debit and credit cards, as well as Xpress cash; personal, home, and auto loans, as well as property for sale; mutual funds, stocks, debentures/bonds, and derivatives/futures exchange; accident, health, critical illness, travel, savings, retirement and endowment, life insurance and inheritance, car, insurance for tax deduction, and other insurance products; digital banking and e-wallet; bill payment, money and global money transfers, and PromptPay; cash management, including cheques and drafts, as well as foreign exchange; alert services; and other financial services. The company also provides working capital, commercial loan, and letter of indemnity; international trade finance, international guarantee, and green solutions; payment, collection, liquidity management, and online merchant solutions; electronic payment application; e-tax invoice and receipt; import and export service solutions; various channels in overseas; corporate finance, securities, and investment; business accounts and cards; life, non-life, and group insurance; electronic service solution; fx and derivatives; and other related services. In addition, it engages in funding; centralized risk management; liquid assets investments; financial instruments; and foreign currency exchange, as well as brokerage business. The company was formerly known as Thai Farmers Bank Public Company Limited and changed its name to Kasikornbank Public Company Limited in April 2003. Kasikornbank Public Company Limited was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kasikornbank PCL DRC reported revenue of 267B THB in FY2025 versus 179B THB in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was 49.5B THB in FY2025, compounding +6.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$267B
Latest YoY
+12.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in THB) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+26.1% (20.3 + 5.8)
Revenue +10.5%/yr
FY21 179B THB
FY22 192B THB
FY23 228B THB
FY24 237B THB
FY25 267B THB
Net income +6.8%/yr
FY21 38.1B THB
FY22 35.8B THB
FY23 42.4B THB
FY24 48.6B THB
FY25 49.5B THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +3.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.9 %

of which total revenue +3.8 % · buybacks/dilution +2.1 %

EBIT margin −2.7 %
Tax rate −0.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

KPCUF screens 38% overvalued. Compare with DBS Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kasikornbank PCL DRC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KPCUF

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1071 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −28% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 51% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.38× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.1× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.22× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 33
FUTURE6 · sector 45
PAST34 · sector 41
HEALTH81 · sector 85
DIVIDEND100 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DBS Group D05 75.65 SGD 40.48 SGD −46%
China Merchants Bank Co 3968 HK$47.96 HK$76.51 +60%
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.78 €5.66 −17%
HDFC Bank Limited HDB $23.17 $24.12 +4%
BNP Paribas SA BNP €102.56 €144.64 +41%
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €84.71 €77.62 −8%
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $10.74 $9.69 −10%
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,443 ₹835.21 −42%
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 31.07 SGD 19.80 SGD −36%
CaixaBank, S.A CABK €13.52 €8.85 −35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kasikornbank PCL DRC (KPCUF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.23 versus a price of $7.21, about −27% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KPCUF?
Our model-based fair value for Kasikornbank PCL DRC is $5.23 (as of Aug 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.21.
What is the quality score of KPCUF?
Kasikornbank PCL DRC has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kasikornbank PCL DRC (KPCUF)?
Kasikornbank PCL DRC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $155B (latest available figure, as of Aug 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KPCUF?
The net profit margin of Kasikornbank PCL DRC is about 32.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kasikornbank PCL DRC pay a dividend?
Kasikornbank PCL DRC currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.77% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 22, 2026).
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