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Kingfisher plc (KGF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 4.9B GBX

KP Kingfisher plc KGF · LSE
Price£3.27
Fair Value£3.27
Upside+0.0%
Quality67/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 1.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.35% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: High Range £2.45 – £4.08 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +14.6% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from £2.45 (bear) to £4.08 (bull), base £3.27. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 67/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£3.60 £1.71 Fair Value £3.27 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £1.71 – £3.60 · fair‑value band £2.45 – £4.08 · the £3.27 price screens below the £3.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Kingfisher plc (KGF) currently trades at £3.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £3.27, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Kingfisher plc generated revenue of £12.9B at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue grew 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. Net debt stands at £1.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £2.45 (bear case) to £4.08 (bull case); at £3.27, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at 0%, KGF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £6.78 £9.09 £12.07 80
Residual Income £2.77 £2.77 £2.49 76
Rev-Margin DCF £4.67 £6.50 £8.44 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £6.59 £9.06 £12.37 38
Owner Earnings £3.31 £4.50 £6.10 31
5Y Revenue Exit £4.67 £6.39 £8.43 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £6.48 £9.55 £12.93 41
5Y P/E Exit £3.97 £5.15 £6.28 38
10Y Revenue Exit £5.27 £6.90 £8.80 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £6.47 £8.98 £11.96 37
10Y P/E Exit £4.94 £6.09 £7.28 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £1.01 £2.16 £2.74 54
PEG = 1.0 £0.3300 £0.4700 £0.6200 46
EPV £2.99 £3.43 £3.81 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £1.16 £1.74 £2.35 70
DDM Multi-Stage £1.16 £1.64 £2.16 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £2.45 £3.27 £4.08 63
P/S Multiple £1.89 £2.52 £3.15 58
P/B Multiple £1.89 £2.52 £3.15 55
EV/EBIT £5.42 £7.16 £8.89 53
EV/EBITDA £7.33 £9.69 £12.06 54
EV/Revenue £3.73 £5.23 £6.73 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £1.87 £2.50 £3.73 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £6.78 £9.09 £12.07 80
Rev-Margin DCF £4.67 £6.50 £8.44 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £2.77 £2.77 £2.49 76
ROIC Compounder £2.99 £3.43 £3.85 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £1.80 £2.57 £3.35 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (£6.50) versus Dividend Discount (£1.64). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 12.9B GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.8%
Net margin 1.9%
Return on equity 3.9%
Free cash flow 1.1B GBX FY2026
P/E ratio 23.3
More key figures
Operating margin 4.0%
EPS (TTM) £0.1400
Dividend yield 4.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +4.8%
Net debt 1.9B GBX FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kingfisher plc, together with its subsidiaries, supplies home improvement products and services in the United Kingdom, Ireland, France, Poland, and internationally. The company operates retail stores under the B&Q, Castorama, Brico Dépôt, Screwfix, TradePoint, and Koçtas brand names.

Full company description

Kingfisher plc, together with its subsidiaries, supplies home improvement products and services in the United Kingdom, Ireland, France, Poland, and internationally. The company operates retail stores under the B&Q, Castorama, Brico Dépôt, Screwfix, TradePoint, and Koçtas brand names. It sells its products to consumers and trade professionals through stores and e-commerce channels. Kingfisher plc was incorporated in 1982 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Kingfisher plc reported revenue of £12.9B in FY2026 versus £13.2B in FY2022, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was £245M in FY2026, compounding −26.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
£12.9B
Latest YoY
+1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Revenue −0.5%/yr
FY22 £13.2B
FY23 £13.1B
FY24 £13.0B
FY25 £12.8B
FY26 £12.9B
Net income −26.6%/yr
FY22 £843M
FY23 £471M
FY24 £345M
FY25 £185M
FY26 £245M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) −5.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.5 pp

of which total revenue +1.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +2.6 pp

EBIT margin −3.9 pp
Tax rate −2.4 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kingfisher plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KGF

Peer Group

Home Improvement Retail · 36 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +2% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Home Improvement Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.07× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.51× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.2× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.70× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 35 · sector 23
FUTURE 9 · sector 11
PAST 16 · sector 30
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 87 · sector 50

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Home Improvement Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Home Depot, Inc HD $354.48 $236.85 -33%
Lowe's Companies, Inc LOW $215.97 $186.32 -14%
Wesfarmers Limited WES A$88.48 A$50.50 -43%
Floor & Decor Holdings FND $59.33 $27.30 -54%
Mr D.I.Y. Group 5296 1.52 MYR 1.47 MYR -3%
Home Product Center Public Company HMPROR 6.70 THB 6.31 THB -6%
Siam Global House Public Company GLOBAL 7.50 THB 5.96 THB -21%
Dohome Public Company DOHOME 3.78 THB 2.75 THB -27%
Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc HVT $28.30 $22.53 -20%
Test-Rite International Co 2908 21.85 TWD 4.97 TWD -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kingfisher plc (KGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £3.27 versus a price of £3.27, about +0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KGF?
Our model-based fair value for Kingfisher plc is £3.27 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £3.27.
What is the quality score of KGF?
Kingfisher plc has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kingfisher plc (KGF)?
Kingfisher plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £12.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KGF?
The net profit margin of Kingfisher plc is about 1.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kingfisher plc pay a dividend?
Kingfisher plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.49% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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