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Kingfisher PLC (KGF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 4.9B GBX · ISIN GB0033195214

What is Kingfisher PLC really worth?

KP Kingfisher PLC KGF · LSE
Price£3.07
Fair Value£3.27
Upside+6.4%
Quality67/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of £3.27.

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Strengths

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (9/15)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.9% net margin
!Narrow moat 31/100
!Weak on future: 9 out of 100
!Weak on past: 16 out of 100

For context

·4.03% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range £2.45 – £4.08

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −4.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£3.60 £1.71 Fair Value £3.27 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £1.71 – £3.60 · fair‑value band £2.45 – £4.08 · the £3.07 price screens below the £3.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Kingfisher PLC (KGF) currently trades at £3.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £3.27, implying the stock looks roughly 6.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of £6.50 per share, and 16 of the 25 models we run sit above the £3.07 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at £1.64, and 9 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Kingfisher PLC generated revenue of £12.9B at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue grew 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. Net debt stands at £1.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £2.45 (bear case) to £4.08 (bull case); at £3.07, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 6%, KGF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 7 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly £0.0095 per share, which is 0.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence £6.59 £9.06 £12.37 81
Growth DCF £6.78 £9.09 £12.07 79
Owner Earnings £3.31 £4.50 £6.10 77
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence £6.59 £9.06 £12.37 81
Owner Earnings £3.31 £4.50 £6.10 77
5Y Revenue Exit £4.67 £6.39 £8.43 73
5Y EBITDA Exit £6.48 £9.55 £12.93 76
5Y P/E Exit £3.97 £5.15 £6.28 72
10Y Revenue Exit £5.27 £6.90 £8.80 68
10Y EBITDA Exit £6.47 £8.98 £11.96 69
10Y P/E Exit £4.94 £6.09 £7.28 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £1.01 £2.16 £2.74 66
PEG = 1.0 £0.3300 £0.4700 £0.6200 57
EPV £2.99 £3.43 £3.81 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £1.16 £1.74 £2.35 68
DDM Multi-Stage £1.16 £1.64 £2.16 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple £2.45 £3.27 £4.08 63
P/S Multiple £1.89 £2.52 £3.15 58
P/B Multiple £1.89 £2.52 £3.15 55
EV/EBIT £5.42 £7.16 £8.89 66
EV/EBITDA £7.33 £9.69 £12.06 67
EV/Revenue £3.73 £5.23 £6.73 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £1.87 £2.50 £3.73 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £6.78 £9.09 £12.07 79
Rev-Margin DCF £4.67 £6.50 £8.44 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £2.77 £2.77 £2.49 76
ROIC Compounder £2.99 £3.43 £3.85 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £1.80 £2.57 £3.35 67

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (£6.50) versus Dividend Discount (£1.64). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 22.0
P/S ratio 0.42 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) £0.1400 price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.0
Dividend yield 4.0% payout 88.6%
Net margin 1.9% FY2026
Return on equity 3.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 4.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) £12.9B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.8% 3y avg −0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +4.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 1.1B GBX FY2026
Net debt 1.9B GBX FY2026 · ≈ 1.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Kingfisher plc, together with its subsidiaries, supplies home improvement products and services in the United Kingdom, Ireland, France, Poland, and internationally. The company operates retail stores under the B&Q, Castorama, Brico Dépôt, Screwfix, TradePoint, and Koçtas brand names.

Full company description

Kingfisher plc, together with its subsidiaries, supplies home improvement products and services in the United Kingdom, Ireland, France, Poland, and internationally. The company operates retail stores under the B&Q, Castorama, Brico Dépôt, Screwfix, TradePoint, and Koçtas brand names. It sells its products to consumers and trade professionals through stores and e-commerce channels. Kingfisher plc was incorporated in 1982 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Kingfisher PLC reported revenue of £12.9B in FY2026 versus £13.2B in FY2022, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was £245M in FY2026, compounding −26.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
£12.9B
Latest YoY
+1.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−9.2% (−13.2 + 4.0)
Revenue −0.5%/yr
FY22 £13.2B
FY23 £13.1B
FY24 £13.0B
FY25 £12.8B
FY26 £12.9B
Net income −26.6%/yr
FY22 £843M
FY23 £471M
FY24 £345M
FY25 £185M
FY26 £245M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) −5.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.5 %

of which total revenue +1.9 % · buybacks/dilution +2.5 %

EBIT margin −3.9 %
Tax rate −2.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Kingfisher PLC · Fair Value
£3.27 +6%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kingfisher PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KGF

Peer Group

Home Improvement Retail · 34 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +6% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Home Improvement Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.08× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.51× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.2× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.70× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE42 · sector 29
FUTURE9 · sector 11
PAST16 · sector 32
HEALTH99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND81 · sector 61

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Home Improvement Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Home Depot, Inc HD $328.61 $236.85 −28%
Lowe's Companies, Inc LOW $208.05 $186.32 −10%
Wesfarmers Limited WES A$77.73 A$50.50 −35%
Floor & Decor Holdings FND $59.33 $27.30 −54%
Mr D.I.Y. Group 5296 1.51 MYR 1.47 MYR −3%
Home Product Center Public Company HMPROR 6.70 THB 6.31 THB −6%
Siam Global House Public Company GLOBAL 6.65 THB 5.96 THB −10%
Haverty Furniture Companies, Inc HVT $27.26 $20.42 −25%
Dohome Public Company DOHOME 3.78 THB 2.75 THB −27%
Test-Rite International Co 2908 21.80 TWD 4.97 TWD −77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kingfisher PLC (KGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £3.27 versus a price of £3.07, about +6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of KGF?
Our model-based fair value for Kingfisher PLC is £3.27 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £3.07.
What is the quality score of KGF?
Kingfisher PLC has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kingfisher PLC (KGF)?
Kingfisher PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £12.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KGF?
The net profit margin of Kingfisher PLC is about 1.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kingfisher PLC pay a dividend?
Kingfisher PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.03% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 18, 2026).
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