Kering SA (KER) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · FR · Market cap €30.4B · ISIN FR0000121485
What is Kering SA really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 336% above our fair value of €56.23.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −13.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€56.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €151.21 – €692.04 · fair‑value band €43.87 – €56.23 · the €245.20 price screens above the €56.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
Analysis
Kering SA (KER) currently trades at €245.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €56.23, implying the stock looks roughly 336.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €107.24 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the €245.20 price. Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at €9.76, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Kering SA generated revenue of €14.7B at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue declined 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.3%. Net debt stands at €19.3B. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €43.87 (bear case) to €56.23 (bull case); at €245.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −77%, KER screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€107.24) versus Earnings-Based (€4.88). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Kering SA manages the development of a collection of renowned houses in fashion, leather goods, and jewelry in the Asia Pacific, Western Europe, North America, Japan, and internationally. The company provides ready-to-wear products, accessories, and beauty products for men and women.
Full company description
Kering SA manages the development of a collection of renowned houses in fashion, leather goods, and jewelry in the Asia Pacific, Western Europe, North America, Japan, and internationally. The company provides ready-to-wear products, accessories, and beauty products for men and women. It also offers leather goods and shoes; watches and jewelry; eyewear products; and fragrances and cosmetics. The company provides its products under the Gucci, Saint Laurent, Bottega Veneta, Balenciaga, Alexander McQueen, Brioni, Boucheron, Pomellato, DoDo, Qeelin, and Ginori 1735, as well as Kering Eyewear and Kering Beauté brands. Kering SA was formerly known as PPR SA. and changed its name to Kering SA in May 2013. The company was founded in 1963 and is based in Paris, France.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kering SA reported revenue of €14.7B in FY2025 versus €17.6B in FY2021, a compound −4.5%/yr. Reported net income was €72.0M in FY2025, compounding −61.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.7 % · buybacks/dilution +0.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
KER screens 336% overvalued. Compare with Hermès International Société en commandite par actions →
Peer Group
Luxury Goods · 135 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hermès International Société en commandite par actions RMS | €1,598 | €950.24 | −41% |
| Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR | CHF 192.15 | CHF 119.49 | −38% |
| Christian Dior SE DIO | €423.60 | €1,095 | +159% |
| Titan Company TITAN | ₹5,106 | ₹972.23 | −81% |
| Tapestry, Inc TPR | $153.74 | $19.95 | −87% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$12.31 | HK$11.51 | −6% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 36.35 | CHF 8.46 | −77% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$40.86 | HK$64.71 | +58% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 783.00 | kr 1,424 | +82% |
| Laopu Gold Co 6181 | HK$385.00 | HK$654.83 | +70% |
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