IGO Limited (IGO) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$5.0B
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 14, 2026, revised from A$0.9700 to A$1.94 (+100.0%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +12.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 75% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$2.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$3.12 – A$15.12 · fair‑value band A$1.56 – A$2.34 · the A$7.89 price screens above the A$1.94 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
IGO Limited (IGO) currently trades at A$7.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$1.94, implying the stock looks roughly 75.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, IGO Limited generated revenue of A$438M at a net margin of -47.2%. Revenue declined 31.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$248M. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$1.56 (bear case) to A$2.34 (bull case); at A$7.89, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 111% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at -75%, IGO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (A$3.93) versus Multiples (A$1.01). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
IGO Limited, together with its subsidiaries, discovers, develops, and delivers battery minerals in Australia. It operates through Nova Operation, Forrestania Operation, Cosmos Project, Lithium Business, and Growth segments. The company explores for nickel, lithium, copper, cobalt, and silver deposits.
Full company description
IGO Limited, together with its subsidiaries, discovers, develops, and delivers battery minerals in Australia. It operates through Nova Operation, Forrestania Operation, Cosmos Project, Lithium Business, and Growth segments. The company explores for nickel, lithium, copper, cobalt, and silver deposits. It is also involved in exploration, business development, and project evaluation activities, as well as sale of concentrates. The company was formerly known as Independence Group NL and changed its name to IGO Limited in January 2020. IGO Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
IGO Limited reported revenue of A$528M in FY2025 versus A$620M in FY2021, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$955M in FY2025.
IGO screens 75% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 479 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 745.46 MXN | -48% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$179.43 | A$81.76 | -54% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 222.38 MXN | 172.99 MXN | -22% |
| Vale S.A VALEN | 250.00 MXN | 139.41 MXN | -44% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥19.00 | ¥19.80 | +4% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥70.43 | ¥9.55 | -86% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹584.60 | ₹501.98 | -14% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | -74% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | -13% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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