Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹25.54 – ₹324.30 · fair‑value band ₹137.04 – ₹456.96 · the ₹173.23 price screens below the ₹261.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 19, 2026.
Housing and Urban Development Corporation Limited provides loans and financing for housing and urban development projects in India.
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Housing and Urban Development Corporation Limited provides loans and financing for housing and urban development projects in India. The company offers term loans for state government agencies and their parastatals, such as development authorities, housing boards, urban local bodies, water supply, sewerage boards, and roads and bridges development corporations, as well as implementing agencies comprising state government bodies, co-operative societies, corporate borrowers, joint sectors, and retail. It also provides financing for infrastructure projects in the sectors of water supply; sewerage; drainage; solid waste management; roads and transport; power generation, transmission, distribution, and renovation; emerging sector; smart city; and social infrastructure projects, as well as commercial infrastructure projects, including office buildings spaces, business/trade centres, shopping malls, market complexes, theatres/multiplexes/entertainment centres, hotels, guest houses, terminal markets, multilevel parking, tourist centres, etc. In addition, the company offers research and training services, such as training capacity; research facilitation; partnership and networking; and documentation, dissemination, and publication. The company was incorporated in 1970 and is headquartered in New Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO) currently trades at ₹173.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹261.99, implying the stock looks roughly 33.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹315.19 per share, and 4 of the 9 models we run sit above the ₹173.23 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹73.55, and 5 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹137.04 (bear) to ₹456.96 (bull), the price of ₹173.23 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited reported revenue of ₹124B in FY2026 versus ₹70.0B in FY2022, a compound +15.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹40.3B in FY2026, compounding +23.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹410B (≈ $4.3B) · P/E ratio 8.6 · P/S ratio 2.80 · EPS (TTM) ₹20.14 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 32.6% · Return on equity 20.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at 51%, HUDCO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹137.04Fair Value ₹261.99Bull ₹456.96
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹6.97 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +9.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.19% vs 18%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.31% → 25%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2026 sits 91% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+39.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Credit Services · 334 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside+45% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)20% · Top 25%
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)88% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)52% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity4.88× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HUDCO
Frequently asked questions
Is Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹261.99 versus a price of ₹173.23, about +51% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HUDCO?
Our model-based fair value for Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited is ₹261.99 (as of Sep 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹173.23.
What is the quality score of HUDCO?
Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹261.99 (as of Sep 19, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹137.04, optimistic scenario ₹456.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹261.99, about +51% upside versus a price of ₹173.23 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹137.04, optimistic scenario ₹456.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO)?
Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹45.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 19, 2026).
Does Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited pay a dividend?
Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.23% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 19, 2026).
What growth is priced into Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +39.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.2 % per year. As of Sep 19, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HUDCO use?
Our models discount Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.87, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited that is +39.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited grew +11.2 % a year. The price currently implies +39.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (+39.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.18 %: that much free cash flow Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited it is ₹261.99 per share (as of Sep 19, 2026), against a price of ₹173.23. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 19, 2026, HUDCO trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹173.23, fair value ₹261.99, a gap of about +51% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HUDCO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹173.23); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹261.99). For Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited the two are ₹88.76 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited worth?
The market values Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited at about ₹410B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 19, 2026). Per share that is ₹173.23; our models calculate a fair value of ₹261.99 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HUDCO?
Our models span a range for Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited: cautious scenario ₹137.04, base ₹261.99, optimistic ₹456.96 per share (as of Sep 19, 2026, price ₹173.23). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HUDCO?
Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.6 (as of Sep 19, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹261.99 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 8.9, EV/EBITDA 21.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (as of Sep 19, 2026): return on equity 20.2%, debt of 4.88 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HUDCO from its 52-week high?
Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited trades at ₹173.23, about 29% below its 52-week high of ₹244.60 and 9% above the low of ₹159.00 (as of Sep 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹261.99 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Visa Inc, Mastercard Incorporated, American Express Company, Capital One Financial Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 19, 2026: price ₹173.23, calculated fair value ₹261.99 (+51%), Quality Score 47/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HUDCO calculated?
We run Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹261.99, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited currently trades 51 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was ₹173.23. Our model-based fair value is ₹261.99, about +51% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide (₹137.04 to ₹456.96). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO) come from?
Earnings per share at Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited grew +15.7 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +15.3 %, EBIT margin −7.6 %, tax rate +3.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +5.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO)?
The market capitalisation of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited is ₹410B (≈ $4.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited is 2.80 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO)?
Earnings per share at Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited are ₹20.14 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO)?
The dividend yield of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited is 3.2% (payout 27.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO)?
The net margin of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited is 32.6% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited is 20.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited is 2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO)?
The operating margin of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited is 51.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO)?
Revenue at Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited is growing +6.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO)?
Earnings per share at Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited are growing +172% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited (HUDCO) carry?
The net debt of Housing & Urban Development Corporation Limited is ₹1.4T (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 66.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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