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Visa Inc. Class A (V) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $664B · ISIN US92826C8394

What is Visa Inc. Class A really worth?

VI Visa Inc. Class A logo Visa Inc. Class A V · US
Price$378.75
Fair Value$198.27
Upside−47.7%
Quality83/100

A strong business, but trading 91% above our fair value of $198.27.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +12.9 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 51.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 96/100

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Weak on dividend: 14 out of 100

For context

·0.69% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $119.12 – $332.18

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price +2.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 83/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($332.18). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($119.12 to $332.18). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$384.14 $172.57 Fair Value $198.27 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $172.57 – $384.14 · fair‑value band $119.12 – $332.18 · the $378.75 price screens above the $198.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Visa Inc. Class A (V) currently trades at $378.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $198.27, implying the stock looks roughly 91.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $235.75 per share, and 1 of the 11 models we run sit above the $378.75 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $31.98, and 10 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Visa Inc. Class A generated revenue of $43.0B at a net margin of 51.7%. Revenue grew 17.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 60.4%. Net debt stands at $5.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $119.12 (bear case) to $332.18 (bull case); at $378.75, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −48%, V screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 11 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $8.23 per share, which is 4.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF best evidence $178.02 $323.77 $588.48 75
Owner Earnings $164.32 $308.36 $573.02 73
Rev-Margin DCF $78.24 $115.20 $157.34 73
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $164.32 $308.36 $573.02 73
5Y P/E Exit $130.88 $223.06 $327.87 70
10Y P/E Exit $145.16 $235.75 $362.69 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $82.18 $389.71 $536.06 64
Lynch FV $103.55 $147.92 $192.30 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $117.83 $157.11 $196.39 63
P/B Multiple $23.98 $31.98 $39.97 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $11.42 $15.30 $22.84 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF best evidence $178.02 $323.77 $588.48 75
Rev-Margin DCF $78.24 $115.20 $157.34 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $114.85 $190.45 $4,039 64

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($235.75) versus Asset-Based ($15.30). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 30.4 as of Jul 11, 2026
P/S ratio 15.2 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $11.48 price ÷ EPS = P/E 30.4
Dividend yield 0.7% payout 22.6%
Net margin 50.1% FY2025
Return on equity 60.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 22.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 67.4% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $43.0B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.1% 3y avg +10.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +35.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $21.6B FY2025
Net debt $5.0B FY2025 · ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 83/100

Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 76
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Visa Inc. operates as a payment technology company in the United States and internationally. The company operates VisaNet, a transaction processing network that enables authorization, clearing, and settlement of payment transactions.

Full company description

Visa Inc. operates as a payment technology company in the United States and internationally. The company operates VisaNet, a transaction processing network that enables authorization, clearing, and settlement of payment transactions. It also offers credit, debit, and prepaid card products; tap to pay, tokenization, and click to pay services; Visa Direct, a platform which facilitates money movement, enabling clients to collect, hold, convert, and send funds across its network; and issuing solutions, such as airport lounge access, dining reservations, shopping experiences, event tickets, and seller offers. In addition, the company provides acceptance solutions, an omnichannel payment integration with e-commerce platforms; risk detection and prevention solutions; and advisory and other services comprising consulting practice, proprietary analytics models, data scientists and economists, marketing services, and managed services. It provides its services under the Visa, Visa Electron, V PAY, Interlink, and PLUS brands. The company serves consumers, sellers, financial institutions, and government entities. Visa Inc. was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Visa Inc. Class A reported revenue of $40.0B in FY2025 versus $24.1B in FY2021, a compound +13.5%/yr. Reported net income was $20.1B in FY2025, compounding +13.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 98/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$40.0B
Latest YoY
+11.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+16.5% (15.8 + 0.7)
Revenue +13.5%/yr
FY21 $24.1B
FY22 $29.3B
FY23 $32.7B
FY24 $35.9B
FY25 $40.0B
Net income +13.0%/yr
FY21 $12.3B
FY22 $15.0B
FY23 $17.3B
FY24 $19.7B
FY25 $20.1B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +16.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +13.7 %

of which total revenue +11.2 % · buybacks/dilution +2.2 %

EBIT margin +0.7 %
Tax rate +1.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

V screens 91% overvalued. Compare with Mastercard Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Visa Inc. Class A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/V

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Credit Services · 324 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 82 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −48% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 60% · Top 25%
Return on assets 19% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 52% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 67% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 17% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.52× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 17.51× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 15.42× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 30.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 22.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.53× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 36
FUTURE86 · sector 40
PAST100 · sector 32
HEALTH74 · sector 59
DIVIDEND14 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Mastercard Incorporated MA $591.73 $221.87 −63%
American Express Company AXP $334.16 $206.40 −38%
Capital One Financial Corporation COF $215.67 $117.51 −46%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,093 ₹397.70 −64%
PayPal Holdings PYPL $61.47 $77.12 +25%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,134 ₹553.82 −51%
Synchrony Financial, SYF $78.05 $137.28 +76%
SoFi Technologies, Inc SOFI $18.06 $5.02 −72%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,866 ₹796.47 −57%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹375.70 ₹149.40 −60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Visa Inc. Class A (V) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $198.27 versus a price of $378.75, about −48% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of V?
Our model-based fair value for Visa Inc. Class A is $198.27 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $378.75.
What is the quality score of V?
Visa Inc. Class A has a Quality Score of 83/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Visa Inc. Class A (V)?
Visa Inc. Class A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $43.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of V?
The net profit margin of Visa Inc. Class A is about 51.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 51.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Visa Inc. Class A pay a dividend?
Visa Inc. Class A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.69% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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