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SoFi Technologies Inc. (SOFI) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $22.9B · ISIN US83406F1021

What is SoFi Technologies Inc. really worth?

ST SoFi Technologies Inc. logo SoFi Technologies Inc. SOFI · US
Price$18.51
Fair Value$4.27
Upside−77.0%
Quality23/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 334% above our fair value of $4.27.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 14.8% net margin

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +44.7 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/13)
!Moderate moat 49/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 26 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $3.32 – $5.19

Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −1.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($5.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$32.21 $4.30 Fair Value $4.27 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.30 – $32.21 · fair‑value band $3.32 – $5.19 · the $18.51 price screens above the $4.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

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Analysis

SoFi Technologies Inc. (SOFI) currently trades at $18.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.27, implying the stock looks roughly 333.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $15.98 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the $18.51 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $4.88, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, SoFi Technologies Inc. generated revenue of $3.9B at a net margin of 14.8%. Revenue grew 42.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $3.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.32 (bear case) to $5.19 (bull case); at $18.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −77%, SOFI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.3045 per share, which is 7.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $6.20 $6.21 $5.80 74
Owner Earnings $8.60 $15.98 $31.48 70
P/E Multiple $3.66 $4.88 $6.10 63
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $8.60 $15.98 $31.48 70
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.55 $17.79 $24.97 61
Lynch FV $9.19 $13.13 $17.07 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.66 $4.88 $6.10 63
P/B Multiple $4.78 $6.38 $7.97 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.09 $5.48 $8.18 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $6.20 $6.21 $5.80 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($15.98) versus Multiples ($4.88). Highest evidence: Residual Income (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 43.0
P/S ratio 4.34 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.4300 price ÷ EPS = P/E 43.0
Net margin 10.1% FY2025
Return on equity 6.6% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −0.9% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 18.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $3.9B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +42.5% 3y avg +39.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +101%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$4.0B FY2025
Net cash $3.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 28
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 3
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

SoFi Technologies, Inc. provides various financial services in the United States, Latin America, Canada, and Hong Kong. The company operates through three segments: Lending, Technology Platform, and Financial Services.

Full company description

SoFi Technologies, Inc. provides various financial services in the United States, Latin America, Canada, and Hong Kong. The company operates through three segments: Lending, Technology Platform, and Financial Services. It offers lending and financial services and products that allows its members to borrow, save, spend, invest, and protect money; and personal loans, student loans, home loans, and related services. The company also operates Galileo, a technology platform that offers services to financial and non-financial institution; and Technisys, a cloud-native digital and core banking platform that provides software licenses and associated services, including implementation and maintenance. In addition, it provides SoFi Money offers checking and savings accounts, and cash management products; SoFi Invest, a mobile-first investment platform that offers access to trading and advisory solutions, such as investing and robo-advisory; and SoFI Crypto, a new digital asset trading platform. Further, the company offers SoFi Credit Card that provides cash back rewards on every purchase; Sofi Relay, a personal finance management product that allows to track all of their financial accounts comprising credit score and spending behaviors; SoFi Protect which offers insurance product; SoFi Travel, an application that manages travel search and booking experience; SoFi At Work provides financial benefits to employees, including student loan payments made on their employees' behalf; Lantern Credit, a financial services marketplace platform for seeking alternative products and provide product comparisons; and other lending as a service that offers pre-qualified borrower referrals and offers loans to third-party partner. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in San Francisco, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SoFi Technologies Inc. reported revenue of $4.8B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +44.7%/yr. Reported net income was $481M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.8B
Latest YoY
+82.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+39.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+44.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.5%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Revenue +44.7%/yr
FY21 $1.1B
FY22 $1.8B
FY23 $2.1B
FY24 $2.6B
FY25 $4.8B
Net income
FY21 −$484M
FY22 −$320M
FY23 −$301M
FY24 $499M
FY25 $481M

SOFI screens 334% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SoFi Technologies Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SOFI

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Credit Services · 324 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Below median
Revenue growth 43% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.13× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 43.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.19× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.87× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 25.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.87× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 36
FUTURE100 · sector 40
PAST26 · sector 32
HEALTH94 · sector 59
DIVIDEND0 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $379.66 $198.27 −48%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $591.73 $221.87 −63%
American Express Company AXP $334.16 $206.40 −38%
Capital One Financial Corporation COF $215.67 $117.51 −46%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,093 ₹397.70 −64%
PayPal Holdings PYPL $61.47 $77.12 +25%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,134 ₹553.82 −51%
Synchrony Financial, SYF $78.05 $137.28 +76%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,866 ₹796.47 −57%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹375.70 ₹149.40 −60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SoFi Technologies Inc. (SOFI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.27 versus a price of $18.51, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SOFI?
Our model-based fair value for SoFi Technologies Inc. is $4.27 (as of Aug 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $18.51.
What is the quality score of SOFI?
SoFi Technologies Inc. has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SoFi Technologies Inc. (SOFI)?
SoFi Technologies Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SOFI?
The net profit margin of SoFi Technologies Inc. is about 14.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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