Gold Fields Ltd (GFI) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · ZA · Market cap 477B ZAC · ISIN ZAE000018123
What is Gold Fields Ltd really worth?
A strong business, trading 24% below our fair value of R1,004.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from R61.18 to R1,004 (+1,541.8%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +24.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (75/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- A fairly wide model range (R622.83 to R1,375) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R101.03 – R915.73 · fair‑value band R622.83 – R1,375 · the R766.75 price screens below the R1,004 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Gold Fields Ltd (GFI) currently trades at R766.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R1,004, implying the stock looks roughly 23.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 26 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the evidence level at high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Gold Fields Ltd generated revenue of 8.8B ZAR at a net margin of 40.8%. Revenue grew 71.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 51.9%. Net debt stands at 1.8B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R622.83 (bear case) to R1,375 (bull case); at R766.75, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 31%, GFI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (R74.65) versus Asset-Based (R6.28). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Gold Fields Limited operates as a gold producer with reserves and resources in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Canada, and Chile. It also explores for gold, copper and silver deposits. Gold Fields Limited was founded in 1887 and is based in Sandton, South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gold Fields Ltd reported revenue of $9.4B in FY2025 versus $4.2B in FY2021, a compound +22.3%/yr. Reported net income was $3.8B in FY2025, compounding +48.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Gold Fields Limited (GFI) Inks Deal for Windfall Mining Project Development
- Why Gold Fields Stock Got Mashed on Monday
- The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Gold Fields, AngloGold Ashanti and DRDGOLD
- Looking at the Narrative for Gold Fields as Analyst Sentiment Shifts with Recent Developments
Peer Group
Gold · 245 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $128.00 | $112.82 | −12% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥32.21 | ¥39.42 | +22% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$268.76 | C$213.40 | −21% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $41.23 | $50.66 | +23% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | $271.31 | $96.63 | −64% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$201.40 | C$56.05 | −72% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $97.92 | $88.63 | −9% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $32.51 | $34.62 | +6% |
| Royal Gold, Inc RGLD | $262.85 | $93.56 | −64% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$23.19 | A$15.98 | −31% |
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